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President Biden and Former President Obama Rally In Philadelphia; Warnock, Walker Trade In Final Days Of GA Senate Race; Fetterman, Oz Make Final Pitch To Pennsylvania Voters; Races In Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona Could Determine Control Of Senate; Powerball Jackpot Grows To $1.9 Billion After No Winning Ticket Drawn; Houston Astros Claim Second Title In Six Decades; Biden Campaigns In New York Today To Rally Support For Gov. Hochul; Biden Campaigns In New York Today To Rally Support For Gov. Hochul; Carter Center To Monitor Elections In Georgia's Fulton County; Results Of Key Races May Not Be Decided Election Night; Singer Aaron Carter Dead At 34; At Least 19 Dead After Commercial Plane Crashes Into Lake Victoria; Tropical Disturbance Could Dampen Voter Turnout In Florida. Aired 11a-12p ET

Aired November 06, 2022 - 11:00   ET

THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

[11:00:32]

FREDRICKA WHITFIELD, CNN ANCHOR: Tragedy in California, 34-year-old singer Aaron Carter found dead in his home. How his family and friends are remembering the former child pop star. Plus, candidates in toss up races across the country are hoping to catch the momentum in this 11th hour. CNN takes you live with the campaign trail in Pennsylvania, Georgia, New York and Florida.

And later, did you check your ticket? Well, don't worry, you didn't win the Powerball. But nobody else did either. We'll tell you how much the next expected jackpot will be worth.

Hello, everyone. Thank you so much for joining me this Sunday. I'm Fredericka Whitfield. All right, we begin this hour on the campaign trail just two days remain until the midterm elections and the stakes couldn't be higher as candidates make their final pitches to voters.

Key battleground states of Georgia, Nevada, Arizona and Pennsylvania could tip the balance of power to either party in Washington. Many voters have already made up their minds. More than 38 million early ballots have been cast in 47 states.

President Biden and former Presidents Obama and Trump all campaigning in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania this weekend, where razor close races could hold the key to a Senate Majority. CNN's Jessica Dean and Eva McKend are watching all the twists and turns on the campaign trail in these critical battleground states.

Jessica, to you first, three presidents campaigning in the state of Pennsylvania. So, what does that say about how important those races are?

JESSICA DEAN, CNN CONGRESSIONAL CORRESPONDENT: Well, it tells you everything you need to know, Fredricka. Pennsylvania is really the center of the universe right now in terms of where all of the star power is going in the party. And it is no accident that we saw three presidents in the Commonwealth just a couple of days before election day.

Yesterday was all about turning out the base on both sides, both for the Democrats and the Republicans. That is step one, and winning across the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. And to that end, we saw former President Barack Obama with the Senate candidate, the Democratic Senate candidate John Fetterman in Pittsburgh, and then also in Philadelphia, with President Joe Biden, who really has not hit the campaign trail that much in this way.

This was a big political rally, get-out-the-vote rally. I'll let you listen to both President Biden and President Obama.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

BARACK OBAMA, FORMER PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES: -- are on the ballot. Truth and facts and logic and reason and basic decency on the ballot. Democracy itself is on the ballot. The stakes are high. Yes. The stakes are high.

JOE BIDEN, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES: We're going to meet that moment. Just like we've done before. We are -- we're going to enter those final days of this midterm election, remembering that the power of America is in your hands. It really is.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

DEAN: And again, they were in Pittsburgh -- Obama in Pittsburgh, both of them in Philadelphia, big Democratic strongholds, really hoping to energize the basis there. And then we also saw former President Donald Trump in more rural Pennsylvania. He was about an hour from here. We went out there to Latrobe, Pennsylvania last night, a big crowd where he was really rallying for the Republican candidates, Fredricka.

And Mehmet Oz, the Republican opponent to John Fetterman in this Senate race has really tried to toe the line between riling up the Republican base, which he's going to need a lot of these rural conservative voters who would have been at that rally last night where Oz was.

But when we heard from him, it was notable he didn't mention President Trump by name. He did not mention the Republican gubernatorial candidate Doug Mastriano by name and said he really stuck to his stump speech that really pitches him as a moderate to voters out there saying that he wants to do away with extremism and be very bipartisan, should he be able to go to Washington.

