Return to Transcripts main page


CNN Iowa Polls Shows Biden Leads The Field Of Democratic Candidates In First Caucus State; The New York Times: Mexico Agreed To Border Actions Months Before Trump Unveiled Deal; Seven Injured At D.C. Pride Parade After Noises Mistaken For Gunfire; Family Searching For Answers After Army Vet Died In Police Custody; Texas Police Chief Missing After Being Knocked Off Fishing Boat; Missing Hiker Found After Being Lost For Six Days; New York Prosecutors Want Paul Manafort Moved To Rikers Island. Aired 6-7a ET

Aired June 9, 2019 - 06:00   ET




UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: The first real meaningful test of where Democratic voters are leaning, the man or woman who won the Iowa Democratic caucuses went on to become the Democratic nominee.

SEN. BERNIE SANDERS (I-VT), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: A lot of the polls have me and Joe Biden defeating Trump pretty handily.

SEN. KIRSTEN GILLIBRAND (D-NY), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: We are standing on the shoulders of people who have come before us and who have fought for us.

SEN. KAMALA HARRIS (D-CA), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: In this election regarding my background as a prosecutor, I believe safety is a civil right.

MAYOR PETE BUTTIGIEG (D-IN), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: I don't even view us as having opponents so much as these cattle calls pick up we're going to get to know each other better and better. We might as well car pool to some of these --


CHRISTI PAUL, CNN ANCHOR: Well, good morning to you. Welcome to Sunday. It's good to have you here. I'm Christi Paul.

MARTIN SAVIDGE, CNN ANCHOR: And I'm Martin Savidge in for Victor Blackwell.

PAUL: Thank you for being here, Martin. As always.

SAVIDGE: It's a pleasure.

PAUL: OK. So two major stories that we are following this morning for you. First of all the 2020 Democratic candidates they're put to the test in this newly released CNN/Des Moines Register poll. Former Vice President Joe Biden leading the pack as the top choice of likely participants in the first of the nation Iowa Democratic caucuses. However he is ahead by a smaller margin than has been seen previously compared to his numbers in other recent national polling. The question is, should he be worried?

SAVIDGE: Plus, President Trump touts an old deal the day after an unprecedented deal to avert tariffs. The "New York Times" reporting that Mexico agreed to take border action months before President Trump announced the tariff agreement.

PAUL: All right. We're going to talk about that. But let's get you some background on this new CNN/Des Moines Iowa poll because it's no ordinary poll. This is the gold standard for Iowa polling and this is why it matters.

In the last four U.S. presidential elections when there was no Democratic incumbent running whoever won the Iowa Democratic caucus went on to become the Democratic nominee.

SAVIDGE: With more than 20 men and women buying for the White House the poll results point to who Iowa's Democratic voters like most right now? What they like in their candidates and even how they feel about the idea of impeaching the president.

PAUL: So also for the first time the Iowa poll accounts for new rules proposed this year by the Iowa Democratic Party. That is allowing Iowans to participate in a virtual caucus that happens online or over the phone.

SAVIDGE: And the results of those caucuses will account for 10 percent of the final delegate equivalent regardless of how many people participate. Meanwhile nearly 20 of the Democratic candidates will be in Iowa tonight for the state's Democratic Hall of Fame dinner. CNN's David Chalian looks at whether the event can make a difference among Iowa's most dedicated Democrats.

DAVID CHALIAN, CNN POLITICAL DIRECTOR: The Iowa caucuses may be just less than eight months away, but, today, is a big day in that first in the nation contest. Nineteen of the 23 Democrats running for the nomination to take on Donald Trump will be convening at a big Iowa Democratic Party fundraising and organizing event Cedar Rapids. They will each get to address the crowd of faithful and try to break through. And breaking through doesn't seem to be the easiest task.

Take a look at our brand-new CNN/Des Moines Register poll and you will see that only five candidates actually crack 5 percent in this poll. Joe Biden, the former vice president, continues to lead the pack at 24 percent. Sixteen percent for Sanders. Fifteen percent for Elizabeth Warren. Fourteen percent for Pete Buttigieg and 7 percent for Kamala Harris.

