Return to Transcripts main page

Glenn Beck

When Will Government Fix Immigration? U.N. Warns of Global Warming, Super Bowl Commercials to Feature User-Generated Content

Aired February 02, 2007 - 19:00   ET

THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED.

GLENN BECK, HOST: Well, tonight, a little outrage. Some illegal immigration stories that are going to -- it`s going to have blood shooting out of your eyes within 30 seconds.
Plus, World War III. Not just for kooks anymore. That and more, coming up.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

ANNOUNCER: Tonight`s episode is brought to you by the First Annual Massive D-Bag Awards. With your hosts, these guys. The First Annual Massive D-Bag Awards, live from under a bridge in Boston.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

BECK: You remember last year when every politician, including the president, promised to crack down on illegal immigration? Well, surely we`d be seeing results by now, wouldn`t we? Yes, not so much.

Here`s the point tonight. The U.S. government, the U.S. government is on the wrong side of this issue. Americans know that our representatives in Washington are lying to us about what they want to do with the border. This will not last much longer. Society cannot stand if people think their leaders are intentionally lying to them all the time.

Here`s how I got there. Three stories I want to touch on here. I believe they`re all connected.

First one is Gilmer Hernandez. He is a former sheriff`s deputy in a small town in Texas. He was convicted of violating the civil rights of a Mexican woman who suffered a minor gunshot wound -- I believe it was in her lip -- while being smuggled into Austin.

Now, the woman was hiding in back of a van. When Hernandez discovered her and several other illegals crouched in the back, he said, "Can I see your papers?" Instead, the van sped away and, according to Hernandez, he tried to stop it by shooting at the tires. One of the bullets went in low and ricocheted in the van, and it accidentally struck the woman. Now, she`s OK, but she`s decided to sue.

Now, Gilmer is facing ten years in prison. Thanks, justice system.

Second story, David Seip (ph), he`s a former border agent accused of using excessive force to stop an illegal alien in 2001. He was subsequently fired and now has just been acquitted after six years of being out of work. He now wants his old job at the border back.

Why would you do that? You get paid very little and you currently have no authority to even do your job. Why you want that job is beyond me.

And three, finally, in Raymondville, Texas, 2,000 non-Mexican illegal aliens are being held in a tent city until they`re sent back to their home countries. But civil liberties groups, surprise, surprise, are now saying that the facility is "inhumane and unsafe". Really?

Well, here`s a quick piece of advice for you. If you want to avoid the unsafe tent city that cost us $65 million to build, don`t break into our country!

The common thread here is, is that good Americans are working their butts off to protect our borders from illegal aliens, but when they try to do their job, the government swoops in and helps the criminals.

Civil rights? You don`t have civil rights here. You`re breaking the law. You have human rights, but no legal rights.

You know what? Problem is, illegals will keep coming as long as our government gives them an open invitation to do so with the full legal protection.

Our government is like a bad set of parents. You know, the kind that tell their kids, "Hey, you behave yourself," but then they never enforce anything? The kids know their parents aren`t going to back up their words, so they run wild.

You want to know why our society is falling apart? It`s because mommy and daddy in Washington are lying to you. They`ll never keep their promises.

They tell us that they care about security. They tell us they want to stop illegal immigration, but they do nothing about it except ribbon- cutting ceremonies and other hollow gestures. Look, we caught 12 people in Los Angeles.

Actually, you know what something, Washington? Simply doing nothing would be an improvement of what you`re doing now. You`re sending the completely insane message to our border police that if you get involved, you`ll go to jail.

Meanwhile, the illegal aliens have lawyers who are trying to get them rooms at the Ritz Carlton! How did this happen in our country?

No, I actually know. Let me tell you. Our politicians are involved in power grabs and backdoor deals which help keep them getting elected over and over again but compromises our security.

So, here`s what I know tonight. The politicians in Washington, you better pay attention. The American people are sick and tired of your lies. We`re onto you. We know you don`t mean anything you say about the borders, and we`re not going to put up with your lies very much longer. We`re not that stupid. Stop treating us like we are.

Here`s what I don`t know. Why is the government actually doing it? I have my theories. I actually believe because it`s sold out to multinational corporations or they`re just desperate to get the growing Hispanic vote.

But I`m not even sure if that`s the truth. Why? Because I can`t get one politician in Washington to actually tell me a story that I believe.

Mark Krikorian, he`s from the Center of Immigration Studies. Why is our government lying to us about the border? What`s really going on?