So again, we heard more of that last night. Both Oz and Fetterman, Fredricka, we should note after trying to get the bases riled up, are in this -- in some swing counties today really trying to get those independent voters that will play such a key role in election day just a couple of days.

[11:05:02]

WHITFIELD: Yes, any -- every minute and every region counts that's for sure. Jessica Dean, thanks so much.

On to you, Eva, in Georgia, your new resident away from home. Another key state, you know, for control of the U.S. Senate, a big battle taking place. So what is the messaging from candidates in Georgia?

EVA MCKEND, CNN NATIONAL POLITICS REPORTER: Well, Fred, as we have been traveling across the campaign trail, you're always looking for variations in the stump speech. But really Republican Herschel Walker, incumbent Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock, they remain consistent in their messaging.

Walker playing up his personal biography as a former NFL star, saying it's good he's not a standard politician and arguing that Warnock has forgot about Georgians in the two years that he's been in Washington, saying also that Warnock is too aligned with President Biden on Biden's economic agenda.

Meanwhile, Warnock argues that Herschel Walker is not fit to serve in the United States Senate. He jokes with his supporters that you actually have to know stuff to do this job. And then he also runs on his record, this record of advocating for the lower cost of insulin and working with Republicans in service of Georgians. Let's take a listen to how they make these arguments on the trail.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

HERSCHEL WALKER (R), GEORGIA SENATE CANDIDATE: He has failed as a senator, has he not? He's failed. On less than two years, you all see what we had? You all see where we had? Now, he asked for about six more years. Is he kidding me? He can't get six more years. He's joking. I know it's a joke, if you want six more years.

SEN. RAPHAEL WARNOCK (D), GEORGIA SENATE CANDIDATE: If you send me back to the Senate, you'll have somebody who will stand up and work with anybody, if it helps me to do good stuff for the people of Georgia. You know I know how to work with anybody. I work with Ted Cruz.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

MCKEND: Now Senator Warnock, getting a bit of a star power boost today out on the trail. Spike Lee, the famous director was at Ebenezer Baptist Church this morning with the Reverend and will be with him in Savannah today as well.

Critically, though, in this state, Fred, if neither candidate, Walker or Warnock, get above 50 percent, it triggers a December runoff. So that means we'll all be here perhaps until December 6, and that is something both candidates are trying to avoid. Fred?

WHITFIELD: All right. Eva McKend, thank you so much. We're going to talk more about this race and beyond.

Jonathan Tamari is a National Political Reporter for The Philadelphia Inquirer. And Nathan Gonzales is the Editor and Publisher for Inside Elections. Good to see both of you, gentlemen. This Sunday, just two days before election day on this midterm.

So Jonathan, you first, you have the biggest names, you know, from both parties in Pennsylvania yesterday with three presidents making their closing pitches to voters. So do you think these big hitters can move the needle for either candidate with just, you know, the election day right around the corner?

JONATHAN TAMARI, NATIONAL POLITICAL REPORTER, THE PHILADELPHIA INQUIRER: Well, they're certainly hoping that they'll move the needle with their base voters. And so, for Democrats, that means voters in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia, particularly black voters, who are extremely important to their coalition in Pennsylvania, to winning a statewide race for Democrat in Pennsylvania.

And for Trump, that means those more rural voters. He was in one of those counties, that's a historically Democratic place that has swung many -- over many years towards the Republicans. And they're both trying to energize their bases. The issue, again, with both though is that President Biden -- President -- former President Trump, they both have really poor approval ratings. They turn off a lot of voters too.

And so, you know, Democrats are glad actually to have Trump there to kind of make this a contrast between Biden and Trump as opposed to just a referendum on Biden and his policies.

WHITFIELD: That's interesting. So Nathan, you know, with this Pennsylvania race so close, Republican Mehmet Oz, I mean, he seems to have surged in the polls, to make this a very tight race. But, you know, to that point, while he was on stage with Trump, he really never addressed him by name. So I'm wondering what is your sense about how voters will make a decision on how influential potentially, you know, this big star power is on their vote?