What you see here is Joe Biden in the lead but closer contest than we've seen in many recent national polls and Bernie Sanders here in Iowa clearly does not have second place to himself. He is there virtually tied with Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg. So there is real contest forming here in Iowa. We also asked folks in addition to that first choice for your preference in the Iowa Democratic caucuses, who would be your second choice? Who else in this group are you actively considering? Take a look at these numbers. Sixty-one percent say they're actively considering Biden or he's their first or second choice. Same for Warren. Sanders at 56 percent. Buttigieg at 52 percent. Harris at 52 and then you see Booker and O'Rourke round out there.

But a majority of the Iowa Democratic likely caucus goers are still shopping around here among that top five group of candidates there. That is a key factor in this poll.

We also look at the enthusiasm issue and this may be a potential warning sign for Joe Biden. Among his supporters 29 percent of them say they are extremely enthusiastic about that choice, compared to 39 percent who support everyone else who say they are extremely enthusiastic about their choice.


So Joe Biden, one warning sign and what is a pretty good poll for him is this potential enthusiasm gap. Of course, we also want to know what is driving voters' choices, what are they looking for in these candidates. Sixty-five percent of Iowa Democratic caucus goers tell us in this poll they want someone who has a strong chance to win. Only 31 percent say that they want someone who shares their positions clearly defeating Donald Trump is issue number one for Iowa Democrats.

Take a look at these candidate qualities we also tested. Issues, integrity, intelligence, leadership. These are the top qualities that Iowa Democrats are looking for in their candidate.

And finally, I just want to share this information on impeachment because Nancy Pelosi, back in Washington, has been taking some heat from the left wing of her party. Take a look at this. She seems to be holding the right position even within the Democratic Party, at least here in Iowa, 42 percent of Iowa Democrats likely caucus going Democrats tell us impeachment should begin right now or the House Democrats are shirking their responsibility. Forty-eight percent, the pluralities say, no, keep on with investigation but don't begin impeachment proceedings now. That is where Nancy Pelosi is.

So taking a pulse of activist in the party here you see it's just not an easy equation for her. But when it comes to that main horse race taking the temperature nearly eight months out from caucus day, Joe Biden is in the driver's seat here. He won't be with the 19 Democrats today in Cedar Rapids. Joe Biden will be in Iowa on Tuesday. He'll be sharing the state with President Donald Trump that day.

Christi, Martin, back to you.

PAUL: David, thank you so much.

Now CNN White House reporter Sarah Westwood is at the White House this morning. Sarah, we just heard there the president is going to be in Iowa this week as well. What's going to happen? SARAH WESTWOOD, CNN WHITE HOUSE REPORTER: That's right, Christi. The president will have an official event in Council Bluffs, Iowa, that will be related to some energy regulations that his White House has been working on or deregulation for that matter. And he'll also be going to the other side of the state to raise money for his campaign the same day as you mentioned that Joe Biden will be in the Hawkeye state.

But this is significant because it is the president's first time in Iowa as a candidate for re-election for 2020 and it comes just about a week before his official relaunch of his re-election campaign happens. That will be a June 18th rally in Florida. Now even though the president has been working on his re-election effort for months now we are starting to just now see the campaign start to ramp up behind the scenes. There has been a lot of activity as the president prepares to run in a general election.

PAUL: All right. Sarah Westwood, we appreciate it. Thank you so much.

Let's bring in CNN political commentator and host of "You Decide" podcast Errol Louis. Errol, good morning to you.


PAUL: So glad to have you here. We see this 24 percent favor for former vice president, right? Joe Biden. He is only eight points ahead of Bernie Sanders right now in this latest poll in Iowa. We know how important it is. We pointed that out at the beginning of the show.

Is this, at this point, do you think just about the familiarity of his name or is there something else that's elevating him?

LOUIS: I think you've got to assume that it's something else. It's not simply name recognition. This is somebody who has been in politics for a long, long time. But so have some of the others including Bernie Sanders.

So the preference here also you have to keep in mind the viewers have to really understand that these are people who are the most active. You know the caucus in Iowa involves going out in front of your neighbors and openly campaigning basically for your candidate and physically lining up behind people in a gymnasium or some other kind of place and it could take hours.

And so this is an unusual poll in that I think 60 plus, even 70 percent of the people who were polled actually have attended a caucus in the past. These are people who know what they are doing and these are people who would know who all of the candidates -- or many of the candidates are.