MARK KRIKORIAN, CENTER OF IMMIGRATION STUDIES: Well, I mean, I think couple of the things you pointed to are part of the explanation, but just part.

The fact that, you know, campaign contributions from companies that use cheap labor, that maybe is part of it.

The idea that Democrats especially, but also some Republicans, think that they`re going to import voters, likewise, it may be part of it, but I think it`s really more than that.

Immigration is one of those issues that splits the elite and the public. It`s not a right/left issue; it`s an up/down issue. And, frankly, much of the elite, whether it`s Republican or Democrat, businessmen, labor, whatever it is, just don`t see the fuss.

They think it`s OK to have a loose border and no real enforcement because -- and I say this advisedly -- they have become what I call "post- Americans." They`re really no longer concerned, first of all, with the good of their fellow countrymen. They`re kind of citizens of the world, and they see this whole idea.

BECK: You know, that`s what I mean when I say they sold out to multinational corporations. I don`t think that these corporations, they don`t -- they see America as a market. They don`t see it as their home country. And you see this on news channels all the time.

You`ll see these people: "We`re a global news organization." Bull crap. You`re an American news organization. This country gave you the right to say these things and to create this country first. But they don`t feel a responsibility to pay that back or protect it at all.

KRIKORIAN: No, absolutely not. And it`s clearly the case with a lot of the multinational corporations.

But my point is that it`s not just a corporate thing. This is really big business, big labor, big media, big academia, big religion. This is a elite versus public thing. The American public is still very patriotic and nationalistic, and I consider that to be a good thing. The elite just isn`t. And that`s why you see it`s so hard to make progress on this thing.

BECK: Here`s what I don`t understand. It`s not that I`m -- it`s not that I`m a jingoistic guy and hey, rah-rah America. I can actually see the middle class being erased. I`m seeing -- I`m seeing such a split between the uber-rich and the desperately poor.

And that`s not necessarily something that is new, but what is new is you`re importing people with a fourth grade education who have no chance of ever living the American dream, because they`ll be trapped in that fourth grade education.

That cannot last. It destroys America. How come these -- these elite and these, you know, professors can`t figure that one out?

KRIKORIAN: Well, there`s a couple of reasons. One, they don`t see it. It`s not their kids who are going to these schools, not their -- you know, they`re not going to emergency rooms that are being overwhelmed. It`s not their jobs that are being affected, which is why I`ve long thought that the kind of immigration I`m for is journalists and lawyers from overseas. Because then, you`ll see some competition and some action.

But it`s not just that. It`s also that much of the elite gets to feel kind of morally superior to ordinary people because they say, "Well, listen, I`m not a narrow-minded bigot like are you. I want to let everybody come in. That makes me better than you."

BECK: You know what kills me, is we`re sending such a dangerous message to our law enforcement people down at the border. I mean, here we are, we`re sending them to jail and some of them. Look, this guy who is in the shootout in the van, I don`t know if he was on the right side or the wrong side. But I`m hearing these stories an awful lot.

And it always ends the same way. The border guards either lose their job or they go to jail, and then the illegal aliens get cash. The guy who -- the two border guards that are now serving prison time, this drug dealer is suing the United States government for $5 million.

Why deal drugs? Come across the border, sneak across, hope somebody mistreats you and play the great American lottery?

KRIKORIAN: Exactly. I mean, in some sense, if you had any sense, you`d come over and provoke the Border Patrol to hit you over the head with a flashlight so that you can cash in.

Now you know, you`re right, it probably is true that, as in any law enforcement organization, that there`s going to be some bad apples, but we`ve seen a pattern of going against our people, our law enforcement people.

BECK: It`s insane. Thanks, Mark, appreciate it.

KRIKORIAN: Thanks, Glenn.

BECK: Whenever I do a segment on illegal immigration, I get tons of leaders from people asking about, you know, all the really awesome footage of people sneaking over the border and over the fence. If you want some of that footage, today is your lucky day.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

ANNOUNCER: You`ve seen it TV. Now own it yourself. Introducing from Lifetime Video, "Footage of Guys Trying to Sneak Over the Border Volume 1". Sixty minutes of mildly entertaining footage yours to own for just $19.95.

You`ll get guy climbing over fence, guy helping other guy climbing over fence, two guys waiting to climb over the fence and, of course, guy walking past some burning garbage.

Order right now and we`ll throw in, at no extra cost, "Fat People with no Faces". Giant headless torsos, all guaranteed to be 100 percent headless. Order now.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

ANNOUNCER: This is GLENN BECK.