NATHAN GONZALES, EDITOR & PUBLISHER, INSIDE ELECTIONS: Well I think Dr. Oz, like many candidates, is trying to walk the line, right? He needs the Trump base. He needs Trump supporters who are skeptical of establishment Republicans and he needs all those but he also needs independent voters, some of whom voted against Trump in the 2020 election.

And when you're talking about a state like Pennsylvania, which is the one of the top three Senate races in the country that's going to decide control where maybe 35,000 votes is going to make the difference out of 5.5 to 6 million voters total, everything starts to make the difference. And where I think Republicans, they -- Dr. Oz has helped consolidate the Republican base after a bitter primary and those undecided voters I think they want to vote Republican.

They're just want to make sure that they are comfortable with their choice, whether it's in Pennsylvania, whether it's in Georgia, or Arizona, where the Republican candidates have some flaw have their own that might give some independent voters pause.

[11:10:03]

WHITFIELD: And then Jonathan, you know, adding to your point, I mean, well it's very interesting you say, you know, Trump isn't that popular in Pennsylvania, but here he was stumping for Oz yesterday. And then he was also dropping hints that he could be announcing his intention to run for reelection in 2024 very soon. So, does that kind of talk help or overall hurt Republicans?

TAMARI: Well, he's very, very popular. To be clear, Trump is very popular with Republican voters. Huge crowd last night. He's still clearly the biggest figure within that party. And so he can rally those base voters who are already with him where he's unpopular with some of those swing voters, the very voters that Oz and Fetterman are both targeting today in some of the Philadelphia suburbs.

Trump did terribly in those suburbs in his two elections for president. So that's where you kind of see both sides of it. And will the support that he generates outweigh some of the voters he might turn off? And are those voters actually looking at Trump or are they looking at Biden, who's the sitting president? I think that's one of the big questions heading into the election on Tuesday.

WHITFIELD: OK. All right. Now, back to that Georgia race, you know, Nathan, the Senate race so far too close to call. The Libertarian candidate in that race could pull enough votes to prevent either candidate, Democrat or Republican, from getting the 50 percent required to win for single potential runoff that would be in December. So, do you see that potentially happening? And if there is a runoff, who do you believe would have the upper hand?

GONZALES: Yes, I think we're headed for a runoff no matter if the poll has Warnock or Walker ahead is -- had both of them under 50 percent. If you're watching specifically at all over that third party candidate, whether they're 5 percent is probably would mean a runoff is more likely to happen. They fall to 3 percent or 2 percent and that gives a little more breathing room for one of them to go ahead.

A key question in the runoff is, does it matter for control? I think that it mattering for control benefits Walker. If it doesn't matter for control, I think Warnock would have a better chance. But one more wrinkle into this is we may not know for a few days, whether it matters if counting in Arizona and Nevada take a few days in those key and close Senate races. We may not know whether Georgia matters for a little bit down the line.

WHITFIELD: Jonathan, you agree with that? You see it that way, too?

TAMARI: Yes, I mean, I think it's certainly going to be a super close race same as in Pennsylvania, same as in Arizona. When you look at these races, they're typically within a couple of percentage points, which really means it's a toss-up going into Election Day. And it would not be surprising if either party won any of those races that we just talked about. WHITFIELD: Interesting. And as you look at the whole -- the landscape of things, and you see these former presidents who seem to be galvanizing audiences, whether it be Obama or Trump, I wonder, Nathan, what is it say to you about Biden's messaging that he has not dotted, you know, crossed the map, you know, quite in a celebratory kind of fashion. What does that say to you about his acknowledgement of his approval, you know, ratings, his popularity or lack thereof?

GONZALES: Well, I think Democrats, this is an all hands on their collection. They realize that there is a lot at stake holding on to the branches that they -- having the executive branch, but holding control of Congress democracy at stake. But also, it's amazing to me that Obama might be working harder in Biden's midterm election than he did in his first midterm election.

That was a criticism of President Obama that they passed the Affordable Care Act and then hung out -- hung these Democrats out to dry. But he's out there working hard and Democrats, they need that base vote. That will keep Republican losses or Republican gains to a little bit lower. If Democrats don't come out to vote, Democrats are going to get shellacked --

WHITFIELD: Yes.

GONZALES: -- across the country.