So Joe Biden is sitting pretty if he has a plurality or a substantial support in recognition from people who almost certainly are going to be in the caucus room. And, you know, the polls will fluctuate a little bit here and there, but I don't know if you're going to see too many like this where you've got people who are absolutely activists, who have done it before, who are going to come out again and who say that they like him.

PAUL: We look at 15 percent for Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren. She was also 14 percent as a second choice and 32 percent of the people are considering her.


This is a strong showing for her, right? Because at one point there were a lot of people who said she is just not moving the needle.

LOUIS: That's right. And look, she's -- she's -- she has made a case and she publicly announced her strategy which is just to flood people with all kinds of proposals and information, put her ideas out there and invite people -- invite her rivals to match her and invite voters to accept it, to sort of probe through it and see. I mean -- and that is picture perfect for activists of the kind who go to Iowa caucuses.

So she is campaigning the way they want to be talked to. These are people who if they are going to invest a few hours for you on a cold night next year --

PAUL: Yes.

LOUIS: -- they want to know why they are out there and so she is telling them. She's not trying to do sort of gauzy feel-good messaging. She is really trying to tell people what it is and where it is she wants to take the nation.

PAUL: What do you make of the seven candidates who earned 1 percent or the nine who earned zero at this point? Again, it's a big field. It's very early in this whole process, certainly. But when you've got New York City mayor Bill de Blasio; Miramar, Florida mayor Wayne Messam who weren't listed by a single respondent as their first or second choice.

LOUIS: Well, I know Mayor de Blasio quite well. I interview him every week on my television show.

PAUL: Yes.

LOUIS: And he is absolutely undaunted. He has organized caucuses -- Iowa caucuses for other candidates in the past. He has always started out in every race he has ever won and has been in office now continuously for almost 20 years now and never lost a race. He always starts out kind of behind.

So he just kind of shrugs and says, it's not where you start out it's where you end up. And I've got some work to do. It is a helpful reminder, Christi, that we're about -- what -- eight months out. There's plenty of -- there's plenty of time. There's plenty of room. There's televised debates and all kinds of other key break points and opportunities for candidates to break through.

I know it's going to be discouraging for Mayor de Blasio and others who are polling so poorly at this point but politicians of this stripe they really, really think highly of themselves and their ability to turn a negative situation around.

SAVIDGE: If we can let's swing from talking about politics to tariffs now. "The New York Times" reporting Mexico and the U.S. agreed on the details in the border agreement months before Trump even threatened these tariffs. So in other words the president seems to be touting and praising what is essentially a deal that was done months before.

LOUIS: That's right, Martin. And not only that, it's not clear whether this is going to work. The reality is because all of these proposals were talked about before, were agreed to before and yet the numbers have gone up so that in late May you have the largest number of border apprehensions in a single day that we have ever had.

You know, the fact that that is going on tells you that there's a good chance that we're going to have to revisit this issue. The reporting by "The New York Times" suggest that the president is looking at daily numbers of apprehensions in migrants showing up at the border and asylum refugees or would be refugees applying for asylum. And it seems to be enraging him.

I don't know why he would look at those numbers every day because we know that there are going to be thousands and thousands of people seeking safety, seeking shelter, seeking refuge here in United States. If you let those numbers drive him crazy, yes, I think we're going to be right back where we started where he'll be looking for anything whether it's a tariff war or anything else to try and stop a situation that requires an entirely different approach.

SAVIDGE: Right. All right. Errol Louis, great to see you. Thanks very much.

PAUL: Thank, Errol.

LOUIS: Thank you, Martin. Thanks, Christi.

PAUL: So there's one welcome for the president of Mexico in Tijuana. Yesterday, what was meant to be a rally against tariffs turned into a celebration of this trade deal with the U.S. His message on what the end of the standoff with President Trump means for Mexico.

SAVIDGE: Plus, a Texas police chief is missing after he was knocked overboard from a fishing boat. Coming up, the latest on the search.


UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: What is happening?


PAUL: It was celebration and then it was panic. Reports of gunfire sent crowds running at Washington, D.C.'s pride parade. What police are saying about the incident.


SAVIDGE: Washington, D.C.'s pride parade came to an abrupt end with crowds running away from what they thought was gunfire. Take a listen.


UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: What's happening?

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: Get in here! Get in here now! Get in here! Get in here now!



UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Someone has a gun!


SAVIDGE: After several minutes of understandable panic, police were able to secure the area. One man was arrested for possession of a handgun but police say there was no evidence any shots were fired. Seven parade goers were injured while running away. After the chaos, police cancelled the rest of the parade but other parade activities went on as planned.

It's been more than a year since an army veteran died while in police custody but his family is still trying to determine what happened to their loved one.

PAUL: Yes. In April of last year, Everett Palmer Jr. drove to Pennsylvania to resolve an outstanding DUI warrant. Now two days later the 41-year-old father of two was dead. When his body was returned to his family the body was missing several organs.

Here is CNN's Polo Sandoval.


POLO SANDOVAL, CNN CORRESPONDENT: All we know is what the family of Everett Palmer Jr. says authorities have told him and that is that their loved one died while in police custody in York County, Pennsylvania, last April. According to the family, an initial autopsy by the York County coroner's office stated that Palmer died after an incident following an excited state during which he started to hit his head against the inside of his cell door and, at the time, was restrained by authorities. But the report also showing that he had traces of methamphetamine in his system and concluded the cause of death is undetermined.

The family says that, though, he did have a history of drug use this kind of behavior is just not like him, so they hired their own pathologist not long after the death. That pathologist discovered that the heart, the brain, and the throat were missing from Palmer's body. The York County coroner Pamela Gay says there's an explanation for that.


Those organs, according to her, were retained for further study and will not be released until the investigation is complete. In the case of the throat removal for example Gay says that that is done to make sure that there wasn't kind of component that caused asphyxia.

The way Gay describes it for CNN it's -- that they do have a process investigating these kind of questionable deaths and that process is being followed and they also say that they have been in contact with the family who says through their attorney that they still want more transparency, they want more answers, according to them. They are still calling on authorities to release potentially any surveillance video that captured the interior of that holding cell the day that this happened. They say they have been told what happened to their loved one but they want to see it with their own eyes.

Finally, we did reach out to the York County district attorney to comment. They say they will not comment on this case as this investigation is still ongoing.


PAUL: All right. Polo, thank you so much.

SAVIDGE: The search is under way right now for a Texas police chief who was knocked overboard when his fishing boat was hit by a larger passing vessel. Chris Reed was last seen Friday afternoon while fishing with his wife in Galveston Bay. He did not have a life jacket on at the time of the accident. Reed is a police chief in Kemah, Texas, that's a town about 40 miles from Houston. The Coast Guard and other federal as well as local agencies were all searching for Reed.

PAUL: Well, a hiker from Texas has been found -- found in a remote area in Arkansas after he was missing for nearly a week. According to CNN affiliate KTOK search crews found Joshua McClatchy on Friday night six days after he went on a hike about 105 miles west of Little Rock. Now searchers spotted him from a helicopter using infrared technology. He was -- he said -- he was said to be dehydrated but otherwise he's in good shape after his rescue.

SAVIDGE: That is good news.

Well, from a life of luxury to one of the most notorious jail complexes in America, former Trump chairman Paul Manafort may be moved to Rikers Island. What his lawyers may do to try to prevent that.

PAUL: And in Arizona look at these pictures we are getting in. Firefighters are racing to try to get control of this wildfire. It has already burned more than 7,000 acres. What they are saying is behind this.


[06:26:01] PAUL: Well, President Trump's former campaign chairman could be headed to the notorious Rikers Island jail. Of course that is in New York. Well, prosecutors want Paul Manafort moved while he awaits trial on state fraud charges.

SAVIDGE: But his lawyers, well, they are obviously trying to fight that move. They are citing health reasons. CNN Brian Todd has the details.


BRIAN TODD, CNN CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): Former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort once lived in the lap of luxury. His million dollar homes in the Hamptons, Trump Tower and in Florida known for their extravagance but now life for the now disgraced campaign operative who is serving a seven and a half years sentence after being convicted on federal charges of bank fraud, tax fraud and lobbying violations as part of Robert Mueller's Russia investigation may be about to get a lot worse.

A source tells CNN prosecutors in New York are trying to move Manafort from the minimum security prison in Pennsylvania where he is currently housed to Rikers Island jail in New York City where infamous figures like Son of Sam and John Lennon's killer have been held. Rikers is a network of nine jails with about 7,500 inmates.