BECK: Coming up, two sides to every story, including global warming. We`ll look at the latest U.N. report with a leading skeptic.

Also, the president of France has suggested that it might be OK for Iran to have a nuke or two. No more wine for breakfast, Jacques!

And K. Fed as a fry cook. Not a stretch, is it? We`ll look at the best and the worst Super Bowl commercials, coming up. Don`t go away.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

BECK: Let`s go to John Walsh, who has a special on tomorrow night.

Hi, John.

JOHN WALSH, HOST, "AMERICA`S MOST WANTED": Glenn, how are you?

BECK: Well, I`m pretty good, except I have to come at you with this. I -- while I appreciate the work you`re doing tomorrow, I`ve got teenage daughters and I don`t need this on top of it. I`m worried enough as it is! Man!

WALSH: Well, you got to get street smart, Glenn. You got to get your head out of the sand. Talk to these girls.

BECK: No, I think I need to -- I need to lock them in my house and never let them out until they`re 40.

WALSH: No, you just, when that boy comes to the house, you have the shovel on the table and the shotgun and you say, look, I`ve got 20 acres out here in back. If you ever touch my daughter, disrespect her, you`re going to be out in back. Nobody`s going to miss you that much.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

BECK: Well, it was bad enough when I had Al Gore`s documentary had been nominated for an Oscar. I mean, the academy hasn`t made a mistake like that since giving an award to Marisa Tomei, just saying.

But now, he`s also been nominated for a Nobel Prize. I mean, Gandhi, Al Gore. Hmm. Guess that makes sense.

Anyway, I am really sick of saying this, but here goes. I agree that the earth`s climate is changing, but I`m not convinced that man is responsible. At least not yet, anyway. But that could be about to change.

Today, U.N.`s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change came out with their new report that many will point to as the definitive smoking gun that man is responsible for global warming, despite some details that shows man`s impact on the climate is on the decline. Hmm. That seems like an inconvenient truth.

You`re not going to hear that on very many places. Well, you`re going to hear it from my next guest a lot. Republican senator from Oklahoma, James Inhofe.

Senator, the report, fact or fiction?

SEN. JAMES INHOFE (R), OKLAHOMA: Oh, it`s all fiction. Here`s the big day, Friday, you know. Here we are with the report, that fourth assessment of the IPCC.

But I want to make sure that your viewers out there are aware that it`s the United Nations that started this whole mess and almost every bad thing that gets started gets started by the United Nations. They`re the ones ten years ago who brought this thing in, and now that the scientists are leaving their side and saying, "No, it`s not man-made gases that are causing this," they`re starting to panic.

So they`re getting even -- but I`d like to say this one thing about today`s report. This is not the report. This is the fourth assessment, and this is the summary for policymakers. And this is not scientists. Keep in mind, these are just the ones who want to propagandize this thing.

Can I read something real quick?

BECK: Yes.

INHOFE: This is found on page four of today`s report. It says, "Changes in scientific work to ensure consistent see with this summary where policymakers will occur."

What they`re saying is, it doesn`t matter what the scientists say, because they`ve already made up their minds. And they`re going to have in this report things that scientists didn`t say but things they want to you believe.

BECK: OK. So they`ve changed some things and downgraded, as I see it, for instance. The sea level.

INHOFE: They have. I`ll tell you what`s funny about that is that, well, the sea level, yes, they`ve cut the reduction or lowering of the sea level in half. But they also have downgraded man`s contribution by 25 percent.

You won`t hear that from Barbara Boxer and all the liberals on the left and out there in California. But they have downgraded that.

They`ve also come up with other things in the report that are actually fairly accurate. But they never talk about those things.

BECK: So wait a minute, I don`t understand this. How can they say they`re now -- they were 66 percent sure. Now they`re 90 percent sure man is the cause of all of this stuff, yet, they downgraded man`s contribution by 25 percent. Can you make...

INHOFE: Glenn, the math isn`t right. And my wife, we used to be a math teacher, and she`s trying to figure that out, now, too.

BECK: So, why is it, George Bush, just this last week, was with the State of the Union, he says global warming is happening and we need to find out -- we need to reduce and reuse and recycle and all of this stuff. Why is he jumping on the bandwagon? Does he believe it or is this politics?

INHOFE: First of all, I don`t think that`s an exact quote, because what he said -- and I was very careful to listen to this -- he never talked about capping trade. He never talked about reducing CO2 to reduce man-made gases.