WHITFIELD: I was going to say, in reference to the shellacking perhaps because that memory of what it felt to be shellacked, I mean, that is so indelible, that perhaps he's making sure that his friend doesn't experience that as well.

All right, Jonathan Tamari, Nathan Gonzales, we'll leave it there. Thanks so much.

GONZALES: Thanks, Fred.

WHITFIELD: And of course, don't forget on election night, join CNN for special coverage starting Tuesday at 4:00 p.m. Eastern Time. And we'll have, of course, up to the minute results on what's happening in all of the key races across your state and of course across the country.

Still ahead, the Houston Astros claiming their second title as World Series champions. We'll take you inside the locker room as the team celebrated their victory.

Plus, a sinister sky will loom over Election Day, that is called the blood moon and it just might be the last one for the next three years but it's on election evening. More straight ahead.

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[11:18:51]

WHITFIELD: OK, maybe your lucky evening will be Monday because the Powerball jackpot has now ballooned to a record $1.9 billion after no winning tickets were drawn last night. Here are the winning numbers, 69-53-45-56-28, and the Powerball was 20. Again, it doesn't really matter because nobody got those magic numbers, but maybe you were just curious.

The next drawing is Monday and the odds of winning what is now a massive, really massive prize are roughly 1.21 -- I'm sorry, 1 in 292.2 million. That's a lot of numbers. So if you win, it will be the largest national lottery payout in history. Good luck.

All right, for the second time in six seasons, talk about lucky, not really, maybe just strategic. The Houston Astros are celebrating a world series title. The Astros defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 4 to 1, wrapping up the series with Game 6 in Houston last night. CNN's Andy Scholes caught up with the team in the Astros' locker room.

[11:20:01]

ANDY SCHOLES, CNN SPORTS ANCHOR: The beer and champagne never tasted so good for the Houston Astros every years of hearing the boos from the opposing bands after the sign feeling sign stealing scandal. The Astros moving, they truly are champions.

JEREMY PENA, 2022 WORLD SERIES MVP: Man, this is (INAUDIBLE). This is what you want for all year. Can (INAUDIBLE) group of guys, and, you know, we just show the world that, you know, this team gets it done (INAUDIBLE).

RYAN PRESSLEY, HOUSTON ASTROS RELIEF PITCHER: I mean, it doesn't get any better than this, especially doing it from our home crowd. I mean, it's unbelievable.

SCHOLES: How amazing is this moment?

ALEX BREGMAN, HOUSTON ASTROS THIRD BASEMAN: This moment is great. This is what it's all about. Every single person played a role in this. Every single person stepped up, work so hard from day one in spring training. I'm just proud to be a part of this ballclub and playing in front of these great fans.

SCHOLES: I feel -- I mean, the fans, we're glad to hear for the last few years. I mean, how amazing is this for them?

BREGMAN: I'm so happy that we were able to bring a championship this year to the city. So many people. You just see the energy on the streets everywhere. Everyone's pumped up. We're in Astros gear. We're so fired up. Can't wait to see what the parade now.

SCHOLES: And what a win this was for Astros manager, Dusty Baker. The 73-year-old had the most wins ever for a manager without winning the World Series. But that is no more and with six straight ALCS appearances for World Series in the past six years and now two titles, this Astros team is going to go down as one of the best ever.

In Houston, Andy Scholes, CNN.

WHITFIELD: All right, strategic and skillful with that huge win. Congratulations to Houston. All right, Andy Scholes, thanks so much. All right, still ahead, New York has become a focal point in the upcoming midterm election. The race for governor is tightening underscored by President Biden heading there to campaign alongside Governor Kathy Hochul. We'll discuss next.

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[11:26:26]

WHITFIELD: Welcome back. President Biden heads to Yonkers New York today to campaign in a tighter than expected race for governor. Biden will attend a get-out-the-vote rally for New York Governor Kathy Hochul. This afternoon, Governor Hochul is in a hotly contested race with Republican challenger Congressman Lee Zeldin, who has been gaining some momentum.

CNN's Gloria Pazmino is at an early voting site in Manhattan and White House Correspondent Arlette Saenz is traveling with the President in Wilmington, Delaware. So let's begin with you, Gloria, in New York. What are the big issues in these final days before the gubernatorial election?