According to critics to and to say Rikers is dangerous is a gross understatement.

ALICE FONTIER, THE BRONX DEFENDERS: Violence comes in all forms from other people who are incarcerated there to violence at the hands of the corrections officers.

TODD: Manafort's possible move from what some consider to be the cushy confines of his low security prison to one of the country's most feared lock-ups comes as he awaits trial on New York state charges of mortgage fraud, charges some say that were designed to make him pardon proof because the president can't commute sentences for state crimes. While the president has expressed sympathy for Manafort.

TRUMP: You know what? He happens to be a very good person.

TODD: He has said he hasn't discussed a pardon for him.

SCOTT FREDERICKSEN, FORMER FEDERAL PROSECUTOR: I think will be more pressure now on President Trump from Paul Manafort supporters to get the president to pardon Mr. Manafort while he is sitting in Rikers.

TODD: Sitting in Rikers could be a shock to the system for a man who once wore expensive jackets made of ostrich and python skin and who has complained about conditions in federal prison. If Manafort is moved to Rikers he will likely be in solitary confinement similar to the condition which Manafort's lawyers say led his health to deteriorate while he awaited his federal trial last year.

Observers say he would be in an isolated cell for about 23 hours a day and that in the hour he is out his life could be at risk.

FONTIER: He will be as at risk as anyone else who is at that facility when he is not in his cell. Obviously, people will know who he is and, therefore, he could conceivably be more of a target, but I have to imagine that he will have guards around him 24 hours a day.

TODD: In 2015, prosecutors in New York reached a settlement with the city after a multiyear investigation found that adolescent inmates at Rikers were not protected from the rampant use of excessive force by guards and other inmates. Responding to the claims about dangerous conditions at Rikers a top New York corrections official tells CNN there has been a drastic reduction in violent incidents at the jail over the past two years. A former corrections officer there does not believe that Manafort would be in danger.

ED GAVIN, FORMER TEAMS COMMANDING OFFICER AT RIKERS ISLAND: He'll be kept in a secure environment. He'll get three squares. If he needs medical treatment he's in close proximity to Elmhurst hospital where we maintain a prison ward. So he's going to be just fine.

TODD (on camera): A former prosecutor say that if President Trump pardons Paul Manafort upon learning of his possible transport to Rikers then a the district attorney in Manhattan Cy Vance will likely file a motion with a judge in New York to keep Manafort in jail in New York while he awaits trial there. They say that Vance is very likely going to make the argument that Paul Manafort has already been convicted of serious charges like witness tampering and that a federal judge has already ruled that he was a flight risk. Cy Vance's office has not commented on any of this.

Brian Todd, CNN, Washington.


PAUL: Brian, thank you so much.

Janet Johnson, criminal defense attorney with us now.


Good morning to you, Janet. So if he is in federal prison already, a lot of people might say how does he get to New York Rikers?

JANET JOHNSON, CRIMINAL DEFENSE ATTORNEY: Right. Well, he has new charges. So the State of New York has also indicted and they are charging him. He has to be brought to Rikers at least for one day so he can be arraigned. And the question is will he stay here or will he go back to a federal prison? Maybe not the one in Pennsylvania where he has been housed but maybe a New York federal prison so he can get his game time because he won't get that in Rikers Island.

So he can still get the medical attention that he would get in prison. And, you know, let's face it. Prison is nicer than jail no matter what the jail is.

PAUL: Is there a solid argument from his attorneys that would keep him from going to Rikers?

JOHNSON: Well, no and yes. He will go to Rikers. He will be there for some period of time so he can be arraigned. But will he be kept there for six to nine months while he awaits trial? I think his lawyers may succeed in getting him sent back to a federal prison because they can transport him. It's not that difficult.

He will get his 85 percent which is what he is entitled to, that's his game time. He won't get that while he is awaiting trial if he is in Rikers. And he is 70 years old. So will he show up in a wheelchair? Will he look a little different than the Paul Manafort that we saw before his trial? I wouldn't be surprised.

PAUL: So let me ask you this. If he is moved to Rikers, is it still possible that he could get a presidential pardon?