What he did do is say recognizing global warming. That`s probably the most benign statement he could make to make a few people happy. I don`t think he should have done it because I know what his true belief is.

BECK: Yes, but if you look at what the U.N. has said, they said a lot of the U.S. was very, very helpful on this report. Why is it we`re very helpful? If we don`t buy it, why are we helpful? Are we just playing politics?

INHOFE: Well, if you look at the individuals on this report, the ones -- again, the policymakers, not the scientists, they`ve come out with things that are totally contradictory. We`ve already talked about a couple of them.

But it`s also the U.N. that came out just last week and said that gases coming from livestock are contributing more to the CO2 than man -- all the automobiles, SUVs, the trucks and other man-made gases. So again, that`s another contradiction. But it`s one that you won`t hear them talking about.

BECK: Stephen Harper has come out in Canada, the prime minister, and said, this is -- this just a giant shift of wealth. You agree with that?

INHOFE: Well, here`s the -- let`s talk about him. He`s the prime minister up there in Canada. He was the one, in -- remember, the 60 scientists who had advised him to sign on to Kyoto ten years ago? They are now saying, and this is their quote, that if we had known then what we know today about the science, we would not have signed on to Kyoto and we would not be a part of it. And they are now trying to get the prime minister to withdraw from this or the next Kyoto.

BECK: OK. Senator, thank you very much for joining us. We`ll be back in a minute.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

ANNOUNCER: Airline food, missing house keys, dishwashers that kill. These are just a few of the fascinating topics tackled by Glenn in this week`s utterly riveting podcast. Check it out by going to CNN.com/podcasts or iTunes. Then download Glenn`s podcast, "Sick, Twisted Freak".

(END VIDEO CLIP)

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

BECK: I`m sure by now you`ve heard about these two idiots up in Boston who put little Lite-Brite boxes all over the city. In a way, they kind of looked like bombs.

It was a marketing campaign for our parent company, Turner Broadcast, and it went way wrong. It shut down the entire city of Boston.

At the press conference, here`s how these two buffoons decided to waste our time.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

PETER BERDOVSKY, ARRESTED FOR TERRORIST SCARE: It`s kind of important to some people. It`s haircuts in the `70s.

SEAN STEVENS, ARRESTED FOR TERRORIST SCARE: Yes.

BERDOVSKY: We really want to discuss the style of them.

STEVENS: We feel it`s really important because we think it`s a big inspiration about how people live their lives today and how they`re going to live their lives in the future and how they`re going to look at the past.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

BECK: What putzes. I think these guys personally need to be punished to the full extent of the law.

Michael Graham, one of my favorite Bostonians from 96.9 FM Talk Radio, you disagree with me, though?

MICHAEL GRAHAM, RADIO TALK SHOW HOST: Glenn, you know, I love you in a way that would get me prosecuted in most Muslim countries, but please...

BECK: Yes.

GRAHAM: ... please, really. I mean, what did the guys do that was wrong? Forget the legality of littering and posting stuff.

BECK: Well, I mean...

GRAHAM: What, they did something clever and funny and Boston didn`t get the joke. Nine other cities did. We`re the ones, and our government has spent a million dollars.

BECK: You know, Michael, I have a really hard time laughing at those whole, let`s put circuit boards and wires with batteries underneath bridges and next to tunnels. I don`t find the humor there anymore.

GRAHAM: Glenn!

BECK: As a New Yorker, I don`t find the humor.

GRAHAM: And yet, in New York, where these same Lite-Brites, as you pointed out. Thank you, by the way. Thank you for getting it right, it`s Lite-Brite.

BECK: Yes. Michael, if I looked up and I saw that thing, I would say, what the hell is that Lite-Brite doing there?

GRAHAM: Exactly but in Boston we`re calling it a sophisticated electronic device. Wow. I had no idea my 5-year-old, but in New York they found these in parking garages. Hello, 1993 World Trade Center, and they didn`t overreact.

There`s a difference between zero reacting and overreacting. Putting these losers -- and Glenn, they`re stoner, self-obsessed, self-absorbed losers. They`re you ten years ago.

BECK: Yes.

GRAHAM: And actually I`m being nice, of course, it was five. But still, my point is...

BECK: Twelve.

GRAHAM: For what? For what?

BECK: Well, OK. All right. First of all, did -- do we know yet if they made the 911 call?

GRAHAM: No, that is one of the speculation that`s out there, but it goes against the evidence that we`ve seen here in Boston thus far. If that`s the case, in other words, if there was a bomb scare, then I get it.