GLORIA PAZMINO, CNN NATIONAL CORRESPONDENT: Well, Fred, we have been talking to voters here in Manhattan. You can see that people are voting here behind me. We've been watching a steady stream of people come in all morning. And it's the last weekend of early voting here in New York. And it's going to come down to turnout especially downstate in areas like New York City where Democrats outnumber Republicans two to one.

And as you said at the beginning, this has become a surprisingly close race between Republican lead Lee Zeldin and the incumbent Governor Kathy Hochul. And there's been a big discussion and focus on crime and public safety, especially here in New York City. But we spoke to voters about that, whether or not they're worried about crime, and what they think about such a close race here in New York, which has not elected a Republican governor in 20 years.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

ALEXANDRA RHODIE, NEW YORK VOTER: People say, well, New York, it's OK. You know, it's going to go Democratic. But the idea that it's even close, is frankly, horrifying to me.

JOSEPHINE KIMBALL, NEW YORK VOTER: As a new voter, I'm still learning about everything that's going on in our country. But I just know, when I was young, this never being anything that was -- that I worried about.

TODD PORTERFIELD, NEW YORK VOTER: It's the triumph of the right to make to exaggerate the issue. There is an increasing crime. It's much worse in red states than in blue states. It's mostly a vehicle to incite racism.

(END VIDEO CLIP) PAZMINO: So that discussion and the debate around the issue of public safety really dominating in the last several weeks ahead of the election. Some crime has increased in New York City, but it has not just here in New York, but really in many other places around the country. And as you know, Fred, a crime and public safety has become a dominating issue, not just here in this race, but many others going ahead into the midterms.

It's not surprisingly to see Democrat voters here in Manhattan, which is where we are now, but Congressman Lee Zeldin, who represents parts of Long Island is getting some strong support. We've seen evidence of that as well in our reporting.

So Kathy Hochul really increasing the amount of campaigning that she's been doing over the last several days leading into Election Day next Tuesday, getting last minute boosts from former President Bill Clinton at a get-out-to-vote rally in Brooklyn yesterday. And as you mentioned today, she'll be campaigning with President Joe Biden. Fred?

WHITFIELD: All right. We'll look for that. Gloria, thanks so much.

In fact, let's zero in on the President's plans in New York with Arlette. So, just as Gloria said, you know, Hochul has been campaigning a lot more. President Biden has been campaigning a lot more in New York as well. He's returning today to Yonkers, New York this time, and he has -- in his previous visits, he has touted investments, in semiconductor plants.

At one rally, he said if Republicans take control of Congress, they will create chaos and do more damage. So is his message about Republicans in the economy, does it seem to be resonating with New York voters?

SAENZ: Well, Fred, that's the challenge right now for President Biden and Democrats, not just in New York, but also across the country. And that is why you have seen President Biden really seek to sharpen his economic and political message in these closing weeks of the election, trying to warn of the threat he believes Republicans will pose to the economy, including on issues like Social Security and Medicare if they take control of Congress.

And here was one line of attack from President Biden as he campaigned in Philadelphia last night, where he took aim at what he has described as the mega MAGA Republican trickledown economics.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

JOE BIDEN, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES: This ain't your father's Republican Party. This is a different breed of cat. I really mean it. Look, they're all about the wealthier getting wealthy, and the wealthier staying wealthy. The middle class gets stiffed, the poor get poorer under their policy. You saw what happened last time under my predecessor.

(END VIDEO CLIP) SAENZ: And so in addition to those attacks against Republicans, the President has also tried to paint a rosy picture of the economy, pointing to progress made when it comes to historic jobs created since he took office in the midst of the pandemic. Also recent drops in gas prices, though they were at highs over the summer.

But one big question is whether any of this actually resonates with those voters who simply are feeling economic discontent, when they look at their pocketbooks, when they head to the grocery store and gas stations. And that's really a challenge for the President and Democrats going forward.

And later today, the President will be the latest of political heavyweights really heading into New York to do some political triage as they try to help this Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul. One thing that White House officials and Democratic officials have been arguing is that these governors are critical in order for the President to be able to implement his agenda. And he's hoping to be able to help and save Kathy Hochul from the possibility of defeat up in New York.