JOHNSON: Yes. But if I were his lawyer, not that he is the lawyer would be talking to the President, I would be hoping that he doesn't get a pardon because then he has no federal prison to go sit in while he is awaiting this trial. I think a pardon right now would not help him in terms of his comfort level and he would just be sitting in Rikers Island. Maybe he'd be out on bond but I suspect he would be kept at Rikers.

PAUL: Okay. So there is this kind of curious revelation in the Parkland shooting case I want to ask you about. Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School, just to remind everybody, the safety resource officer charged with 11 counts, including felony, child neglect. His name is Scot Peterson.

He apparently heard the shots fired by the gunman at the school. He didn't enter the building. He didn't confront the shooter but he's been charged now under a statute that applies to caregivers. Is that a problem for prosecutors? What does that mean?

JOHNSON: Yes, I think it is, Christi. You know, I practiced in Florida and I've actually defended people who were charged with this neglect and they were daycare workers. They were teachers. You know, Scot Peterson is an employee of the Sheriff's Office. He was at the school as a school resource officer. But I think his defense attorneys will have a strong argument that he is not an employee, he is not a caregiver, as it is defined in Florida law. I don't think these charges are going to see the light of day.

PAUL: You don't think they will see the light of day?

JOHNSON: Yes. I mean, I think they will be dismissed on that ground before they go to trial. That would my prediction. Because, quite frankly, you know, the police are exempted for most of the statute that says a caregiver is someone who is employed by the school who is there purely to teach or to nurture the child and has somehow fallen short of that. Now, do we want to see Scot Peterson -- you know, he shouldn't have that job. He should, you know, be punished maybe civilly for having neglected his duty but I don't think he is going to be convicted.

PAUL: Wow, all right. Janet Johnson, we appreciate your insight as always. Thank you, ma'am.

JOHNSON: Thanks.

PAUL: Marty?

MARTIN SAVIDGE, CNN NEW DAY: The House Judiciary Committee is holding a hearing on the Mueller report. That will be tomorrow.

PAUL: Awesome, thank you.

SAVIDGE: John Dean, Trump critic and former White House Counsel to President Richard Nixon is scheduled to testify. He is just one of several U.S. attorneys and legal experts expected to offer his testimony.

Committee Chairman Democrat Jerry Nadler says that examining findings of the report could, quote, protect future elections through consideration of legislative and other remedies.

PAUL: Listen, people who live in Arizona and California are dealing with a major threat right now. There are these wildfires this weekend. I want to show you some of the pictures we are getting in here.

In Northern California, for instance, there's a major fire that's burned already 1,700 acres. You're going to hear the drastic measure, the major utility company there is taking, and that's because there are fears over weather conditions making things even worse.

SAVIDGE: Plus, the 2020 democrats are blitzing Iowa as the progressive candidates make their pitch and sharpen their attacks. Can the runner-up in 2016 end up on top in 2020? We'll a live exclusive interview with Senator Bernie Sanders this morning on State of the Union, that's this morning, 9:00 Eastern right here CNN.



SAVIDGE: Firefighters out west are working to contain several wildfires this weekend. In Arizona, the so-called mountain fire has burned through more than 7,000 acres in the Tonto National Forest, that since it broke out on Friday. Officials there say that the fire was human-caused, but they haven't released any more information beyond that.

PAUL: And in California, a big concern there is the sand fire. It's burned some 1,700 acres in Yolo County and a lot of people in Northern California are dealing with fire threat without power. That's because PG&E, the major utility company there, turning off power, several counties -- for several counties as a precaution because they're affecting approximately 16,000 customers there and it depends on the weather conditions is what this comes down to. They believe that could still be impacted.

Containing current blazes, that could be something that gets a lot harder as these new wildfires are sparking.

SAVIDGE: CNN Meteorologist Allison Chinchar is here with a look what the folks are or when the folks at west blanket some relief (ph), Allison.

ALLISON CHINCHAR, CNN METEOROLOGIST: Yes, not in the short-term, that is for sure. We are looking at the conditions for today. And we still expect that fire threat to remain very high. Look, we've got low humidity across much of this region here that you see in pink. We're talking at best this afternoon, humidity is up around 15 percent, which is incredibly low. Also the winds could be gusting up to 50 miles per hour. You can have those fires spread with 20, 30- mile-per-hour range but we are talking as high as 50 miles per hour.