BECK: Wait a minute. There was a bomb scare. No, wait, wait, wait. From what I understand, not related to this...

GRAHAM: Yes.

BECK: ... there was another real bomb scare going on at the same time. Now, let me ask you. If there was a bomb scare going on in Boston and one of these things would have been a real bomb, wouldn`t you -- and they didn`t shut the city down -- wouldn`t you be the guy who is saying, why didn`t you shut the tunnels down?

GRAHAM: No, because if you go and look at the bomb and it`s a bomb as opposed to a Lite-Brite, then of course you act in a different way. They would never bomb -- they were never close to bombs. You can`t treat a toy like a bomb.

I know the terrorists at Hasbro are about to unleash a Mr. Milton Bradley on the city of Boston who will terrorize us for years.

BECK: Right. Wait a minute. What happens -- then we just taught al Qaeda what to do. All you do is you go get the game "Operation" and you put -- you put explosives behind the guy`s nose, tape it to a bridge and people like you will say, no big deal.

GRAHAM: You can laugh but there`s a Hi-Ho Cheerio sitting in my trunk right now. I`m too scared to go out to my own car.

But if you look at the device, we`ve all seen -- there was no place to hide an explosive. And Glenn, remember something, they shut down river traffic on the entire Charles River for a device the size of a notebook. If the thing was pure uranium it couldn`t blow up a boat on the Charles River.

BECK: I live in New York City, man. I take no chances with Lite- Brites or not Lite-Brites. Thanks.

"Real Story" on France and Iran next. You don`t want to miss it, coming up.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

BECK: All right, welcome to "The Real Story."

People ask me a lot, why should I even vote? "Gee, Glenn, we don`t even make a difference anymore." Well, actually, that`s not so. Last week, I brought you a story about how our own military has been selling spare F-14 parts to Iran. You know, now even though I`m not normally the rah-rah, call your congressman type of guy, this time I did say, "Can you please make a call and ask them to stop selling spare parts to our enemies?"

Well, this week, the Pentagon announced an end to the insanity. No more jet parts to our enemy will be sold. So the real story is tonight, people still do make a difference. You just did.

Now, if you`re like me and you love to hate the French, but you`re tired of doing it for the same old reasons, today, my friend, is your lucky day. I told you a little bit about this last night. An interview earlier this week with President Jacque Chirac, he casually implied that Iran having one or two bombs wouldn`t really be that dangerous, and it would be no big deal if Iran launched a nuclear attack on Israel, because Tehran would then be razed to the ground.

The real story is, not only is that an amazingly irresponsible point of view for Chirac, as a head of a state, but it`s yet another example of how disconnected France is from the reality of 21st-century politics. Can you imagine the fallout if President Bush had said something even similar to that or even if I had said something like that?

This week`s comments by Chirac give him the honor of being the first Western leader to imply that Iran`s nuclear empowerment is inevitable and the impending nuclear showdown is trivial. Look, Jack, if I may call you that, you know, we all want the press to think that we`re irreverent and a little outspoken, but you`re the president of a nation. I mean, I know it`s France, but some people still say it`s a nation.

If you don`t have anything useful to say, you know what? Go watch a Jerry Lewis movie and shut the piehole. Here`s a little history. America and France, we go way, way back. And actually, without France`s help, America would have never won her independence from Britain or we would have at least had a very difficult time doing it.

However, we have more than repaid the favor. You know, when we saved them in World War I, oh, and World War II. Since then, our relationship has been strained at best. In March of 2003, France ran a little diplomatic interference after U.S. forces invaded Iraq. See, for the last century or so, France really hasn`t been that big on fighting the good fight and has mostly focused all of their energy on the art of surrendering.

But the threat of nuclear annihilation actually made them come around in August of 2005. France -- surprise, surprise -- joined Britain and the United States in a Western alliance to convince Iran to halt its nuclear program. In February of 2006, the French foreign minister said, quote, "No civilian nuclear program can explain the Iranian nuclear program. It is a clandestine military nuclear program." Tres bon, Frenchy Frenchman. You`re finally starting to make sense, or at least you were.

Here`s exactly what Jacques Chirac this week said in front of New York Times, the International Herald Tribune, and some Frenchy weekly, quote, "Having one or perhaps a second bomb a little later, well, that`s not very dangerous. Where would Iran drop this bomb, on Israel? It would not have gone off 200 meters into the atmosphere before Tehran would be razed to the ground."

Chirac quickly retracted his comments, saying that he was speaking off the record. You know what, Jack? As a world leader, if you ask me, in the time of international crisis, there really isn`t an off the record. It`s not like Chirac is some city councilman talking about a new frickin` stop sign. Presidents of nations don`t do the job; they live the job.

Plus, if the press really had proof that a leader, you know, of a big country was making bon mots that stood in direct contradiction to his nation`s official policy, they would be breaching their public trust by not reporting it. It`s not just their right; it`s their responsibility.

This is no time for philosophical chats of Parisian cafe society. Iran is getting more dangerous, not less dangerous. It`s likely the Saudis are lowering oil prices and trying to hurt Iran economically. Russian uranium is on sale for on eBay. And today, it was revealed that Iran has begun construction of 3,000 centrifuges at its main nuclear facility.

This is a clear escalation in its drive for nuclear capabilities. They are desperate, and they could be waiting for just the right time to strike, looking to capitalize on the weak link in our chain. The civilized and the rational nations of the world must band together and speak and act as one against the radical extremism in Iran. The West must be unified if the West is to survive.

One man who knows all too well all the dangers in Iran is Bob Baer, the intelligence columnist for Time.com. Bob, you and I have been talking about Iran and war with Iran for months, if not years. We`re at the beginning of it, isn`t it? It`s starting to happen.

ROBERT BAER, INTELLIGENCE COLUMNIST, TIME.COM: Oh, I think absolutely, Glenn. You know, this attack in Karbala, five American soldiers killed, executed, was well-planned. It has all the hallmarks of a Pasdaran operation, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

BECK: Bob, you know what really scares me is, you know, everybody`s talking about this surge, which I think is just so ridiculous in some ways because you send an extra 20,000 troops into Iraq, the story isn`t about Iraq anymore. It is about Iran. What we doing to prepare for war with Iran?

BAER: No one`s preparing. The Iranians are at war with us. These missiles, surface-to-air missiles, that knocked a helicopter down -- the last two weeks, there`s been three of them -- the IEDs, the shape charges are undoubtedly coming out of Lebanon, from Hezbollah and from Iran.

They are at war all across the country. Basra, the largest city in the south, is controlled by Iran. They used the toman rather than the Iraqi dinar. It`s a scary, scary drift.

BECK: Bob, here`s what the scariest thing is for me, at least, is -- we are just on -- we`re on the precipice. You know what? I keep saying to my radio audience: Watch for the Archduke Ferdinand moment. It`s going to be something that looks that I could tell you today, here`s what`s going to happen, and you`d say, "No way that would start World War III."

It`s going to be something small that Iran will use to say, "Look at the humiliation of Iran by the United States," and it will explode. Am I wrong?

BAER: You`re absolutely -- no, we talked about this, what was it, eight months ago about World War III. And they say, "Oh, these guys are alarmists. What are they talking about, Iran and the United States?" You see it everywhere.

In the Gulf, I just came back from the Gulf last night, very late last night. They are putting -- the governments there -- a 70 percent chance by this summer we`re going to be at war with Iran, a major war in the Gulf that`s going to involve them.

BECK: Who is staying that?

BAER: The governments in the gulf. They are preparing for it.

BECK: So what do you -- I mean, do you think it`s going to be summer, too? I mean, is that what you believe?

BAER: I say, well, there`s a logic of war. I don`t know what`s going to spark it off. Is it going to be a slow escalation? Is it going to happen overnight?

But I don`t care who`s president. If the Iranians hit us hard in Iraq, the president`s going to have to respond, and the president`s not going to go to Congress to ask permission.

BECK: But what is that going to take? You know, I find it amazing. I talked to John Bolton yesterday, and I said, "Aren`t they committing acts of war right now?" Isn`t this an act of war? If they were, the guys who drove those black vans up, kidnapped and killed our soldiers, they`re building bombs, they`re firing at our soldiers, they`re killing our soldiers, what is an act of war if this isn`t it?

BAER: Glenn, they`ve been doing this since 1979. Khomeini was the man who took our embassy and held our diplomats hostage. It was the Iranians that did the Marines in 1983 and our embassy. This is all very well-known inside the intelligence community. But year after year, we`ve decided to turn a blind eye toward it.

BECK: It is -- Bob, it is going to be something that -- and not a lot of Americans know this -- I don`t remember what it`s called, the day of the wolf or something like that, but it`s the day that we found Turkish soldiers right at the beginning of the Iraq war, and we grabbed them, interrogated them, released.

The whole Arab world is all about humiliation. It`s really going to be something that they`re going to make it look like it`s an Abu Ghraib situation with Iranian soldiers that will unite the entire Islamic radical Middle East and, then Egypt, and everything else will be on fire. Is that logical?

BAER: It`s absolutely logical. Or, more than that, you could just have an Iranian invasion of Iraq across the Gulf or...

BECK: But don`t you think that they want to look like the good -- I mean, they don`t want to look like they are invading because they need to get their public on board. Their public, you know, they hate the regime. They need something that can unite the entire Arab world, including their own people, and say, "Look, this is a humiliation against us. We didn`t want to go to war. We have to go to war."

BAER: Oh, absolutely, Glenn. They`re going to start with surrogates. It`s going to look like it`s an Iraqi operation, and then they`re going to get drawn in more, and we`re going to respond, and it`s going to get to the point -- can we keep the Gulf open and keep oil supplies open?

BECK: You know, I asked John Bolton -- quickly, because we`re almost out of time -- I asked John Bolton yesterday if Russia was an enemy of ours, and he said, no, he wouldn`t go that far. What the heck are they doing over in Iran then? They`re making a deal with Iran, are they not?

BAER: John Bolton`s getting soft.

(LAUGHTER)

BECK: That`s what I thought, too. Bob, thank you very much. Good to have you on the program again, sir.

BAER: Thanks for having me, Glenn.

BECK: You bet. That is "The Real Story" tonight. If you`d like to read more about this or if you`ve found a real story of your own and you`d like to tell us about it, please go to glennbeck.com and click on that "Real Story" button. We`ll be back in a second.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: The extreme level of uncomfort, if you will, was discussed about your James Cromwell interview.

BECK: Well...

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Apparently, at one point, you asked James Cromwell, who is the father of Jack Bauer on "24" this season, big-time actor...

BECK: Oscar-winner.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: ... Oscar-winner -- asked him about saving his own crap.

BECK: He has non-water flush toilets. Now, I -- I don`t -- I don`t know that...

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Yes, but how would...

BECK: No, I don`t know, and I started to...

(CROSSTALK)

BECK: I don`t want to think about it.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

BECK: You know, I can`t really believe I`m going to say this, but I actually feel sorry for K-Fed. Wife leaves him, album fails, and now he`s not even going to be able to drown his sorrows in a greasy Big Mac without being taunted. Yes, it turns even the fast-food workers are pissed off at him. Here`s a Super Bowl ad that got the fry guys all up in arms.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Federline, fries!

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Life comes at you fast.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Thank you!

(END VIDEO CLIP)

BECK: I thought I was the most hated guy in America. Anyway, the Super Bowl really wouldn`t be super without the commercials. Robert Horowitz, he`s the executive producer of "Super Bowl`s Greatest Commercials," is he the cream of the crop this year? Is this as good as it gets?

ROBERT HOROWITZ, "SUPER BOWL`S GREATEST COMMERCIALS": I think so. And I think the fun part about it is, is that he`s willing to allow people to make fun of him, so I think that`s going to rate pretty high come Sunday.

BECK: Are they really angry with him?

HOROWITZ: No, I don`t think so. You know, look, I think they did it because there was going to be, you know, great buzz surrounding it. But I also think come Sunday -- and we`re featuring that in our show -- that you`re going to see the continuation of those fun Pepsi and those fun Budweiser spots, as well.

BECK: Your show is actually on tonight on CBS, is it not?

HOROWITZ: It`s on tonight at 9:00, where Mean Joe Greene goes up against a whole bunch of other spots.

BECK: All right. This is a unique year, because, if I`m not mistaken, this is the first year that the ad guys have just said, "Let somebody else come up with the commercial." And so now there`s user- generated commercials, kind of YouTube on Super Bowl Sunday.

HOROWITZ: Right. It`s kind of, in many ways, also the Super Bowl commercials were YouTube ahead of their time. But, yes, I think what`s happened is, is that corporate America has gone out and very cleverly said, "You know, hey, there`s some promotion to be gained by having, you know, the end user actually help give us the ideas. And along the way, we`re maybe going to learn a thing or two about how they want to see the products marketed to their demos." So I think...

BECK: We`re going to see one of the commercials that`s actually a Doritos ad that will air on Sunday. This is a user ad. Go ahead.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Dude, you ready to go?

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Just a second.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Man, what`s up with the tape?

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Got to keep the roommate off my Doritos.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

BECK: That`s good. That`s good. Now, what do these guys, I mean, besides getting their face on the Super Bowl, do they win anything?

HOROWITZ: Well, what some people gain from this -- and I know in the Chevy campaign what they were shooting for was a job at the end. That`s where, you know, they were going to have college kids across America enter a contest. So I think it`s either, you know, winning a few bucks or maybe advancing your career.

I think the interesting part is, is that, when everyone set out to do that -- and I think there are four people, four companies that are doing that this year -- they didn`t know the other guy was doing it, so they kind of came to the dance and found three owners.

BECK: You know, it`s amazing, at least in my household, when you watch with a big group of people, everybody talks during the game. Everybody gets quiet during the commercials. There`s nothing else like a Super Bowl commercial, is there? There`s no other show that has this.

HOROWITZ: Well, you mentioned, you know, about the parties. That was actually our focus group for creating the idea. Because eight years ago -- we`ve been doing it for seven years on CBS -- it was just sitting at a Super Bowl party, and 30 people, half men, half women, and they`d be over at the buffet table during the game. And then all of a sudden, the commercials came on, and it was, "Hey, get over here! The Super Bowl commercials are on."

BECK: I`m sorry, best commercial that you have, best commercial you think have ever been made for the Super Bowl.

HOROWITZ: Best commercial? Well, I have to say the Mean Joe Greene commercial, because it`s lasted so long. And it created the Coke and the smile campaign, didn`t start in the Super Bowl.

Cheapest commercial, really, I would say probably the FedEx spot with the bars and tone.

And the longest campaigns would be the Budweiser, because they`ve gone through "What`s up?" all the way, you know, onto the Clydesdales and, every year, they have something new.

BECK: I got to tell you, Robert, if that Mean Joe Greene commercial were made today, it would end with the kid getting onto his cell phone and selling that jersey on eBay. Robert, thanks very much. Best of luck. Back in a minute.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

BECK: Well, here we are, Groundhog Day. And you know what? Some neighbors of mine have started a charming holiday tradition: lights! Look at that, lots and lots of lights! This is last night. I mean, that`s great. It`s got to be for Groundhog Day, because what kind of loser white trash would still have their Christmas lights up in my neighbor on February 2nd? I`m just saying, it`s cute.

But poor Punxsutawney Phil`s moment in the sun is overshadowed by a much bigger event this weekend. Right now, approximately 3.5 trillion men are attempting rushing to their local electronics store to buy the biggest, clearest, thinnest, highest-tech, highest-definition television in the universe to watch the Super Bowl on. One of those people is Jim in New Mexico, who writes, "Glenn, I know you don`t understand sports at all, but you do know how to blow tons of money on technology" -- oh, yes, brother, I do -- "What TV should I go and buy to watch the big game on?"

Well, there`s a lot of huge sales going on right now, as retailers are marking down flat screens up to a third to get them out the door as we approach the Colts-Bears game on Sunday. Now, I do know how to spend money on technology, but when I buy a new toy, I always check with my panel of experts.

I`m not really sure what they actually do for this show, but they know a lot about TVs. And in my world, that`s enough to keep them employed. First expert is Chris Brady. He is the webmaster of Glennbeck.com. He recommends this for a high-definition Super Bowl party on a budget, or at least kind of a budget. It`s the Samsung 50-inch rear projection DLP TV. Model number is on the screen. This baby will run you about $1,800 bucks, which I guess is pretty cheap at this point. Didn`t TVs like used to cost like a couple of hundred dollars? Man, I feel like I`m 85 years old.

Then we have general manager of the radio program, Chris Bell (ph), he selected the Panasonic 50-inch plasma that features 29 billion colors. I`m not kidding you. And you don`t want to be caught dead with a TV that shows any less than 28.5 billion. Can you imagine people living with only 26 billion or 27 billion colors on their TV? Oh, how embarrassing.

Up next, writer of "The Real Story," Kevin Bell (ph), he`s picked the Panasonic 103-inch plasma. How much am I paying this guy? I mean, the real story is that the real story ain`t that good.

And finally, writer John Bobby (ph), there`s going to be a lot of people at his Super Bowl party. Not so much. Not going to be a lot of people in his life, quite frankly. It`s an inconvenient and sad truth.

All right, if you want to use billions of dollars of technology and national air time just so I can make fun of somebody that I work with or maybe that you work with, write me at GlennBeck@CNN.com. By the way, I expect good ratings on our Sunday reruns. Don`t disappoint me, 7:00, 9:00 and midnight on Sunday. It`s great.

END