WHITFIELD: All right, all important points. Thanks so much, ladies. Arlette Saenz, Gloria Pazmino, keep us posted.

So all eyes are also on Georgia. Former President Carter's nonprofit of the Carter Center will actually monitor voting on Election Day at the request of state officials. The Carter Center has monitored elections worldwide for decades, but in a rare move, turned its attention to Georgia after the 2020 elections.

And yesterday, the center held a training session with a group of nonpartisan volunteers. It's pretty fascinating. CNN's Nadia Romero was there to observe it all. I mean, this is quite striking, isn't it?

NADIA ROMERO, CNN NATIONAL CORRESPONDENT: Yes, this is a big change the first time they've been asked to do this work in this country, specifically in Fulton County. And this all comes to light after the 2020 election with me, the conspiracy theories and the lies that the election was stolen.

So now they're having this nonpartisan group of volunteers. About a 70 or so of them were trained over the weekend so they knew what to do.

Now, these are poll observers. Their job is to go in and to watch, to observe, to see what happens. They are not there to interfere. Now normally in the state of Georgia, we have those poll watchers and those come from different political parties, or they may come from a candidate specifically who's watching.

This is nonpartisan. That's a striking difference. I want you to hear a why they're here in Georgia now.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

AVERY DAVIS-ROBERTS, ASSOCIATE DIRECTOR, DEMOCRACY PROGRAM AT THE CENTER CENTER: When we looked around and 2020 and sort of saw some of the trends that were concerning us about disinformation, about the election process, threats to election administration, and just sort of the general turmoil. We thought, we have experience working in contexts that are like this. Let's see what we could do to bring our international experience back to the United States.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

ROMERO: And when we spoke with the CEO of the Carter Center, she said, listen, this is not about a got you moment. They're not trying to catch people doing things wrong. They're not going to interfere at all, but they will put a report together that will release in mid- December. So after the election.

I'm letting everyone know what went well, what didn't go so well, what can be improved on the next time around. Now, this is something that you will see if you've already been early voting throughout the state of Georgia. Or if you go on election day on Tuesday, you will see those poll observers and poll watchers.

And Fred, it really goes back to a lot of the claims that we heard from the Trump campaign after the last election, that poll watchers from the Republican Party weren't allowed inside or there were more Democrats inside than Republicans. Those cases went to court and were dismissed largely by judges. It just wasn't true --

WHITFIELD: Right.

ROMERO: -- but this is to help dispel some of those myths.

WHITFIELD: So in this case, will they be inside or will they be outside?

ROMERO: Yes. They will be inside. So they'll be inside as you come in. If you have to hand in your ID, the watch-that process, they'll actually be able to go behind the scenes as well where some people thought nefarious things were going on the last election.

[11:35:10]

WHITFIELD: All right, Nadia Romero, thanks so much. Glad you got a firsthand peek of the training and --

ROMERO: Yes.

WHITFIELD: -- what is likely to happen so people know on Tuesday. Thank you.

All right, meantime, political observers have some advice for the election returns wait Tuesday night, be patient. When the polls close, and the results start to come in Tuesday, there's a pretty good chance that we won't know the outcome of some key races right away.

CNN Political Director David Chalian explains why election night could turn into quite the waiting game.

DAVID CHALIAN, CNN POLITICAL DIRECTOR: We're going to focus in on battle for control of the United States Senate and I'm going to explain why you need to pack a little patience as you watch the election results come in on Tuesday because it may be that this is not resolved. We may not know which party will control the U.S. Senate on Tuesday night when we go to bed.

These are the 35 Senate races this cycle. They're in light gray here because this is the live map. We're waiting for votes to come in. These will start turning red and blue on election night. But keep your focus on five states, Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Georgia. These battleground states will determine which party controls the Senate.

I want to talk specifically about Pennsylvania for a moment, because this is what I mean by Packer patients. It's the Fetterman/Oz Senate race. We know that in Pennsylvania, elections officials cannot even open ballots and begin processing and counting that absentee mail until polls open on election day. And it's going to take some time. There's going to be a substantial amount of absentee vote and it's going to take some time to count.