The other thing is going to be building heat over the next couple of days, and that's really going to cause a problem, not just -- it's really so much about the firefighters, because it makes it much more difficult for them when those temperatures are at such extreme levels. And it's not just going to be hot in California but we also have excessive heat watches across portions of Arizona as well.


How hot exactly are we talking about? Well, take, for example, right in California. The normal high this time of year about 88, it will be 97 today, but 108 on Tuesday. Again, incredibly hot temperatures. Phoenix expected to be around 109 on Tuesday, even Las Vegas topping at around 105 on Tuesday. But it's not the only place we're talking about heat. Look at Texas. You've also got heat advisories and excessive heat warnings.

Now, in Texas, it's a combination of not only the temperature but also that heat index, that humidity that is going to be in the air. Look at Brownsville, Texas. The high temperature today is expected to be 96 but the feels like temperature will be 116. Corpus Christi, that feels like temperature 112. Houston, not that much better at 105.

In addition to all of the heat and the humidity, we also have the potential for some severe storms across portions of Texas as well. The main threats are going to be damaging winds, the potential for some very large hail. But we also have a threat for at least a few isolated tornadoes. We're talking cities like San Antonio, Dallas, San Angelo and portions of Waco, Texas.

Here's a look at the time line. The morning hours are not expected to be necessarily the big issue. It's the afternoon and the evening hours. That's -- Christi and Martin, that's when we expect to really see a lot of those storms begin to fire back up. And for some of these areas, especially areas across the southeast, it's also just the concern for flooding. Because in a lot of these places, you've had days now of rain and now we're adding more on top of it.

PAUL: What a mess. Allison Chinchar, thank you for the heads-up.

SAVIDGE: Meanwhile, the deal and the standoff over tariffs between the U.S. and Mexico is getting mixed reactions. The Mexican President calling it a good deal for Mexico, as a huge crowd rallied to celebrate. But then we're also hearing from migrants hoping to find refuge in the U.S. who say that they're now fearful what the deal means for their future.



SAVIDGE: In Hong Kong, massive crowds protesting a controversial extradition bill. The bill would allow China to extradite fugitives from Hong Kong for trial in the mainland.

PAUL: Now, the government says the bill is designed to plug loopholes in the current law and let Hong Kong decide on a case-by-case basis whether to send them fugitives to territories where it doesn't have formal extradition deals.

Critics, however, contend this gives China the authority to grab people for political reasons and undermine Hong Kong's semi-autonomous legal system.

Mexico's President got a pretty warm welcome in Tijuana after reaching a trade deal with the U.S. Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador told crowds at a rally yesterday that politics won over confrontation.

SAVIDGE: But for migrants wanting to enter the U.S., uncertainty over their future remains as they try to figure out how that deal affects them. Here is CNN's Paula Newton.


PAULA NEWTON, CNN INTERNATIONAL CORRESPONDENT: Here in Tijuana, this was supposed to be a unity rally, a protest rally to really show Mexican strength when it was faced with those tariffs from the Trump administration, don't need it any longer. They've turned this into a celebration rally.

And President Lopez Obrador, the Mexican President, insisting that Mexico got a good deal out of this negotiation, says before he came here, he was on the phone with President Trump. President Lopez Obrador says, no, that, in fact, they did not give in to the most drastic demands of the U.S. administration. Take a listen.

ANDRES MANUEL LOPEZ OBRADOR, MEXICAN PRESIDENT: As the head and representative of the Mexican state, I cannot permit that anyone go against the economy of our country and much less that they establish an unjust asymmetry unworthy of our government and humiliating to our nation.

Fortunately, yesterday, the politics of confrontation were imposed. And I must recognize that there was willingness to seek a negotiated exit to the conflict on behalf of President Donald Trump and his collaborators.

NEWTON: Now, beyond the actual words and the details with this new deal, the migrants here are still trying to figure out what it all means for them and many of them are terrified about the fact that they will never reach their ultimate goal of getting to the United States. You can really see the frustration on their face and feel the grief with which they are now confronting their future.

JEHNI RODRIGUEZ, SALVADORIAN MIGRANT: In the end, in my neighborhood, the gangs harassed me, that if I didn't get on their side, I would have to to leave or they would kill me and my daughter.

LORENA, GUATEMALAN MIGRANT: Well, there are people that might say I won't go. Putting yourself in a situation in a country that is not our own. Or sometimes we don't have no money, no support because sometimes happens on track.

