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As Iraqi and Kurdish forces close in on ISIS in Mosul, there is a word of a new effort to reclaim the Syrian city of Raqqa from the terror group; Plus, Donald Trump warns Hillary Clinton could start World War III; More political turmoil in Venezuela. A huge nationwide protest against the president is planned for Wednesday; And later, an important notice for new parents on how to keep your baby safe. But this advice may not be music to your ears; Three days of mourning are underway in western Pakistan after the bloody siege at a police training academy. Three attackers got inside the barracks in Quetta Monday night, while hundreds of cadets were sleeping; ISIS militants have kidnapped and killed 30 people in Afghanistan's Ghor province; Donald Trump on the campaign trail in Florida takes aim at ObamaCare; Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte will soon meet with Japan's Prime Minister. And Mr. Duterte is bringing up some old grudges with the U.S. while he is in Tokyo. He insists he is not savoring ties with the U.S. as he actually suggested himself last week in China; A young woman in Colombia who was orphaned and suffered years of sexual abuse is turning her life around. Aired 3-4a ET

Aired October 26, 2016 - 03:00   ET

THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED.


(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

[03:00:00] ROSEMARY CHURCH, CNN NEWSROOM SHOW HOST: As Iraqi and Kurdish forces close in on ISIS in Mosul, there is a word of a new effort to reclaim the Syrian city of Raqqa from the terror group.

Plus, Donald Trump warns Hillary Clinton could start World War III.

And later, an important notice for new parents on how to keep your baby safe. But this advice may not be music to your ears.

Hello and welcome to our viewers from all around the world. I'm Rosemary Church, and this is CNN Newsroom.

The offensive to retake Mosul is moving ahead of schedule and is intensifying. We are now hearing word of clashes inside the city between ISIS and resistance snipers firing from rooftops.

The U.S. Defense Secretary says this fight will overlap with a push to take the ISIS stronghold in Raqqa, Syria.

Now aid agencies say about 9,000 people have fled Mosul so far. The U.N. has early reports of ISIS killing scores of people in the area in the past week.

And our Michael Holmes is near the Mosul frontline, he joins us now live. So, Michael, what is the latest on this advance towards Mosul? And when a coalition forces expect to -- expect to get there? We've heard of this sniper fire.

MICHAEL HOLMES, CNN CORRESPONDENT: Yes, according to Iraqi military officials also, Kurdish military officials and the Americans for that matter it is still even on schedule even ahead of schedule.

Iraqi forces moving up from the southeast, and Kurdish forces near where we are still fighting for that key strategic town of Bashiqa, they surrounded it a couple of days ago, the town and a number of villages.

We're told they've worked their way through those villages now and are heading into the main part of the town. I don't know if you can hear behind me there the impact of some the artillery, there has artillery flying in this morning.

And also pre-dawn, some pretty heavy aerial bombardment, at least half a dozen of what sounded like 500-pound bombs being dropped on Bashiqa. Initially, the Kurds were encountering vehicle, explosives and trucks and cars, car bombs as well and also snipers, that's what a lot of this aerial bombardment and artillery is all about, trying to get rid of those threats to the Peshmerga as they move in.

It's a key because it's on main road to Mosul. It's a supply route for ISIS, it's also the way the Peshmerga would head towards Mosul. At their closest point, the Kurds say they're about eight kilometers from the outskirts of Mosul.

But that is not a uniform circle. A lot of the other unites to the south, the east, the southeast; they got to move up so that the city is fully encircled. That also can't happen until the west is blocked off.

We've been getting reports of course that ISIS fighters their families and even leaders have been leaving Mosul, heading west through ISIS- held territory and into Syria.

And Shia -- the paramilitary is moving up to try to block that exit route. So, it's still probably are ways away before there is an assault on Mosul and even when that begins it's not going to be an easy fight, Rosemary.

CHURCH: And, Michael, we heard from U.S. Defense Secretary Ash Carter that this offensive is proceeding as plan, you mentioned that. He also said an assault on Raqqa would get underway. How different will that fight b be?

HOLMES: It's going to be very different, I mean, for us that where you're in a different country, and it's also a country unlike this battle for Mosul where there is the involvement of the central government. The central government overseeing the campaign. Well, that's not obviously going to happening in Raqqa in Syria.

You've got the Syrian democratic forces there, that is the group that is mostly Kurdish. But they are weaving in also Arab elements including Sunni tribal fighters and the like. Turkey is obviously very vitally concerned with what is going on in

that part near their territory. They're no fans of the Kurdish forces there who are going to be taking such a big role in that fight.

Also, it is the de facto capital of ISIS, they have had a long time to prepare defenses in that city, and they will fiercely hold it even if they lose Mosul they are going to fight pretty hard to keep their capital.

What appears is going to happen is the two campaigns may overlap, you may see advances on Raqqa before Mosul is fully taken. Already those Syrian democratic forces that I mentioned have moved up to within 40 kilometers or so of Raqqa, taking various villages along the way.