So on election night, when this first starts filling in, I would imagine Mehmet Oz is going to have a big lead. Now whether or not he wins at the end, I don't know. But he's going to come out front with a big lead because Election Day vote which tends to be more Republican will be counted first, before the absentee vote, which tends to be more Democratic. So the more pro-Fetterman vote will start filling in as the night and possibly days were on.

An example as a reminder to folks is to go back to the 2020 presidential election, OK? And let me come out here and use Georgia as an example. 7:16 p.m. on November 3 in 2020, votes just start coming in. Donald Trump way ahead. Watch that timestamp, OK? 807, Donald Trump still way ahead.

Midnight, November 4, Donald Trump 315,000 votes ahead, 8 percentage points ahead of Joe Biden. 24 hours later, Donald Trump's lead is cut to 33,000 votes. Still quite close, but Trump on top. 24 hours after that, still 4:47 a.m. November 6, Donald Trump has 665 vote lead. It was not until November 7 that Joe Biden actually came ahead of Donald Trump in Georgia.

And as we know Joe Biden won the state of Georgia. It just took some time for all of that to get voted. So when you watch the returns come in on Tuesday, be aware you may need patience.

WHITFIELD: All right, and a lot of cases, it's the more populated versus the less populated, all that makes a big difference. We learn that, didn't we?

All right, David Chalian, appreciate it.

All right, coming up, Former Popstar Aaron Carter is found dead in his home at just 34 years old, What we know about his death and we'll be looking back at his rise to fame next.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

[11:42:42]

WHITFIELD: The music world is mourning the death of singer Aaron Carter. The 34-year-old was found dead in his California home yesterday. Authorities say he was found in his bathtub, but a cause of death remains unknown. Carter rose to fame at a very young age known for his music and acting career, but battled mental health issues and addiction in his later years.

Camila Bernal has more on his life and legacy.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

(MUSIC)

CAMILA BERNAL, CNN NATIONAL CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): From a young age, Aaron Carter was in the limelight. The younger brother of Backstreet Boys, Nick Carter, had his own success as a child pop singer.

(MUSIC)

BERNAL (voice-over): Songs like, "I Want Candy" and "Crush on You" raised him to fame. Aaron Carter died on Saturday. Authorities giving no information about a possible cause of death.

His debut album "Aaron Carter" was released in 1997. He had already performed as the opening act for the Backstreet Boys. Carter was also known for his roles on TV shows like Lizzie McGuire in "7th Heaven." He was also on his family's reality TV series, "House of Carters."

In 2017, Carter came out as bisexual and later received an outpouring of love and support from his fans and other celebrities. In 2018, he released his fifth and final album, "Love." Over the years, Carter publicly talked about addiction struggles. Here he is on an episode of The Doctors in 2019.

AARON CARTER, SINGER: The reason why I went to rehab is for huffing aerosols, duster cans. That's why when I lied to you, and I lied to you, and I'm sorry. And I'm here to make amends.

BERNAL (voice-over): He also opened up about his battle with multiple mental health issues, including multiple personality disorder schizophrenia, acute anxiety and manic depression.

[11:45:09]

CARTER: That's my truth

BERNAL (voice-over): The fans constantly supported him and are now remembering the pop star. Many on social media saying they're saddened and shocked and sending prayers to the family. He leaves behind his 11th month old son, Prince. Aaron Carter was 34 years old.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

WHITFIELD: Oh my gosh, that is so sad. Camila Bernal, thank you so much. And, of course, we have just heard now just moments ago from his brother, Nick Carter posting on Instagram saying, in part, "My heart has been broken today. Now you get a chance to finally have some peace you could never find here on earth. God, please take care of my baby brother."

All right straight ahead for us, at least 19 people are dead and dozens rescued after a commercial flight crashed in Lake Victoria in Tanzania. Details after the break.

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[11:50:34]

WHITFIELD: Welcome back, at least 19 people died after a commercial plane crashed into Lake Victoria in Tanzania, according to an official. The airline says at least 26 people have been rescued. And this is some pretty dramatic video showing people on the plane's wings standing there as parts of the plane sits in shallow water.

CNN's Larry Madowo is in Johannesburg, South Africa with a better picture on all of this. Larry, what's the latest? How did this happen and how extraordinary it is that at least half of the people survive this?