So some might prefer to stay. Others will prefer to risk it, risk what comes.

NEWTON: For you now though, Mexico is still taking this as a win and understanding that they averted economic disaster without those tariffs being imposed on Monday and without those escalating tariffs over their heads.

Having said that, they're not out of the woods yet. The Trump administration and the Mexican government say they will be looking very carefully to see how their new deal is implemented over the next 90 days. Paula Newton, CNN, Tijuana, Mexico.


SAVIDGE: Well, frustration boils over for the world's number one and the outburst, well, you know, it's caught on camera. Coy Wire here this morning. Good morning, Coy.

COY WIRE, CNN SPORTS CORRESPONDENT: Good morning. Novak Djokovic has been on a tear, but what pushed him to this exchange with the chair umpire at the French Open?



UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Yes, by the rule, it's 25 seconds.

DJOKOVIC: Have you ever played tennis?





SAVIDGE: If you've been following the French Open, an incredible comeback, the champion and Australian who actually quit the sport a few years ago. PAUL: Coy Wire is here with the story of Ashleigh Barty.

WIRE: Yes. You call Ashleigh Barty a prodigy, no doubt. She was a Junior Wimbledon champ. She had always high expectations. Well, now, the prodigal daughter, if you will, has returned. The 23-year-old Australian cruising through the French Open, beating another rising star, 19-year-old Marketa Vondrousova, in straight sets in the final yesterday. But this run almost never happened, as Martin mentioned.

Barty quit tennis when she was just 18, says she was burned out. So what does she do? She says, I'm going to go play professional cricket. And she did that for two years. It was so good some thought that she would have actually made the Australian national team but Barty returned to tennis in 201, rejuvenated now. She's grand slam champ.

All right, on the men's side, Novak Djokovic going for his fourth straight grand slam title, but he blew up at a chair umpire. Watch this.


DJOKOVIC: Tell me why you keep on calling the score one second after the is finished.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Because that's the procedure, Novak.

DJOKOVIC: Because that's the rules, right?

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Yes. By the rule, it's 25 seconds.

DJOKOVIC: Have you ever played tennis?


DJOKOVIC: You've played tennis, right? So you know how it is in this situation of 5-6, long point, crowd is still clapping, right?


DJOKOVIC: You know how it is, right?


DJOKOVIC: Well done. You made yourself a name.


WIRE: Djokovic venting his frustration because it's a semifinal match. It was a wild one. Two days, three rain delay and the world number one in the end gets beaten by 25-year-old Austrian Dominic Thiem. Thiem now gets to play now world number two, 11 time and defending French Open champ Rafael Nadal in the final today.


It's a rematch of last year's final.

Let's go to the Women's World Cup. Norway looking to win its second ever title and they had their way against Nigeria. Lisa-Marie Utland with this blast past the Nigerian goalkeeper, one of their goals in their 3-0 win. Check out the celebration after. This is like Martin and Christi after the show, selfie time. Yes, we did it. The U.S. Women's National Team, they are looking to repeat as champions. They play Tuesday against Thailand, kickoff at 3:00 P.M. I think we're all going to have to get together for that one.

SAVIDGE: Yes. Yes, I know I think a lot of people will get together.

PAUL: That would be a good one, get a little beer.

WIRE: There you go.

SAVIDGE: We do that all the time right here, don't we?

WIRE: That's right.

PAUL: You just don't come over here a lot now, Coy?

WIRE: Not enough, right.

PAUL: Yes. Thank you, Coy.

SAVIDGE: You bring me beer. Thanks very much, Coy.

PAUL: So, listen. We want to tell you about this desperate search that's going on for a Texas police chief. He was knocked overboard while fishing and they can't find him.

SAVIDGE: And the concern now it's been over 24 hours. We'll have the very latest on the rescue efforts and New Day will continue after this break.


PAUL: The first real meaningful test of where democratic voters are leaning, the man or woman who won the Iowa democratic caucuses went on to become the democratic nominee.


SEN. BERNIE SANDERS (D-VT): A lot of the polls have me and Joe Biden defeating Trump pretty handily.

SEN. KIRSTEN GILLIBRAND (D-NY): We are standing on the shoulders of people who have come before us, who have fought for us.