[03:05:04] But yes, a very different fight, a very different ethnic and sectarian mix going on there, and a very complex battle ahead, Rosemary.

CHURCH: Yes, certainly. Our Michael Holmes reporting there on the front line and near the front line near Mosul, and it is just after 10 in the morning. Many thanks to you, Michael, for bringing us up to date on the situation and do take care.

Well, ISIS has had two years to prepare for this fight, planting explosives and booby traps everywhere. The militants are also setting fires using the smoke to hide from aircraft. But it's no match for the rocket technology the U.S.-led brings to this battle.

Arwa Damon reports.

ARWA DAMON, CNN SENIOR INTERNATIONAL CORRESPONDENT: This Gayyara West, America's largest forward position in Iraq at the forefront of the battle for Mosul.

From the moment you get a call, you can be mobile in this, and out firing onto an enemy position within two minutes?

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

KEEGAN ALDRIDGE, U.S. ARMY: Correct.

DAMON: Lieutenant Keegan Aldridge shows us to the latest generation of precision artillery.

ALDRIDGE: We are the furthest reaching artillery system on the battle field, highly accurate, and highly precise it's because our system minimizes the collateral damage, obviously because there are a lot of urban targets that we are prosecuting.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

DAMON: This sprawling facility was a base during the U.S.-led occupation of Iraq, some of the blast walls are from those days. When ISIS was finally driven out in August, they destroyed the runway, mounds of earth hid bombs and buildings were booby trapped.

Now, the runway is cleared and hundreds of troops are based here, some sleep in tents, others in bunkers.

And I see everyone has their gas masks?

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Yes, and we have needed them the last couple of days.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

DAMON: (AUDIO GAP) from a fire set by ISIS at a nearby sulfur plant, which cast a dense pall over a huge area.

Inside the joint operations center commanders closely watch drone feeds that we cannot film. Right now a group of ISIS fighters is the target. Cheers erupt as they are hit.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

CHRISTOPHER PARKER, COALITION SPOKESMAN: The fire support that we have been providing for this operation has been unprecedented. Since Mosul liberation kicked off we have dropped over 1700 munitions.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

DAMON: But if all goes if all goes according to plan, the operation will have to change.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

PARKER: The civilian population does complicate the situation and avoiding civilian casualties is a very high priority for the coalition obviously. So, we'll change the way that we look at our targeting.

DAMON: ISIS has long shown that it's a determined, cunning enemy.

And the enemy always has a vote.

PARKER: I believe in what I have seen from our Iraqi and Peshmerga forces the cooperation and the level of support the coalition is providing, I believe that our vote will outweigh there.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

DAMON: But what is a win in a country that has already lost so much?

Arwa Damon, CNN, Gayyara Air Base, Iraq.

CHURCH: Three days of mourning are underway in western Pakistan after the bloody siege at a police training academy. Three attackers got inside the barracks in Quetta Monday night, while hundreds of cadets were sleeping.

Sixty one people were killed, and nearly 120 others wounded. Security forces killed one militant during the hours' long operation, two others blew themselves up. ISIS has claimed responsibility for the massacre.

But a Pakistani military official says an Al Qaeda-linked terror group could be to blame.

Well, France is following through with its vow to demolish a squalid camp that's become a symbol of Europe's migrant crisis.

And we are actually looking at live pictures here. Crews began tearing down tents and shacks in the shanty town nicknamed "the jungle," where thousands of refugees have been living in limbo for years.

CNN's Melissa Bell has the details.

MELISSA BELL, CNN INTERNATIONAL CORRESPONDENT: For months, the threat had hung over the camp. Tuesday, the clearing began. As the diggers got to work on the edge of the jungle, some of its women protested.

It was amid a heavy police presence that the dismantling of the Calais jungle finally got underway. Delayed by several hours it will now continue says local authorities until every last tent on this camp has been cleared.

And it may not take that long. Already thousands of migrants have left. Many of the jungle's homes lie empty, its shops padlocked, its restaurants boarded up. The jungle has become in part a shadow of its former self.

[03:10:00] Some, though, are holding thoughts, refusing to give up on their dream of getting one day to the United Kingdom. And like many, Aziz (Ph) has seen it all before.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: The jungle is never going to be finished. I have seen the same situation in 2007. And now back in 2016, in same situation. Nothing will be happen, what are they going to do? People are going to move from there. Some other for a month old, three weeks, one month, it will be same thing again.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

BELL: As the demolition of its edges continues, the resistance from within the camp grows, in the shape of fires, migrants burning what little they have, to signal how little they want to leave.

Melissa Bell, CNN, Calais.

CHURCH: More political turmoil in Venezuela. A huge nationwide protest against the president is planned for Wednesday. Nicolas Maduro is the unpopular successor to Hugo Chavez.

As Shasta Darlington reports, opposition to his presidency is mounting as the country struggles through a deep recession.

SHASTA DARLINGTON, CNN INTERNATIONAL CORRESPONDENT: Tensions are running high in Venezuela, where the national assembly which is controlled by opposition lawmakers launched proceedings against the embattled President, Nicolas Maduro, to determine whether he should be removed from office.

At the same time, rival protests are taking to the street. On Tuesday, it was a pro-government march, supporting Maduro and the socialist revolution launched by his predecessor Hugo Chavez.

Maduro himself turned out at the end of the march for his supporters. On Wednesday, the opposition has called for a massive nationwide demonstration.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE (TRANSLATED): I reiterate to all Venezuelans, that tomorrow starting at 9 a.m., the marches will begin in Caracas. Each state needs to be informing its people from every capital every state where the protest will be and where they will be going.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

DARLINGTON: The opposition have been pushing for recalled referendum that might have had Maduro removed from office by the end of the year.

According to polls, 80 percent of Venezuelans are in favor of having him removed. This is the country's third year of a deep recession, they got the highest inflation in the world, and serious shortages in food and medicine that have pushed many families to the brink.

But last week, the government blocked a signature drive key to that referendum, unleashing the fury of the opposition in the streets and in the assembly, where lawmakers have now asked Maduro to turn up next week to answer questions.

The move however, is seen as largely symbolic, given that the Supreme Court, which is controlled by supporters of the government has the last say in his removal.

One possible light at the end of the tunnel, the Vatican announced it's going to mediate a national dialogue with the participation of the government and opposition leaders starting on Sunday. This was announced after Maduro was received by Pope Francis.

And the armed forces have thrown their support behind these talks. The problem is that just a few hours later, some opposition leaders said they want nothing to do nothing with these talks, they see it as just another stalling tactic from a government that is already highly unpopular.

Shasta Darlington, CNN, Rio de Janeiro.

CHURCH: We'll take a short break here, but still to come, Donald Trump on the campaign trail in Florida takes aim at ObamaCare.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

DONALD TRUMP, (R) U.S. PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: All of my employees are having a tremendous problem with ObamaCare.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

CHURCH: But what story changed quickly. Trump's only challenge to get out of his own way. That's next.

[03:15:00] (COMMERCIAL BREAK)

DON RIDDELL, CNN WORLD SPORT ANCHOR: Hey, I'm Don Riddell with your CNN World Sports headlines.

In the Premier League right now, five teams with just one point of the lead. But there are always distractions to be managed.

In the fourth round of the EFL Cup presenting one on Tuesday night for Liverpool and Tottenham, both managers feel they are largely reserve teams Daniel Sturridge scored twice for the Reds as they beat Spurs 2- 1 moving into the quarterfinals.

Tuesday also saw AC Milan in action, a team that had been down on its luck in recent times. The Russian (Ph) were coming off a big win this past weekend over Juventus. However, Milan's luck wouldn't continue on the road in Genoa, it didn't help that they had to play for more than half an hour with just 10 men. Genoa easing the victory by 3 goes to nil.

And finally, play continued for the group match round of the WTA finals on Tuesday. Angelique Kerber continues her good form of late, the breakout star of the year with two major titles and the world number one ranking, is hoping to sign off 2016 in style.

And so far, it's going to plan. Kerber had a commanding win over Simona Halep, 6-4, 6-2, she's over through to the semifinals in Singapore.

And meanwhile, American Madison Keys made quick work of Dominika Cibulkova, 1 and 4. The two winners, Kerber and Keys will face each other in a final group match Thursday.

Those are your sports headlines. I'm Don Riddell.

CHURCH: Donald Trump says if you vote for Hillary Clinton, you're crazy. He's also making a bleak prediction if Clinton wins the White House. He says her aggressive approach to Syria will lead to all-out war between the U.S. and Russia.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

TRUMP: But she has no plan for Syria. And look, with her, you'll end up in World War III, she doesn't know what she's doing.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

CHURCH: Trump is also blasting a report that premiums for ObamaCare will go up an average of 22 percent next year. He's vowing to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act. The Obama says subsidies will largely offset those increases.

Well, Hillary Clinton may have to do some damage control on that ObamaCare report.

CNN's senior political correspondent Brianna Keilar reports on that.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

HILLARY CLINTON, (D) U.S. PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: There are just 14 days, two weeks from today.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

BRIANNA KEILAR, CNN SENIOR POLITICAL CORRESPONDENT: Hillary Clinton eyeing the sunshine state in its 29 electoral votes.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

CLINTON: So, please join me, this is bigger than me, it's bigger than any of us, it's even bigger than Donald Trump if you can believe it.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

KEILAR: Expectations for Clinton are high. A new CNN/ORC poll shows nearly 7 in 10 voters believed she will win the election. And her campaign is spending their last two weeks racing through the battleground states trying to convince voters not to become complaisant.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

CLINTON: I feel good, but boy, I'm not taking anything for granted. I'm going to work as hard as I can between now and the close of the election.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

KEILAR: Vice President Joe Biden in battleground Pennsylvania.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

JOE BIDEN, U.S. VICE PRESIDENT: This man is thoroughly unqualified based on his conduct. His abuse of power, and his lack of substantive knowledge. Just the diminish amount of knowledge needed to be president of the United States of America.

(APPLAUSE)

So, I'm finished with Donald Trump.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

KEILAR: President Obama on late night TV.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP) BARACK OBAMA, UNITED STATES OF AMERICA PRESIDENT: President Obama

will go down as perhaps the worst president in the history of the United States. Exclamation point, at real Donald Trump. Well, at real Donald Trump, at least I will go down as a president.

(CROWD CHEERING)

(END VIDEO CLIP)

[03:20:01] KEILAR: And about that new ObamaCare report showing significant premium hikes next year, former President Bill Clinton defending the program in North Carolina.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

BILL CLINTON, FORMER U.S. PRESIDENT: So Hillary says fix the problem, don't repeal the solution. That's a terrible idea; more than 20 million people would lose their health insurance.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

KEILAR: The former president's comments earlier this month now seem prophetic.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

B. CLINTON: So, you've got this crazy system where all of a sudden 25 million more people have health care, and then the people are out there busting it at sometimes 60 hours a week, wind up with their premiums doubled and their coverage cut in half. It's the craziest thing in the world.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

KEILAR: That statement put him in the dog house with democrats and put his wife on defense with Donald Trump.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

H. CLINTON: So, if he repeals it, our Medicare problem gets worse. What we need to do is go after...

(CROSSTALK)

TRUMP: Your husband disagrees with you.

H. CLINTON: ... the long term healthcare drivers. We've got to get costs down, increase value, emphasize wellness, I have a plan for doing that.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

KEILAR: A point Clinton echoed in a radio interview.

(BEGIN VOICE CLIP) H. CLINTON: The costs have gone up too much. So, we're going to

really tackle that, we're going to get co-pays and premiums and deductibles down, we're going to tackle prescription drug cost. And we can do that without ripping away the insurance that people now have.

(END VOICE CLIP)

CHURCH: Joining me now is Philip Bump, political reporter for the Washington Post. Great to talk with you, as always. So, let's start with ObamaCare, and this expected rise next year in premiums of around 22 percent and the effect this could have with just two weeks until Election Day.

Donald Trump was on the attack, but seemed to muddle his message, while at his resort in Florida. Let's just take a listen to what he had to say.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

TRUMP: All of my employees are having a tremendous problem with ObamaCare.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Do you provide health insurance to all these employees.

TRUMP: I do. I do.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: So, none of them are on ObamaCare?

TRUMP: Some of them, but most of them, no.

DAVID FEDER, DORAL RESORT MANAGER: I would say 99 percent of our employees are insured through the hotel, through our insurance. And maybe there is a few that are insured through ObamaCare. But very, very few.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

CHURCH: OK, so that is the manager of the resort, clarifying the point there. Then Trump said this on Fox News.

(BEGIN VOICE CLIP)

TRUMP: We don't even use ObamaCare, we don't want it. The people don't want it. And I spend more money on health care coverage but.

(END VOICE CLIP)

CHURCH: OK, so some pretty mixed messages there. But Philip, Trump has said he will get rid of ObamaCare. Clinton says she will fix all the problems with it. Given what we now know about premium increases, how are voters likely to respond to Clinton sticking with it, Trump getting rid of it, who will win that argument so close to Election Day?

PHILIP BUMP, WASHINGTON POST POLITICAL REPORTER: Well, my guess is it probably won't actually affect the election that much. I mean, first of all, these are rate increases are going to effect next year. Second of all, most of the people who are on the exchanges which are the government-run or state-run exchanges that we're talking about here, most of them get subsidies for anyway.

So, they're not going to see the big hit to the pocketbook that people are talking about. My guess is this will probably play out the same way that most political arguments play out.

If you love Hillary Clinton you're going to agree with her, if you love Donald Trump you're going to agree with him, you know. And I think that part of the challenge too is that Donald Trump as we saw that conversation today, he is not good at driving a focused message.

He can't just sit there and hammer on ObamaCare, hammer on ObamaCare, it's just not in his nature, which makes it harder for him to score points of this.

CHURCH: Right, another thing that happened, the former Secretary of State republican Colin Powell says he intends to vote for Clinton. He also endorse Obama twice. But hacked e-mails reveal he was pretty frustrated with Clinton, wasn't he. So, how surprised are you that he now says he will vote for you?

BUMP: I'm not terribly surprised. I mean, there are reasons beyond those hacked e-mails, there is a lot of reasons to assume that that Colin Powell would do exactly what he did today. He is a member of the establishment, right?

And you know, you've seen a lot of republican members of establishment come on board with Hillary Clinton. There are rumors that George H.W. Bush is going to be voting for Hillary Clinton.

You know, there are all these ways in which Colin Powell sort of fits the mold of the republicans who is wooed over to the democrats for this election. And to your point, he did endorse Obama twice.

CHURCH: And of course, Trump keeps talking about a rigged election and rigged polls.

BUMP: Right.

CHURCH: Could this perhaps back fire on him by discouraging his supporters from voting or could it perhaps have the opposite effect and rally them to get out and vote for him?

BUMP: You know, it's a great question. I think every time we mention these claims I think it's important to say it's nonsense, the election is not being rigged. There isn't voter fraud to the scale that he is suggesting. I think it's important to say.

But there is actually academic research that shows that by him saying the system is rigged it does inspire people to sort of go who cares, why bother to go out and actually vote?

So, he may, he's in a tough spot already, he's trailing in the polls. His base of support is less likely to go to the polls than a normal republican base of support because he's lost most to college educated folks.

As as result to that he needs everyone to go to the polls as he can, and him saying that makes it less likely that they will.

[03:24:56] CHURCH: Yes. And of course, on the question of polls and how reliable they might be it has to be said, there is evidence that polls get it wrong, of course.

In 2012, when Mitt Romney went up against Barack Obama, polls showed a closer race favoring Romney. And in 2014 Senate races, polls showed tight races that really weren't in the end.

And of course, Brexit is a great global example of polls getting it wrong. So, how reliable are all the polls we're looking at this year, going into the presidential election? Are we seeing a reflection of what will happen or could we perhaps get a surprise?

BUMP: Well, the whole point is that we don't know, right? I mean, we have a lot of faith in polls in part because polls have predicted result in the past, they have proven to be a good way of determining what the outcome of the election will be. But we have seen some exceptions to that, right.

I mean, I think that the extent of the margin difference between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump right now is much larger than it was say in 2012, so that suggests it's much larger, for example, than it was in the Brexit vote, so that suggests that we're less likely to see the sort of change that could throw this thing for Donald Trump.

But we don't know. I mean, we -- you know, it's possible that all the pollsters are over estimating the number of people who will come out and vote for Hillary Clinton, and underestimating how many people will come vote for Donald Trump. We don't know that until two weeks from tonight.

CHURCH: Exactly, and a lot of people getting out there and voting early, perhaps in an effort to end this. But as you say, two more weeks and we will know the outcome.

Philip Bump, always nice to chat with you. I appreciate it.

BUMP: My pleasure.

CHURCH: Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte is trying to reassure allies that his recent visit to China was just about economics. And he's also repeating some harsh words for the United States. That story still to come.

[03:30:00] (COMMERCIAL BREAK)

CHURCH: And a warm welcome back to our viewers all around the world. I'm Rosemary Church. And it is time now of course to update you on the main stories we are following this hour.

As Iraqi-led forces close in on the city of Mosul, the U.N. says there are reports of ISIS massacres of scores of civilians.

Meantime, the U.S. Defense Secretary says the plans to attack are militants stronghold in Syria are moving forward. Ash Carter says the battles for Mosul and Raqqa will overlap.

Well, ISIS militants have kidnapped and killed 30 people in Afghanistan's Ghor province. A spokesman for the governor there says the group was inducted while they were out collecting wood for the winter, they were shot and killed during a failed rescue attempt by security forces. One ISIS commander was also killed.

Crews in France are tearing down tents and shacks in the Calais migrant camp. Thousands of refugees sought shelter in the so-called "jungle" hoping to settle in the United Kingdom. More than 4,000 migrants have been sent to temporary shelters since Monday. The government hopes to get everyone out within a week.

Well, Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte will soon meet with Japan's Prime Minister. And Mr. Duterte is bringing up some old grudges with the U.S. while he is in Tokyo.

He insists he is not savoring ties with the U.S. as he actually suggested himself last week in China. But Mr. Duterte wants foreign troops out of his country and says he will do what he can to make that happen.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

RODRIDO DUTERTE, PHILIPPINE PRESIDENT: I have declared that I will pursue an independent foreign policy. I want maybe in the next two years, my country freed of the presence of foreign military troops. I want them out. And if I have to revise or abrogate agreements, executive agreements, I will.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

CHURCH: And CNN's Will Ripley joins us now live from Tokyo. So, Will, we're hearing some pretty mixed messages from the Philippine president. How will the removal of the U.S. troops in his country likely play out, it actually happens?

WILL RIPLEY, CNN INTERNATIONAL CORRESPONDENT: Well, what he is talking about would essentially be disregarding as soon as the enhanced defense cooperation agreement. This is the agreement, you know, kind of a renegotiated version of the longstanding military alliance between the U.S. and Philippines that goes back decades.

But the confusion here among the officials with the Obama administration including the assistant Secretary of State who was on a pre-scheduled visit to the Philippines is that, there been no formal discussions about this.

These were things that President Duterte has said off and off the cuff, and even going against the advice of his advisers, people close to him were told have been advising him to tone down the hostile anti- U.S. rhetoric. They're on board with his message that the Philippines should have a more independent foreign policy, cooperating with all of its neighbors, China, here in Japan, as well as the United States, as opposed to a dependence on the United States is the term that some of the people in his administration call it.

But this hostile rhetoric, this deep grudge that he feels, Rosemary, about the United States, something that goes back years is concerning because of the climate of uncertainly that it creates.

Here is chief economist's take on the president's words.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

DUTERTE: It's like saying I am a dog on a leash. And said if you do not stop biting the criminals, we will not throw the bread right under your mouth. We will throw it farther so that you'll have to struggle to get it. That is what America wants me to be.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

RIPLEY: That was actually President Duterte himself talking about the issue of human rights. It's a very sensitive subject for him, Rosemary.

He has launched a war on drugs in the Philippines as you know just in four months of taking office some 3,000 drug suspects have died. Some of them at the hands of police and other at the hands of other suspects. These are known as extra judicial killings, deaths without trials.

[03:34:57] The United States including Obama have been very critical, and Duterte has responded with forceful language, swear words and anger saying that the U.S. shouldn't be meddling in his affairs interfere.

And he does have the support on the ground of many Filipinos. When I was I just in Manila they say, he cleaned up Davao City when he was a seven-term mayor there, and he feel he's having the same effective results. Many people feel that way right now as president, Rosemary.

CHURCH: All right, 4.35 in the afternoon there in Tokyo. Well, our Will Ripley bringing us up to date on the situation there that rather strained relationship between the U.S. and the Philippines. Many thanks to you.

Well, a two-year old interview reveals a combative Donald Trump who loves fame but fears public embarrassment. A Trump biographer did the interview before the billionaire announced his presidential bid.

Recently, the writer gave the recordings and transcripts to the New York Times.

As Kyung Lah reports, they reveal, while failure is not an option for Donald Trump.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

TRUMP: You vote for her, you're crazy, OK. I tell you.

(CROWD CHEERING)

She is the worst.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

KYUNG LAH, CNN NATIONAL CORRESPONDENT: It's the Donald Trump we don't often see. Not campaigning. But instead, contemplated. Like when he talks about how he won't accept losing.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

TRUMP: That you can be tough and ruthless, and all that stuff. And if you lose a lot nobody is going to follow you because you're looked at as a loser. Winning is a very important thing. And the most important aspect of leadership is winning. If you have a record of winning, people are going to follow you.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

LAH: As we've seen this election, this is a leader who enjoys a fight.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

TRUMP: I like to punch him in the face, I'll tell you.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

LAH: And the tapes reveal that willingness to fight began as a child.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: In eighth grade.

TRUMP: I loved to fight. I always love to fight.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Physical fights?

TRUMP: Yes, all kinds of fights, I loved it.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Arguments?

TRUMP: All types of fights. Any kind of fight I loved it, including physical.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

LAH: For Trump, everything is a competition, especially business.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

TRUMP: And then I had a failure, because I always turned a failure into success.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

LAH: The theme weaves through his interviews, refusal to acknowledge any business failures.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

TRUMP: I bought something, I throw out into a bankruptcy. I made an unbelievable deal, wiped out a lot of the debt. I came back, next day, I read story, Trump files bankruptcy.

I get all of these people that don't understand business saying, oh, did you go bankrupt? Do you understand that...

(CROSSTALK)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: But you talk about this a lot.

TRUMP: I do, I always do. Because I'll tell you why I do. What always bothers me is false stuff. Untruths. That bothers me.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

LAH: But what doesn't bother him? Fame. Trump admits he needs it.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

TRUMP: It's happened from -- from the time I was very young. It just happened.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Did it unnerve you at first, make you feel unsafe?

TRUMP: No, I think what would unnerve me, if it didn't happen.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

LAH: Trump says he doesn't see much need for reflection, but takes a moment to talk about marriage.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: When you think about balancing your ambition and your relationships with people you love, what changed over the years?

TRUMP: Well, it's very hard for somebody to be married to me.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

LAH: Trump upended the presidential election with much more than fiery rhetoric, the interview show he did it with a singular, unyielding belief in himself.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

TRUMP: The most important thing is being able to have a proper vision and then never quitting. You know, a lot of people say, you have to, you can never give up. Well, you can give up if you have a stupid vision. So, I always say vision is the most important thing.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Yes.

TRUMP: You need a proper vision and then you have to have the ability to get it done.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

LAH: Kyung Lah, CNN, Los Angeles.

CHURCH: And CNN's Anderson Cooper spoke with the man behind those tapes. Journalist Michael D'Antonio.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

MICHAEL D'ANTONIO, TRUMP BIOGRAPHER: We now live in the world where advertise themselves on Facebook. We're practically walking brochures.

ANDERSON COOPER, AC360 SHOW HOST: Right.

D'ANTONIO: And Donald pioneered that. And there is an emptiness to it. I think of him as being a bottomless pit of need and the presidency was the one rock he could get to try and fill that pit.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

CHURCH: All right, let's take a break here, but still to come, preventing sudden deaths in infants. Adult does us how to keep a nightmare from becoming reality.

[03:40:00] (COMMERCIAL BREAK)

CHURCH: A young woman in Colombia who was orphaned and suffered years of sexual abuse is turning her life around. Now, Monica Morales hopes she can help others trapped in similar situations.

Her story is part of CNN's Freedom Project which is dedicated to shining a light on human trafficking and putting an end to modern-day slavery.

Rafael Romo has more.

RAFAEL ROMO, CNN SENIOR LATIN AMERICAN AFFAIRS EDITOR: How does it feel to walk in another's shoes? The age-old appeal to empathy may have never have applied more than to someone like Monica Morales.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

MONICA MORALES, TRAFFICKING SURVIVOR (TRANSLATED): The first memory I have was when they killed my father, he was killed in front of me after he bought me some ice cream.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

ROMO: Monica, now 21, says she grew up in one of Colombia's most dangerous neighborhoods.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

DILA STEIN, ORPHANED STARFISH FOUNDATION WORKER: When she was two months old, her mother was murdered by a local gang, when she was four years old, her father was murdered.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

ROMO: Dila Stein works with the U.S.-based Orphaned Starfish Foundation which assists orphanages around the world.

After losing both parents such an early age, Stein says things only got worse for Monica as a trusted family friend, sold her to different families who wanted children.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

MORALES (TRANSLATED): The husbands would abuse me sexually and I was mistreated physically and verbally.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

ROMO: At age 11, Monica was brought to Casa de la China, a home for abused girls which works with the Orphaned Starfish Foundation. There things finally started to turn around for her.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

MORALES: I started to study and to dance and do things I never thought I would be able to do. My dream is to be a great fashion designer, a great dancer, a great person and building more dreams.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

ROMO: Recently, Monica received a scholarship to study fashion at a local university.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

STEIN: She already is becoming one of the most successful students in her university. Her designs have been chosen for cat walks in Medellin.

ROMO: Do you feel like you have recovered?

MORALES (TRANSLATED): Not a 100 percent. I'm a very strong human being and was born for great things. But most importantly, it was learning to love myself. And if you have the will to do something you can do it.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

[03:45:02] ROMO: A lesson we can all learn from a strong survivor who may one day be dancing in shoes she's designed herself.

Rafael Romo, Medellin, Colombia.

CHURCH: Amazing. Well, the Vatican is giving Catholics new guidelines for cremations. It has allowed the practice for decades but now the church says it's worried that cremations often involves, quote, "erroneous ideas about death."

The new instructions say "Ashes should not be scattered at sea or in the wind or stored on a mantle. Cremated remains should be kept in a sacred place such as a church cemetery. And ashes should not be divided among family members or be preserved as mementos or in pieces of jewelry."

Despite all that, the Catholic Church prefers burial to cremation.

Well, the number one job for most parents is keeping their baby alive and healthy. Now, the American Academy of Pediatrics says you can cut the risk of sudden infant death syndrome by half by sharing your bedroom with your baby.

The academy also has new guidelines on what you should never ever leave in your newborn's crib.

Joining me now to talk more about more about this is Dr. Lisa Masterson, she is an ObGyn host of the podcast Health in Heels with Dr. Lisa, and former host of The Doctors. Thank you so much for being with us.

So, these new guidelines suggests babies should sleep in the same rooms as their parents for six months to even a year, but not in the same bed.

Talk to us why the same room, not the same bed is so important, given many parents do choose to keep the baby in another room, don't they, so that everyone get some sleep. And many mothers, myself included, have taken their babies into bed with them to breast feed and eventually cause everyone of course to sleep.

LISA MASTERSON, OBSTETRICIAN AND GYNECOLOGIST: Right. I think these are great recommendations for parents. Because lots of times they will spend so much money on a whole new room.

And so, these recommendations about the same room, but not the same bed. And it's not the same bed that is so important. Because we worry about sudden infant death syndrome, that's a parent's biggest fear.

And so the bedding in the crib or whatever, you use a bath net is on, it means for a baby is going to be different than the type of bedding that we sleep on as adults. So that's why not in the bed.

And also so that you don't roll on them, there's not pillow, there's no other things that the baby can either choke or strangled or get suffocated with. So, this is a really good recommendation.

CHURCH: And the swaddling is a great way to calm your baby and of course get them off to sleep. But now we're learning that it may even increase the risk of SIDS, if babies are not on their backs. But what about the risk of choking on their own vomit if they're on their backs?

MASTERSON: Right, so actually a little incline is very good, but the idea is that they're on their backs and they're not on face down on their stomachs. That's really what they're trying to say.

The incline is best and you're right just for that reason, but again, it's not so that the mother doesn't have the baby on its stomach and it doesn't have a chance to roll into any, you know, blankets or pillows or any stuffed animals, or things like that.

Parents really have to watch that. And we found that breast feeding actually decreases the risk of sudden infant death syndrome but parents shouldn't fall asleep or the mom shouldn't fall asleep while she's breast feeding, that again is another danger.

So, all these recommendations coming out to give parents really good guidelines about what to do when they're afraid about coming home with this fragile new born baby.

CHURCH: So, does this mean that doctors have now a better idea of what actually causes SIDS? Because a lot of this discussion seems to be more about the possibility of babies suffocating rather than SIDS, which we've all come to know a lot of doctors have said they don't really know what causes a child to suddenly in their sleep.

MASTERSON: Right. There is no exact elegy of why this happened, but we do know if you can prevent these types of things around it, it does decrease by a huge fraction the number of infant deaths that are caused from that.

SIDS is actually when the baby dies in the first year and that usually actually happens within the first six months. And we know that these types of incidents can happen, and about 44 percent are due to SIDS. So, it's really important to have these recommendations because they really can decrease the risk of these types of deaths in the first year.

CHURCH: All right. So, just a quick check on the do's and the don'ts for parents to avoid the possibility of SIDS.

MASTERSON: That again, same room, not the same bed, if they do sleep in a crib that is, you know, the type of bedding that is appropriate for an infant, that they keep pillows and soft blankets away from them. And even stuffed animals, it really should be pretty bare.

And again if they breast feed, they should not fall asleep with the baby. Because again, that can also lead to suffocation. And I know it's very, very hard.

[03:50:02] I, as a parent, I, you know, it happened to me a couple of times. And I also slept with my baby right next to my bed, and my arm, you know, right on the baby's back. Because it is such a huge fear.

So, these guidelines again are really going to give parents some confidence about taking home that little baby.

CHURCH: Yes, so important. Dr. Masterson, thank you so much for joining us, we appreciate it.

MASTERSON: Thank you.

CHURCH: Some great advice there.

Well, three Syrian boys are warming up to Canada's game. The story of how they started playing hockey, that's next.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

JAVAHERI: For the Americas we go. Meteorologist Pedram Javaheri here for CNN Weather Watch.

And notice this big area of high pressure across really the western portion of the United States, the intermountain west, parts of the southwest, high pressure trying to reestablish itself after a couple of days of soggy weather. While across the Midwestern U.S. we're getting some wintry weather across the northern portion of the state of Michigan.

But work your way down to Cleveland, Ohio, game two of the World Series in effect there on Wednesday evening, in 7.08 Eastern Time is when the game is expected to begin, but notice the temperatures at 8 degrees, the game actually moved back a couple of hours earlier than it was originally scheduled to be played.

Because rain showers are expected to move across Cleveland later on in the evening. So, a little fascinating set up there with wet weather expected to move in, so the game has been altered just a little bit.

And you notice the conditions across the western United States rather nice, from San Francisco to Los Angeles, 21-degree afternoon set up for you, while in Vancouver, D.C., some rain coming in, here the disturbance responsible for that.

Multiple areas of active weather beginning to roll in across western United States and southern Canada here. It should really keep it active with the high elevation.

Snow very blustery weather as well for Seattle, Portland and in particular, Northern California could get really the highest end of the rainfall associated with that setup. And the Caribbean, here is what it looks like, scattered showers across this region.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

CHURCH: Adjusting to a new country and culture could be difficult for refugees, but three Syrian boys are embracing their new home by lacing up their skates and learning Canada's national sport.

Hillary Johnstone from CBC News has this story.

HILLARY JOHNSTONE, CBC NEWS CORRESPONDENT: This time last year, Mohammed, Ahmad, and Ismael had never heard of hockey, but now they're hooked on Canada's game.

[03:55:00] UNIDENTIFIED MALE: I love hockey.

JOHNSTONE: Ismael and Mohammed are both 9 years old, and are playing along with Mohammed's 8-year-old brother, Ahmad. They arrived in Ottawa from Syria about eight months ago. Their families quickly met Allan Martel and his partner and started asking to play hockey.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

ALLAN MARTEL, VOLUNTEER HELPING SYRIAN FAMILY: Our son Fahed is a hockey player, 12-year-old. And the boys went to some of his games and fell in love with him and with hockey.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

JOHNSTONE: Martel and the East Ottawa Minor Hockey Association helped to find equipment and cover the boys' registration cost. Neither family has a vehicle, so Martel picks up the boys and their fathers and takes them to the rink.

These proud new hockey dads sit in the stands and cheer along with the other parent. With the help of a translator they say they're proud of their boys.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: "They really like it and they wish to go back - back to their childhood to play this game.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

JOHNSTONE: The boys' coach says she's impressed with how quickly they've learned to skate, despite the language barrier.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

KARINA POTVIN, HEAD COACH: They look at the other kids, they look what they're doing, I always, you know, show the kids what I want. So because there's a lot of visual aspect to it I think that's why they're catching on.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

JOHNSTONE: And they scored on fast, Mohammed scored his first goal during his first game.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: I give best, he give him best. I shoot the goal.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

JOHNSTONE: The boys may have a full English vocabulary quite yet but they know the right words to make your heart melt. After the game we asked why they think people are helping them to play hockey. The answer was simple.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Because he loves me.

JOHNSTONE: Because they love you, that's why they do it?

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Yes.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

JOHNSTONE: Hillary Johnstone, CBC News.

CHURCH: And we love that story. Thanks for joining us. I'm Rosemary Church. Join me on Twitter any time @rosemarycnn. And the news continues now with Hannah Vaughan Jones in London.

Have a good day.

[04:00:00] (COMMERCIAL BREAK)