LARRY MADOWO, CNN CORRESPONDENT: Fred, what we know is that this airline, Precision Air left the commercial capital of Tanzania at 6:00 a.m. local time and was expected in Bukoba, that's in the northwest of the country. It's at lakeside city next to Lake Victoria was expected 8:30 a.m.

At 8:53, the airline tells us they did not hear from the airline and the report was that it had still not landed. The airline officials believe that in the final approach to the Bukoba airport whose runway essentially touches like Victoria, it appears to have lost control overshot the runway and crashed landed into Lake Victoria.

24 to 26 people the numbers vary here are believed to have been rescued. But sadly 19 people are now confirmed dead from this incident. And what happened is that as soon as this aircraft got into the water, neighbors there, locals, fishermen got in boats and canoes and rushed to the scene and tried to do what they could to save people. That is why so many people were rescued from this situation.

We don't know the identities of those who were in the aircraft because the families are being notified at this time. And it's a tragic situation. We believe, according to local officials that there was bad weather in the area, some strong winds and rain was coming down pretty strongly at the time when this accident took place.

The prime minister of Tanzania has been on the scene, has sent his condolences as the president of Tanzania. I know Precision Air, it's a regional airline which flies the ATR aircraft. This is aircraft that's made in -- it's a Franco-Italian aircraft manufacturer. They don't fly the United States but they fly in many of the parts of the world.

And I've flown Precision Air myself many times as recently as two months ago into Tanzania. It's a very well-respected airline, has a decent safety record. So this is a true accident to see happen. But also this incredible, extraordinary video of people just trying to do what they could, pulling people out of the fuselage and trying to get them to safety, Fred.

WHITFIELD: Wow, I mean, it is extraordinary tragic, yes. But like you said, just fortunate that it was in shallow water and that there were so many people who were willing and able to assist the way they did.

Larry Madowo, thank you so much.

All right, a blood moon will paint the skies on election day. Plus, a tropical disturbance forming in the southeast that could impact voters heading to the polls. We'll have your election day forecast next.

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[11:58:04]

WHITFIELD: Well this sounds rather ominous. This Tuesday on election day, parts of the U.S. will experience a blood moon. It happens during a total lunar eclipse. And the moon glows a scarlet red color, a stark contrast to its ordinary milky white sheen.

Meteorologist Allison Chinchar is in the CNN Weather Center. So Allison, tell us about this blood moon.

ALLISON CHINCHAR, CNN METEOROLOGIST: Yes, so it's going to occur in the very early hours of Tuesday, likely going to peak around 6:00 a.m. Eastern Time, although that will vary based off of what time zone you live in. But here's the thing, weather may also be a factor.

If you live in the eastern half of the country, the duration in which you will see it will be shorter, but weather may cooperate a little bit more. In the western half of the country, you have a longer time period to view it, but also a lot more cloud cover. Denver looks pretty good. Tucson looks pretty good. But up and down the West Coast, you've got a lot of cloud cover that may end up blocking the ability for you to see it.

One other thing to note, see this thing spinning here off the coast of Florida. This may also have an impact on election day as well. Right now, we have two different systems in the Atlantic we're watching. This one has about a 90 percent chance of becoming a name system over the next several days.

Regardless of whether it gets a name or not, this is a look at Tuesday afternoon. We're starting to start to see some of those outer bands may be beginning to creep in across Florida. That means, if you plan to go vote say after work on Tuesday or into the evening, you may want to take that umbrella with you. The bulk of the rain will hold off until Wednesday before that low pressure system finally crosses over early Thursday morning.

But in total, you are talking a pretty decent amount of rain, Fred, widespread 2 to 4 inches over the next several days across not only Florida, but also portions of southeastern Georgia. So again, get out and vote --

WHITFIELD: Yes.

CHINCHAR: -- just maybe take that rain jacket with you.

WHITFIELD: That's right, with rain jacket or umbrella, galoshes, do people do that anymore?

CHINCHAR: Yes.

WHITFIELD: Galoshes? Have those handy too. All right, Allison Chinchar, thanks so much.

All right, thank you so much for joining me this last hour. I'm Fredricka Whitfield in Atlanta. I'll see you back here at 2:00 Eastern today. Meantime, coming up right now on CNN, Dana Bash talks to RNC Chair Ronna McDaniel and Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar.