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CNN Live Sunday

U.S. Military Addresses Possible Case of Subordination in Iraq; Protecting Yourself Against Identity Theft

Aired October 17, 2004 - 16:00   ET

THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED.


THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED.


(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)
BRIG. GEN. JAMES CHAMBERS, CMDR, 13TH COSCOM: On 13 October, at about 7:00 a.m., some of the members of the company allegedly refused to participate in their assigned convoy mission.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

KELLI ARENA, CNN ANCHOR: The U.S. military speaks out about a possible case of insubordination in Iraq. Find out what is being done.

Plus, protecting your most important asset, your name. We'll talk to an expert about what you need to do to prevent identity theft.

And this.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: It's hard work today. There's no Independence Day for us. It's for the American people.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

ARENA: How immigration is creating a new great divide in America.

Hello, and welcome to CNN SUNDAY. I'm Kelli Arena. All that and more after this check of the headlines.

A new CNN/"USA Today" Gallup Poll finds President Bush may be pulling ahead in the race for the White House. Among registered voters, Bush holds a slight lead, 49 percent to 46 percent. But among likely voters, the president's lead is greater -- 52 percent to 44 percent over Democratic challenger John Kerry. We'll have more coming up at the half hour.

A massive fire is burning in one of the tallest buildings in Venezuela. The 56-story high rise houses dozens of government ministries and state agencies. High temperatures prevented firefighters from reaching the tower's upper floors. There are no reports of any serious injuries.

Former news correspondent and White House press secretary Pierre Salinger has died. He died of a heart attack yesterday in a hospital near his home in southern France. He served as press secretary to Presidents Kennedy and Johnson. Pierre Salinger was 79.

We begin with the latest on the investigation into a platoon's alleged refusal to follow orders in Iraq. The soldiers are part of the 13th Core Support Command, which has conducted tens of thousands of supply missions in Iraq. Today, military investigators say the soldiers cited concerns about their own personal safety and the maintenance of their convoy vehicles. Our Sara Dorsey reports.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

SARA DORSEY, CNN CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): U.S. Army Brigadier General James Chambers says it's too early to tell if the 18 members of the 343rd Quartermaster Company will be punished for refusing to go on a convoy mission along a dangerous supply route last Wednesday.

CHAMBERS: The commander of the 300th ASG directed an investigation to determine if the Uniform Code of Military Justice was violated.

DORSEY: Members of the unit frantically called relatives back home, saying they were ordered to go on what they felt was a suicide mission.

Specialist Amber McClenny (ph) called her mom.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: Hi, mom, this is Amber. This is a real, real big emergency. I need you to contact someone. I mean, raise pure hell. Yesterday we refused to go on a convoy to Taji, which is above Baghdad.

DORSEY: The convoy was ordered to carry fuel from Tallil to Taji, just north of Baghdad. A member of the unit told his family the fuel had already been refused at one location because it was contaminated with water, and he couldn't understand why they were being ordered to take it somewhere else.

Sergeant Larry McCook told his wife the unit was ill-equipped for the dangerous mission.

PATRICIA ANN MCCOOK, WIFE OF U.S. SOLDIER: They don't have bulletproof protection on the vehicles. They just don't go fast at all. It's just not safe to be in a hostile territory.

DORSEY: General Chambers says a full maintenance stand-down has been ordered, adding that driving a convoy is very dangerous and not a question of if but when they will be attacked. He says the Army is doing everything to protect the convoys.

CHAMBERS: Every convoy moving up and down the roads are escorted. Every soldier is armed. Every soldier has more than enough ammo.

DORSEY (on camera): The 18 soldiers will remain on duty until the investigation is finished. They will not go on missions during the maintenance stand-down, but will use the time to repair equipment and train. Sara Dorsey, CNN, Atlanta.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

ARENA: More former inmates of Abu Ghraib prison are home with their families. About 250 detainees from the prison made infamous in the abuse scandal were released today. More than 1,000 detainees have been released since August when a military review board began reevaluating their cases.

Jordanian prosecutors are bringing charges against Abu Musab Al- Zarqawi and 16 other alleged militants. This comes as a militant Web site posted a statement alleging Al Zarqawi has pledged his allegiance to Osama bin Laden. Al Zarqawi is believed to be behind a number of attacks in Jordan and anti-U.S. attacks and kidnappings in Iraq.

U.S. warplanes and tanks are pounding Fallujah again today, waging a campaign to weed out rebels, while a deadline for militants to turn in weapons in another hot spot has been extended. Our Karl Penhaul brings us the latest from Baghdad.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

KARL PENHAUL, CNN CORRESPONDENT (on camera): Iraqi Prime Minister Iayd Allawi was visiting the eastern slum district of Baghdad known as Sadr City. He met there with local tribal and religious leaders, but the main purpose of that trip was to inspect progress on the weapons buyback program. The main aim of that program is to disarm the Mehdi army militia, those are gunmen loyal to renegade Shiite cleric Muqtada al Sadr, gunmen who have been battling against coalition and Iraqi forces on and off for many months now.

Minutes before Allawi's arrival at the soccer stadium, a mortar round did explode. There were reports that three Iraqis were killed. Allawi's visit was rescheduled for later in the day. Coalition authorities so far have been very lukewarm on the progress there, saying that there is only a glimmer of success so far, saying that they expect many more weapons to be handed in over the coming days. Otherwise they will resume raids in the area.

Prime Minister Allawi, however, was much more upbeat. He said things were moving in the right direction, and suggested this could be used as a model for disarmament programs elsewhere in Iraq.

There was very little sign, however, in the resistance held city of Fallujah that fighters there were about to heed that call. Marines and insurgents fought running battles throughout much of the day, according to Marine sources. Marines say that U.S. warplanes dropped bombs, that U.S. tanks were also in action, while insurgent fighters responded with heavy machine gun fire, mortar fire and rocket- propelled grenades before taking refuge in a mosque, according to coalition military authorities.

In other developments, in the southern city of Karbala nine police officers were buried today. Those nine police officers were killed by unidentified attackers as they made their way home from a U.S.-sponsored police training program in Jordan over the weekend. That marks the latest attack on the emerging Iraqi police forces by suspected resistance fighters.

Karl Penhaul, CNN, Baghdad.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

ARENA: U.S. forces in Iraq may get more help from their British counterparts. Britain is expected to announce a decision tomorrow about a request to redeploy its troops. Right now, British troops are restoring law and handling security concerns in southern Iraq. British officials say any redeployment will definitely not include postings to Fallujah or Baghdad.

It is a race to the White House finish line, and the Kerry campaign is logging miles today in the key battleground state of Ohio. CNN's Ed Henry with more on how the Democratic candidate is fine- tuning his message in the home stretch.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

ED HENRY, CNN CORRESPONDENT (on camera): John Kerry feels good about this presidential race heading into the final two weeks. The momentum in recent weeks has been on the Republican side, with President Bush campaigning very hard in some blue states, but all this weekend John Kerry was pushing hard in rural southern Ohio, the reddest part of this red states. Democrats think that if they can flip these 20 electoral votes here, they will have a real good shot at knocking out the president.

Kerry attended church services, though, here in downtown Columbus, part of his Democratic base in the state of Ohio. He sang with the congregation, and also spoke to the crowd. The senator was pouncing on comments attributed to the president in "The New York Times Sunday" magazine, in which the president suggested that in the second term he would push hard for privatizing Social Security. That's a notion that Senator Kerry calls extreme, and the senator said this just shows that there are clear differences between the candidates on the domestic front.

SEN. JOHN KERRY (D-MA), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: Even the president's own economic advisers say that this will blow a $2 trillion hole in Social Security. And guess who is going to pay for it? You will.

HENRY: Kerry aides believe that the president's comments could help the senator make his closing case to the voters.

In the final stretch, Kerry wants to lay out clear differences on everything from the economy to health care. Something many Democrats believe Al Gore did not do four years ago.

Ed Henry, CNN, Columbus, Ohio.

(END VIDEOTAPE) ARENA: President Bush took a break from campaigning today, but his team was busy hitting the Sunday talk show circuit and planning for these last 16 days before the election. CNN's Elaine Quijano is at the White House with a look at what's ahead -- Elaine.

ELAINE QUIJANO, CNN CORRESPONDENT: Hi there, Kelli.

As you said, no official campaign events for President Bush today, as you said. He took a break from the campaign trail. Instead, the president, along with first lady Laura Bush, attended church services across the street at St. John's Episcopal Church this morning. The president, though, plans to hit the road once again tomorrow, visiting several battleground states this week.

Today, as you mention, the Bush administration officials, as well as campaign officials, were out there on the Sunday talk shows. They discussed Social Security, and, in particular, they knocked down or tried to deny the Kerry camp's assertion that President Bush's plan for Social Security would hurt seniors.

Meantime, as for the president's schedule, yesterday he was in the battleground state of Florida. High stakes there, 27 electoral votes up for grabs. And then this week, on tap for the president, New Jersey, Florida, once again, Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin.

Now, campaign aides say that their strategy in the days and weeks ahead is to focus the attention on traditionally Democratic strongholds, but places where they feel the president will be able to make inroads, and the president has made inroads in places where they think he will be able to connect with voters in a way that will tip the balance of votes his way come November -- Kelli.

ARENA: All right, busy time for the candidates and you, Elaine. Thanks a lot.

Well, some of the nation's major newspapers are putting their political cards on the table today with presidential endorsements. "The Chicago Tribune" endorsing George W. Bush, saying "His sense of a president's duty to defend America is wider in scope than Kerry's, more ambitious in its tactics, more prone, frankly, to yield both casualties and lasting results." Bush also picked up endorsements from "The Rocky Mountain News" and "The Omaha World Herald."

John Kerry was endorsed by "The New York Times," which wrote, "We look back on the past four years with hearts nearly breaking, both for the lives unnecessarily lost and for the opportunities so casually wasted." "The Boston Globe" also chose Kerry, for his ability "to see complex problems in new ways, and his willingness to seek collaborative solutions." "The Globe" added, it believes "The U.S. needs a leader who can bring together people and ideas" in its endorsement of Kerry.

Well, the Bush camp gets some good news from a new poll, but what do the numbers really mean? I'll talk with senior political analyst Bill Schneider.

And up next, want to start a new business? Find out about a consumer group you might want to focus in on. It may surprise you.

And still to come, the Yankees-Red Sox series turns out not to be about the curse, but the (UNINTELLIGIBLE) for the Bronx Bombers. We'll have a live report from Fenway.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

ARENA: Looking ahead to this week on Wall Street, investors can expect a deluge of economic data that could affect the market. At the top of the watch list, crude oil prices. They hit a record high of $55 a barrel on Friday, and then nearly half of the 30 companies whose stocks make up the Dow Jones Industrial Average are scheduled to report quarterly earnings this week. IBM is on that list. Market watchers consider IBM a bellwether for the technology sector.

Also, a read on inflation this week. Two reports to look for, housing starts and the consumer price index.

And when he talks, people listen. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan is scheduled to speak Tuesday about the mortgage market and consumer debt.

Corporations may want to take a closer look at what African- American consumers are buying. A new study from the University of Georgia finds that black buying power is booming. Sean Callebs has details.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

SEAN CALLEBS, CNN CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): You might think Paul Mixon is in unchartered waters. An African-American businessman catering to minorities, who want to get involved in sailing. Generally, an affluent recreation. He's producing a black boater summit next year in the British Virgin Islands.

PAUL MIXON, SAILING PROMOTER: I think as more people get out on a boat like this in this kind of weather, under these conditions, people will gravitate to the sport.

CALLEBS: He's also buoyed by a new economic study from the University of Georgia that shows African-American buying power is growing exponentially.

One example, Prince George's County in Maryland has the highest per capita income for African-Americans in the nation, according to the Census Bureau.

ROGER LEWIS, CONSUMER: A lot of people should realize that there is a lot of buying power in Prince George's County, and we're glad to have it come here.

CALLEBS: Magic Johnson is among those tapping into the $723 billion in buying power blacks wheeled, according to the study, opening one of his signature movie complexes here.

ERVIN "MAGIC" JOHNSON, ENTREPRENEUR: We always have been the biggest consumers. We've always spent money. We just never had enough of us owning businesses in our own community.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: And do you have one of our membership cards?

CALLEBS: From 1990 to the year 2009, the multicultural economy study by the University of Georgia shows African-American buying power is expected to grow 203 percent, from $318 billion to $965 billion.

JACK JOHNSON, PRINCE GEORGE'S COUNTY EXECUTIVE: There is this perception that if it's in the minority community, it's not going to produce, it's not going to be -- that people are not going to come and spend the kind of money, and they're not going to get the returns.

E. JOHNSON: I'm telling you, all corporations out there, the growth of your business is in minorities.

CALLEBS (on camera): By the end of this decade, the report indicates the spending power of blacks could rival the gross domestic product of Canada.

But for all the positive news, there is one sobering footnote, African-Americans still don't make as much as whites.

Sean Callebs, CNN, Washington.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

ARENA: Well, to reach the American dream, you have to start somewhere. After the break, how Latinos in search of a better life are changing the face of the U.S.

And still to come, how modern day conveniences are making it easier for criminals to con you out of your money, and what you can do about it.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

ARENA: News across America now. In Washington, D.C., thousands of people are gathering on the Lincoln Memorial grounds for the Million Worker March. Organizers are speaking out on jobs, universal health care and an end to the war in Iraq. Police say they're expecting about 100,000 demonstrators.

Los Angeles is stepping up to support the 20th annual AIDS Walk in West Hollywood. Organizers are expecting more than 25,000 walkers to benefit projects that help fight the deadly epidemic. Today's event also welcomes the return of special celebrity guests who helped open the world's first AIDS Walk in 1995.

And in Arizona, a deadly crash involving a stolen truck and a police chase. Police say the truck was carrying at least 20 people, some believed to be illegal immigrants. Authorities said they used tire deflation devices to slow down the truck, but the driver lost control, rolled over at high speed and caused an 11-car crash that killed six people. Four of the victims were in the truck, and two others were in another vehicle. The U.S. Census estimates the Latino community is the largest minority population in the country. The state of Georgia is experiencing that growth. While immigrants, both legal and illegal, fight to make better lives for their families, some Americans are ready to roll up the welcome mat. Maria Hinojosa reports.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

MARIA HINOJOSA, CNN CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): July 4th in northern Georgia, in the cradle of the Blue Ridge Mountains. The people of Clayton, Georgia, are taking in the good life and feeling patriotic. But the ones who make this party possible are people like Gabe.

"GABE": No plate? OK.

HINOJOSA: Who asked us not to use his last name.

"GABE": It's hard work today. It's no Independence Day for us, it's for the American peoples.

HINOJOSA: Gabe got here four years ago.

"GABE": Only I know Georgia for Atlanta, the Olympics Games. Maybe this city's meant more rich. This people is rich.

HINOJOSA: Gabe, his wife and son came here with a legal visa to visit Disneyland. They just never left. They were just getting by in Mexico, but they risked losing everything for a chance at something better.

"GABE" (through translator): In Mexico, we had less time to be together as a family. Here we have more time to share together. Our economic situation is much better.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Lots of people have balloons today.

HINOJOSA: Just one hour south, in Gwinnett County, Georgia, Jimmy Hercheck (ph), another proud southerner, is also feeling patriotic, passing down his traditions to his daughters, Alice and Beatrice.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Thank you. Have some food, Beatrice.

HINOJOSA: Some Latinos watch the celebrations from a distance. Jimmy Hercheck thinks they're still too close.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: I see what's happening here in our county reminds me of what they called "the Barrios," you know, the poor neighborhoods in Southern California.

HINOJOSA (on camera): What's happening now?

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Somebody's come to pick up workers.

HINOJOSA (voice-over): Hercheck is living in a Georgia transformed. Some 100,000 Latinos have settled in his county, more than in any other county in Georgia.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Several dozen men out here looking for jobs, and there's just two or three jobs that they can get at one time.

HINOJOSA: About half of those Latinos are illegal.

Hercheck says they're destroying his neighborhood. A year ago, he sold his house and moved.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Brings back a lot of memories. It was pretty much your middle-class family neighborhood, and now you look around, it's maybe half small families and the other half have become pretty much boarding houses. I'm afraid that America could become a third- world country. We're importing poverty by millions every year.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

HINOJOSA: Kelli, that's just a little bit of the report that you'll see tonight at 8:00 p.m. Eastern time. It's called "Immigrant Nation: Divided Country," and we decided to focus on what I see is the new wave of immigration, both legal and undocumented, into America's South, that's Georgia.

ARENA: Maria, this issue, as you well know, a very complicated, very divisive. I notice you didn't use the term illegal immigrant. There's even some controversy over that term itself, isn't there?

HINOJOSA: Absolutely. Well, the people who are fighting against these immigrants, and they wouldn't even say that they're immigrants, they called them illegal aliens and that's the only term they will use. That's a very controversial term.

If you listen to the teachings of Eli Weisel, who won a Nobel Peace Prize, he was a survivor of the Holocaust. He always said that there is no such thing as an illegal human being. There can be an illegal action, what they have done is criminal. But to call them illegal is -- once you label somebody illegal, it sets up perhaps what he says the potential of declaring these people illegal, and therefore the result was, in his case, the Holocaust.

ARENA: Maria, you yourself were a legal immigrant from Mexico. What struck you most about what has changed or not changed since you came to the country?

HINOJOSA: I think, well, certainly, what's changed most definitively is that you're seeing illegal or legal or undocumented immigrants everywhere across the United States. I never thought that I would be seeing them in America's South, never in my wildest dreams. And right now the South is one of the drawing points for new immigrants coming here.

I think the other thing that we're seeing now in the year 2004 in a post-9/11 reality, is a lot of resistance. A lot of people have a lot of questions, why is this happening so massively? If it is illegal, how come the government isn't doing something about it? A lot of people are feeling very frustrated and taking that frustration to the streets, oftentimes against the immigrants themselves.

ARENA: All right, Maria, thanks for joining us, and we will be watching. You can see Maria's entire documentary, "Immigrant Nation: Divided Country," tonight at 8:00 p.m. Eastern, 5:00 Pacific. The "CNN PRESENTS" special explores the lives of four families and the issue of illegal immigration in America.

Well, the flu vaccine shortage gets political. Find out which candidate wants to turn the long lines at clinics into more votes on election day.

Plus, one woman's anguish following the Beslan school massacre, how a cruel twist in this mother's story is compounding her pain.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

ARENA: Here's what's happening in the news now. U.S. military officials are investigating the 18 reservists in Iraq who allegedly refused to transport fuel supplies. The refueling mission was part of their normal duties. The soldiers said the vehicles in their convoy were in poor shape and the route was too dangerous to drive.

Targeting militants in Fallujah. U.S. forces and insurgents are trading bombs and bullets again today. Warplanes and tanks are trying to destroy rebel strongholds in an effort to stabilize the city. At least two insurgents have been wounded in the fighting today. Three people were killed in air strikes last night.

And the clocks are ticking for the campaigns of President George Bush and John Kerry as Election Day draws closer. Bush is taking a break from the road, attending church in Washington today. Kerry is going after voters in two crucial battleground states, Ohio and Florida. And he's bashing the president over his plans to privatize Social Security.

It's time for a little political calculus. Add two weeks to two days until two candidates are divided by voters to equal one president. As if that equation isn't enough to make your head hurt, there is a new batch of numbers out today in the latest CNN/"USA Today" Gallup Poll. CNN senior political analyst Bill Schneider joins us to break it all down. Let's start with the difference between likely and registered voters in this new poll that we have today. What is the significance there?

WILLIAM SCHNEIDER, CNN SENIOR POLITICAL ANALYST: Well, the new poll shows among likely voters Bush has opened up a lead of 8 points over John Kerry. Bush 52, Kerry 44. Among registered voters, you can see there on the right, the race is a lot closer, Bush 49, Kerry 46. What does that mean? It means if the Democrats can pump up turn out and get most or all registered voters to vote, the election is going to be a lot closer.

ARENA: There's also another question regardless of which candidate you happen to support, who did a better job in Wednesday's debate? Talk to us about the poll results there. SCHNEIDER: Well, the poll results show that the voters, the same voters as in that first poll, think Kerry won the last debate 46 to 32.

ARENA: But Kerry's not in the lead.

SCHNEIDER: But yet he is not in the lead. Now, how does that happen? Well, it happens because there are some 22 percent of likely voters who don't have an opinion who won the debate. They say they don't know, they did about equally well. How are they voting? They're voting better than 2-1 for George Bush. That's where Bush gets his lead.

ARENA: Another issue front and center this week, just among average Americans now, front and center in the political discussion, the flu vaccine shortage. We heard from John Kerry on this issue. Let's hear what he had to say and we'll let you respond to this afterwards.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

KERRY: Now, because of this administration's failure of leadership, failure of judgment and because of their failure to act, we have a shortfall of some 48 million flu vaccines in our country.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

ARENA: All right, blaming the president.

SCHNEIDER: Right.

ARENA: For the shortage. Where do we go?

SCHNEIDER: It's a great irony because what President Bush has warned could happen under the Kerry health care plan -- shortages, rationing -- that's exactly what's happening right now with the flu vaccine. And Kerry is using it, including it in an ad, to say it symbolizes everything that's wrong, not with his plan, but with the current health care system.

ARENA: Bill, I'm going to cut you off, as we're talking about him, he's talking in Florida. Let's turn to John Kerry right now who's giving a speech.

OK, you know what we don't have the audio on that right now. I'm sorry I cut you off for nothing. But of course the Republicans are saying this whole flu shortage thing, all about lawsuits.

SCHNEIDER: That is right, they say it's a symbol of what's wrong with the Democratic plan. They say, it doesn't do enough about lawsuits. They say the problem isn't the health care system, it is the fact that flu vaccine manufacturers are worried too much about getting sued and that's why no one wants to make the vaccine.

Kerry says, well, he and John Edwards intend to do something about that, but he insists the problem is much bigger it is the whole health care system.

ARENA: How much will this resonate since it is so close to Election Day?

SCHNEIDER: I think it is very likely to resonate because it is very immediate, palpable issue. One person has already died standing in line. It is a woman who fell. It's a big inconvenience and when things like this happen, they say, how did this happen? Why did the government not do something about it? Why didn't they plan for this and it gives Kerry an opportunity to say, this is what's wrong.

ARENA: All right, Bill, always nice to see you. Thank you.

SCHNEIDER: Same here.

ARENA: Well, overseas, the city of lights is being transform into a city of debates, politics and campaigning. And it is not even to elect a French leader. CNN's Jim Bittermann has more from Paris.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

JIM BITTERMANN, CNN CORRESPONDENT (voice over): Three a.m. in Paris. Boulevards are nearly deserted, the Eiffel Tower is dark, the (UNINTELLIGIBLE) turned off.

Yet, in apartments around the city, die-hard debate watchers have been awake and glued to their screens the past two weeks for live broadcasts of both the presidential and vice presidential face-offs. And it's not just Americans who are losing sleep over this election. Around the world, not Americans, as never before, wished they were part of the process.

ANDRE KASPI, "THE AMERICAN CIVILIZATION:" We are just spectators and I think this is a source of a very deep frustration.

BITTERMANN: There have been debates and studies by international experts and researchers. Documentary films dealing with American politics played prominently at cinemas around the world. Newspapers are taking the running a full-translated text of the presidential debates, something they don't always do, even for their own leaders.

(on camera): And then there is this. TellAnAmericanToVote.com, a Web site set up for non-Americans frustrated that they could not vote nor even give financial contributions to American political campaigns. And while some claim the organization is nonpartisan, it's pretty clear whom they think Americans should vote for.

(voice-over): In fact, one recent survey among citizens of 30 major countries on four continents indicates non-Americans favor John Kerry by 2-1.

CONNIE BORDE, DEMOCRATS ABROAD: The Americans feel that they have been abused by the Bush administration. And they know there is something wrong. This is not the America that most Europeans learned to love.

BITTERMANN: A public sentiment that for some overseas Republicans translates into discomfort and even threats.

ROBERT PINGEON, REPUBLICANS ABROAD: The more aggressive ones are in writing, so, occasionally, however, somebody will be unfriendly in person.

BITTERMANN: At a restaurant, where Americans hang out, a voter registration drive is under way and the non-Americans looking on know they have a stake in what's happening.

SELMA BELKHAYAT, MOROCCAN STUDENT: The States have such an influence on the rest of the world that everyone in the world is more or less concerned by American foreign policy.

BITTERMANN: For most Americans overseas, that interest is apparent every day as this actor playing in the Berlin cast of "Les Miserables" hears from his German friends all the time.

CHRISTOPHER BURRAT, AMERICAN ACTOR IN BERLIN: I have to discuss with them and say, hey, you can't see it like this. They say, you have to vote this or you have to vote that.

BITTERMANN: The actor who takes part in the French revolution on stage wishes he could take a bigger part in the elections back in the U.S. Sentiment no doubt shared by his non-American neighbors. Some overseas never considered the election of President Bush truly reflective of American public opinion. If he's reelected, there will be no doubt.

Jim Bittermann, CNN, Paris.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

ARENA: News around the world now. In Afghanistan, they're still counting votes. Interim President Hamid Karzai is maintaining a huge lead in the presidential elections that were held a week ago, but most of the ballots have not been counted.

U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan said the U.S.-led war in Iraq has not made the world safer. In an interview with a British television station, Annan says it's hard to argue the opposite when considering the terrorist attacks around the world and what's going on in Iraq.

And a Russian official says some of the Beslan school terrorists may have been hard-core and long-time drug addicts. The deputy prosecutor general says forensic tests from some of the gunman's bodies show drugs in their blood streams exceeding normally lethal levels. He said some were in a bad state of withdrawal when the school siege ended in explosions and gunfire.

More than a month after the deadly siege in Beslan, a mother is still unable to live with a heartbreaking choice she was forced to make. Capturers told Anetta she could leave the school with her baby, but they would not let her take her older daughter. CNN's Ryan Chilcote with more of Anetta's painful struggle to accept that she could only save one of her children. (BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

RYAN CHILCOTE, CNN CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): Anetta returns to the gym showers where she and her two daughters were kept by the terrorists. Leaning against the door where she said her last good-bye to her 9-year-old. She cries. Alana, forgive me for leaving.

ANETTA: Every day, every day I think about it. I think, think...

CHILCOTE: And losing her English continues. "Before, I thought I didn't have a choice, but now my sense of guilt is overwhelming me more and more, even though everyone is always telling me that I did the right thing."

A thin, pale, weak Anetta marks the 40th day after Alana's death. The end of the mourning period for Orthodox Christians. A day when they believe the souls of the dead rise to heaven.

The more time passes; Anetta's pain only grows. "Then it was so fresh and the pain wasn't so sharp, now, everything just repeats. She doesn't come home, she doesn't appear in my dreams and I can't change anything."

Little Malena has changed. The daughter Anetta saved has learned to wave good-bye in the last month.

ANETTA: Yes, she changed, I think. She becomes more aggressive. In the night, she all the time cry.

CHILCOTE: With the mourning period now over, it is traditional here for the men, in this case, Anetta's husband, to seek revenge. Eye for an eye.

ANETTA: I don't want to kill the children, but I want that their mothers, these terrorist mothers...

CHILCOTE: She continues in Russian, "to suffer as we suffer."

Anetta's suffering only grows when she goes back to Alana's school, where she, again, asks for her forgiveness.

Ryan Chilcote, CNN, Beslan, Russia.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

ARENA: A controversial new medical gadget gets a thumbs-up from the government. The FDA has OK'd marketing for an implantable device that holds your entire medical record. Proponents say that Veri- chips, which are implanted just beneath the person's skin, will cut down on medical accidents. A quick scan would reveal your blood type, drug allergies or conditions like diabetes.

But opponents say that the tiny chips give a boost to Big Brother. Although Veri-chips aren't equipped to transmit radio frequency long-range distances, some fear that they are one step closer to a human version of systems already being used to track stolen vehicles.

Well, from carrying personal information in a microchip to the electronic trail that you leave buying things with your credit card online. The more information you divulge, the more vulnerable you are to identity theft. "Prying Eyes" is a new book that may help you minimize your risk. Author Eric Gertler is in New York to tell us more. Eric, thank you for joining us.

ERIC GERTLER, AUTHOR, "PRYING EYES:" Thank you for having me.

ARENA: You know we have heard a lot about identity theft and you have some very good things to do to avoid that, but let's just start with some things that people do every day without even realizing that they're being watched, like shopping, for example.

GERTLER: Well, as you say, today we live in the information age, we live in the electronic age, so much of what we do is tracked and monitored, even very simple habits that we take, you know, we talk about shopping, you use credit cards. You go into stores. The clerk may ask you for certain information, which you reveal. There are cameras in stores. So, any number of ways you can be tracked and monitored today when you go shopping.

ARENA: And you also talk in your book about things that you may not even realize are out there about you. Credit reports, for example, you say reveal much more than you think they do.

GERTLER: Absolutely. You know, again, we live in this age, the information age where our government, marketers, insurance companies, your doctors all have various pieces of information about you, and all of this information is important.

With respect to credit reports, very many activities in which you participate, if you want a credit card, if you want a mortgage, even applying for a job, in each of those actions your credit report may come in and you will be evaluated based on that information.

So you need to take all of your information very seriously and, of course, your credit report is one of the most important pieces of personal information about you.

ARENA: A lot of people, of course, think that it's just basic information, but your book reveals that there's all types of information about people, height, weight, eye color, buying preference and even interestingly we could be getting into some health information as well.

GERTLER: Well, everything about you is available in some way, shape or form when you think about all the public records that are about you. When you're married, when you're divorced, all the health information that's available electronically. Your credit report, when you use a credit report, I'm sorry, when you use a credit card, all of that information is now available. I think today what consumers need to do is, first of all, become knowledgeable about the fact that all of that information can be tracked and monitored and to think very seriously about the ways in which they're going about their day-to-day activities.

ARENA: So what do you do? I mean do you stop buying online; do you stop using credit cards? How do you protect yourself?

GERTLER: You need to continue to exist. You need obviously to shop for things, you need to buy things. What I recommend in the book is that it's all about balance. It's about knowing how your information is being used and at least being a smart consumer and making very sensible, making very sensible choices.

ARENA: Like what?

GERTLER: You know, for example, you should be very careful about the personal information that you disclose, in particular, your Social Security number. That is the key to so many different ways in which people can access information about you and commit identity theft against you. You should be reviewing your monthly statements, you know, whether it's financial or otherwise, all of your information on a regular basis.

Your mail. You should shred your mail. There's a lot of very sensitive information that you get. And, of course, we talked about credit reports. You should be reviewing your credit reports, at least from all three bureaus, once per year.

ARENA: There is one part of your book, Eric, where you talk about fixes for lazy people who don't have the time to shred and make these inquiries. What should they do? What can they do?

GERTLER: Well, you know, we all get lazy, unfortunately. In this age, you do need to manage your personal information. There are various services that you can subscribe to that will, for example, will manage your credit report and send you alerts if there has been changes to your credit report. There are companies in which you can notify one company to cancel many credit cards that you may have. But, unfortunately, today, you can be lazy; you'll pay the penalty. You have to stay on top of your personal information today.

ARENA: All right, Eric Gertler, author of "Prying Eyes." Thanks so much for joining us.

GERTLER: Thank you so much.

ARENA: Moving on the shortage of flu vaccine has many Americans scrambling to get a shot. These are people who are supposed to receive the shots -- the elderly and people with chronic illnesses, and some are beginning to question why the system is so chaotic. CNN's Sara Dorsey has the story.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

DORSEY (voice over): This year's flu shot season, hurry up and wait. Sometimes that means five or six hours in line for a vaccine that many are used to getting easily.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: Some said they were here at like 6:30, 7:00.

DORSEY: Complaints for the most part are minimal, though. Many of these people just feel lucky to finally have found a dose.

JOANNE MEYER, REGISTERED NURSE: We were at Public and they didn't have any more shots available, so we came over here and got a number and hopefully we'll make it.

DORSEY: Some did make it, and others were turned away.

Only 130 vaccines were made available to this Eckerd (ph) Drug Store in Georgia. And the scene is similar in other states. In the nation's capital, more lines. In Michigan people wait in cars. As the shot becomes more scarce, frustrations begin to rise.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: It's not organized properly. You know, you should have a time scheduled or get something pre-done early instead of lining cars up.

DORSEY: Peggy Minny's (ph) daughter-in-law works for the CDC, proving even knowing someone won't get you help this year.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: It seems like no sooner do you find out there is one, and they're all filled up. I wish there was a better way, a more accurate way.

DORSEY (on camera): Unless the CDC can find a way to stretch the 54 million doses of the vaccine on hand, a better way is probably at least a year away.

Sara Dorsey, CNN, Atlanta.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

ARENA: Health and Human Services Secretary Tommy Thompson joins us tonight at 10:00 Eastern. We'll talk to him in depth about the flu vaccine shortage.

When we return, a trip to Fenway Park.

MARK MCKAY, CNN CORRESPONDENT: I'm Mark McKay in Boston where the Red Sox hope they recovered and can reload against New York. If not, the Yankees are going back to the World Series. Live report coming up on CNN LIVE SUNDAY.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

ARENA: Carol Lin joins us from Atlanta with a look at what's ahead on CNN LIVE SUNDAY. Carol, what is on tap for your show?

CAROL LIN, CNN CORRESPONDENT: Hi there, Kelli. Well, tonight at 6:00, I'm going to be talking to a couple, a reporter and a news photographer who were kidnapped at gunpoint. There were shots fired and their adventure tells a very important lesson.

Also in our prime time show at 10:00, I have an interview with health and human services secretary Tommy Thompson about the flu epidemic and what is going to happen and what the government is going to do. Kelli.

ARENA: All right we'll be watching Carol Lin at 6:00 pm Eastern. Be there.

Well, the Houston Astros turn to the Rocket, ace pitcher Roger Clemens has sputtered back to life yesterday in the National League Championship Series. The Astros defeated the St. Louis Cardinals 5-2 in game three of the NLCS. The Cards now lead the series two games to one. Game four just got under way and the Cards are already leading 3-0.

Well, it's quite a different story in Boston, where the New York Yankees could sweep the American League Championship Series with a win tonight. The Yankees beating the Red Sox 19-8 last night and now lead the series 3-0. CNN's Mark McKay is live at Fenway Park, where the fat lady could be warming up, Mark?

MCKAY: She could be. She could be right out there, Kelli, just outside the doors. Red Sox faithful are coming back. Players and fans alike are coming back to Fenway Park. As much as they would like to forget about last night, reality is striking them right in the face.

After losing by 11 runs in American League Championship Series record-setting game three on Saturday. Boston is on the verge of being swept by their hated rivals from New York. Orlando Hernandez, "El Duke", will be called on to help pitch the visitors to victory, while the Red Sox counter with Derek Lowe, all the while trying not to give up on the season.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

JOHNNY DAMON, BOSTON RED SOX: People in the clubhouse don't feel that way, I mean, they need to pack it up now, but I think everyone knows that we have to win tonight and we didn't do it. But we're not out yet. We're not packing our bags yet. So, we need to come out and play our very best baseball these next four games. We have to play our best baseball of the year.

DEREK JETER, NEW YORK YANKEES: Regardless of how he feels, he's going to go out there and give you a chance. He likes to be in these situations. Hopefully, (UNINTELLIGIBLE).

(END VIDEO CLIP)

MCKAY: Now, as the Yankees sit on the brink of clinching their 40th American league pennant, history will once again not be on the side of the Red Sox, and the Red Sox nation basically says, what's new? No team has ever climbed out of a 3-0 deficit to win a best of seven games series. In fact, Kelli, if you figure in the NBA and the NHL only two teams out of 236 have ever climbed out of such a cavernous hole.

ARENA: Little small chance, a very small chance.

MCKAY: About that much.

ARENA: Well, that is it for us. "NEXT@CNN" is straight ahead. Thanks for joining us.

TO ORDER A VIDEO OF THIS TRANSCRIPT, PLEASE CALL 800-CNN-NEWS OR USE OUR SECURE ONLINE ORDER FORM LOCATED AT www.fdch.com


Aired October 17, 2004 - 16:00   ET
THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED.
(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)
BRIG. GEN. JAMES CHAMBERS, CMDR, 13TH COSCOM: On 13 October, at about 7:00 a.m., some of the members of the company allegedly refused to participate in their assigned convoy mission.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

KELLI ARENA, CNN ANCHOR: The U.S. military speaks out about a possible case of insubordination in Iraq. Find out what is being done.

Plus, protecting your most important asset, your name. We'll talk to an expert about what you need to do to prevent identity theft.

And this.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: It's hard work today. There's no Independence Day for us. It's for the American people.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

ARENA: How immigration is creating a new great divide in America.

Hello, and welcome to CNN SUNDAY. I'm Kelli Arena. All that and more after this check of the headlines.

A new CNN/"USA Today" Gallup Poll finds President Bush may be pulling ahead in the race for the White House. Among registered voters, Bush holds a slight lead, 49 percent to 46 percent. But among likely voters, the president's lead is greater -- 52 percent to 44 percent over Democratic challenger John Kerry. We'll have more coming up at the half hour.

A massive fire is burning in one of the tallest buildings in Venezuela. The 56-story high rise houses dozens of government ministries and state agencies. High temperatures prevented firefighters from reaching the tower's upper floors. There are no reports of any serious injuries.

Former news correspondent and White House press secretary Pierre Salinger has died. He died of a heart attack yesterday in a hospital near his home in southern France. He served as press secretary to Presidents Kennedy and Johnson. Pierre Salinger was 79.

We begin with the latest on the investigation into a platoon's alleged refusal to follow orders in Iraq. The soldiers are part of the 13th Core Support Command, which has conducted tens of thousands of supply missions in Iraq. Today, military investigators say the soldiers cited concerns about their own personal safety and the maintenance of their convoy vehicles. Our Sara Dorsey reports.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

SARA DORSEY, CNN CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): U.S. Army Brigadier General James Chambers says it's too early to tell if the 18 members of the 343rd Quartermaster Company will be punished for refusing to go on a convoy mission along a dangerous supply route last Wednesday.

CHAMBERS: The commander of the 300th ASG directed an investigation to determine if the Uniform Code of Military Justice was violated.

DORSEY: Members of the unit frantically called relatives back home, saying they were ordered to go on what they felt was a suicide mission.

Specialist Amber McClenny (ph) called her mom.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: Hi, mom, this is Amber. This is a real, real big emergency. I need you to contact someone. I mean, raise pure hell. Yesterday we refused to go on a convoy to Taji, which is above Baghdad.

DORSEY: The convoy was ordered to carry fuel from Tallil to Taji, just north of Baghdad. A member of the unit told his family the fuel had already been refused at one location because it was contaminated with water, and he couldn't understand why they were being ordered to take it somewhere else.

Sergeant Larry McCook told his wife the unit was ill-equipped for the dangerous mission.

PATRICIA ANN MCCOOK, WIFE OF U.S. SOLDIER: They don't have bulletproof protection on the vehicles. They just don't go fast at all. It's just not safe to be in a hostile territory.

DORSEY: General Chambers says a full maintenance stand-down has been ordered, adding that driving a convoy is very dangerous and not a question of if but when they will be attacked. He says the Army is doing everything to protect the convoys.

CHAMBERS: Every convoy moving up and down the roads are escorted. Every soldier is armed. Every soldier has more than enough ammo.

DORSEY (on camera): The 18 soldiers will remain on duty until the investigation is finished. They will not go on missions during the maintenance stand-down, but will use the time to repair equipment and train. Sara Dorsey, CNN, Atlanta.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

ARENA: More former inmates of Abu Ghraib prison are home with their families. About 250 detainees from the prison made infamous in the abuse scandal were released today. More than 1,000 detainees have been released since August when a military review board began reevaluating their cases.

Jordanian prosecutors are bringing charges against Abu Musab Al- Zarqawi and 16 other alleged militants. This comes as a militant Web site posted a statement alleging Al Zarqawi has pledged his allegiance to Osama bin Laden. Al Zarqawi is believed to be behind a number of attacks in Jordan and anti-U.S. attacks and kidnappings in Iraq.

U.S. warplanes and tanks are pounding Fallujah again today, waging a campaign to weed out rebels, while a deadline for militants to turn in weapons in another hot spot has been extended. Our Karl Penhaul brings us the latest from Baghdad.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

KARL PENHAUL, CNN CORRESPONDENT (on camera): Iraqi Prime Minister Iayd Allawi was visiting the eastern slum district of Baghdad known as Sadr City. He met there with local tribal and religious leaders, but the main purpose of that trip was to inspect progress on the weapons buyback program. The main aim of that program is to disarm the Mehdi army militia, those are gunmen loyal to renegade Shiite cleric Muqtada al Sadr, gunmen who have been battling against coalition and Iraqi forces on and off for many months now.

Minutes before Allawi's arrival at the soccer stadium, a mortar round did explode. There were reports that three Iraqis were killed. Allawi's visit was rescheduled for later in the day. Coalition authorities so far have been very lukewarm on the progress there, saying that there is only a glimmer of success so far, saying that they expect many more weapons to be handed in over the coming days. Otherwise they will resume raids in the area.

Prime Minister Allawi, however, was much more upbeat. He said things were moving in the right direction, and suggested this could be used as a model for disarmament programs elsewhere in Iraq.

There was very little sign, however, in the resistance held city of Fallujah that fighters there were about to heed that call. Marines and insurgents fought running battles throughout much of the day, according to Marine sources. Marines say that U.S. warplanes dropped bombs, that U.S. tanks were also in action, while insurgent fighters responded with heavy machine gun fire, mortar fire and rocket- propelled grenades before taking refuge in a mosque, according to coalition military authorities.

In other developments, in the southern city of Karbala nine police officers were buried today. Those nine police officers were killed by unidentified attackers as they made their way home from a U.S.-sponsored police training program in Jordan over the weekend. That marks the latest attack on the emerging Iraqi police forces by suspected resistance fighters.

Karl Penhaul, CNN, Baghdad.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

ARENA: U.S. forces in Iraq may get more help from their British counterparts. Britain is expected to announce a decision tomorrow about a request to redeploy its troops. Right now, British troops are restoring law and handling security concerns in southern Iraq. British officials say any redeployment will definitely not include postings to Fallujah or Baghdad.

It is a race to the White House finish line, and the Kerry campaign is logging miles today in the key battleground state of Ohio. CNN's Ed Henry with more on how the Democratic candidate is fine- tuning his message in the home stretch.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

ED HENRY, CNN CORRESPONDENT (on camera): John Kerry feels good about this presidential race heading into the final two weeks. The momentum in recent weeks has been on the Republican side, with President Bush campaigning very hard in some blue states, but all this weekend John Kerry was pushing hard in rural southern Ohio, the reddest part of this red states. Democrats think that if they can flip these 20 electoral votes here, they will have a real good shot at knocking out the president.

Kerry attended church services, though, here in downtown Columbus, part of his Democratic base in the state of Ohio. He sang with the congregation, and also spoke to the crowd. The senator was pouncing on comments attributed to the president in "The New York Times Sunday" magazine, in which the president suggested that in the second term he would push hard for privatizing Social Security. That's a notion that Senator Kerry calls extreme, and the senator said this just shows that there are clear differences between the candidates on the domestic front.

SEN. JOHN KERRY (D-MA), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: Even the president's own economic advisers say that this will blow a $2 trillion hole in Social Security. And guess who is going to pay for it? You will.

HENRY: Kerry aides believe that the president's comments could help the senator make his closing case to the voters.

In the final stretch, Kerry wants to lay out clear differences on everything from the economy to health care. Something many Democrats believe Al Gore did not do four years ago.

Ed Henry, CNN, Columbus, Ohio.

(END VIDEOTAPE) ARENA: President Bush took a break from campaigning today, but his team was busy hitting the Sunday talk show circuit and planning for these last 16 days before the election. CNN's Elaine Quijano is at the White House with a look at what's ahead -- Elaine.

ELAINE QUIJANO, CNN CORRESPONDENT: Hi there, Kelli.

As you said, no official campaign events for President Bush today, as you said. He took a break from the campaign trail. Instead, the president, along with first lady Laura Bush, attended church services across the street at St. John's Episcopal Church this morning. The president, though, plans to hit the road once again tomorrow, visiting several battleground states this week.

Today, as you mention, the Bush administration officials, as well as campaign officials, were out there on the Sunday talk shows. They discussed Social Security, and, in particular, they knocked down or tried to deny the Kerry camp's assertion that President Bush's plan for Social Security would hurt seniors.

Meantime, as for the president's schedule, yesterday he was in the battleground state of Florida. High stakes there, 27 electoral votes up for grabs. And then this week, on tap for the president, New Jersey, Florida, once again, Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin.

Now, campaign aides say that their strategy in the days and weeks ahead is to focus the attention on traditionally Democratic strongholds, but places where they feel the president will be able to make inroads, and the president has made inroads in places where they think he will be able to connect with voters in a way that will tip the balance of votes his way come November -- Kelli.

ARENA: All right, busy time for the candidates and you, Elaine. Thanks a lot.

Well, some of the nation's major newspapers are putting their political cards on the table today with presidential endorsements. "The Chicago Tribune" endorsing George W. Bush, saying "His sense of a president's duty to defend America is wider in scope than Kerry's, more ambitious in its tactics, more prone, frankly, to yield both casualties and lasting results." Bush also picked up endorsements from "The Rocky Mountain News" and "The Omaha World Herald."

John Kerry was endorsed by "The New York Times," which wrote, "We look back on the past four years with hearts nearly breaking, both for the lives unnecessarily lost and for the opportunities so casually wasted." "The Boston Globe" also chose Kerry, for his ability "to see complex problems in new ways, and his willingness to seek collaborative solutions." "The Globe" added, it believes "The U.S. needs a leader who can bring together people and ideas" in its endorsement of Kerry.

Well, the Bush camp gets some good news from a new poll, but what do the numbers really mean? I'll talk with senior political analyst Bill Schneider.

And up next, want to start a new business? Find out about a consumer group you might want to focus in on. It may surprise you.

And still to come, the Yankees-Red Sox series turns out not to be about the curse, but the (UNINTELLIGIBLE) for the Bronx Bombers. We'll have a live report from Fenway.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

ARENA: Looking ahead to this week on Wall Street, investors can expect a deluge of economic data that could affect the market. At the top of the watch list, crude oil prices. They hit a record high of $55 a barrel on Friday, and then nearly half of the 30 companies whose stocks make up the Dow Jones Industrial Average are scheduled to report quarterly earnings this week. IBM is on that list. Market watchers consider IBM a bellwether for the technology sector.

Also, a read on inflation this week. Two reports to look for, housing starts and the consumer price index.

And when he talks, people listen. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan is scheduled to speak Tuesday about the mortgage market and consumer debt.

Corporations may want to take a closer look at what African- American consumers are buying. A new study from the University of Georgia finds that black buying power is booming. Sean Callebs has details.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

SEAN CALLEBS, CNN CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): You might think Paul Mixon is in unchartered waters. An African-American businessman catering to minorities, who want to get involved in sailing. Generally, an affluent recreation. He's producing a black boater summit next year in the British Virgin Islands.

PAUL MIXON, SAILING PROMOTER: I think as more people get out on a boat like this in this kind of weather, under these conditions, people will gravitate to the sport.

CALLEBS: He's also buoyed by a new economic study from the University of Georgia that shows African-American buying power is growing exponentially.

One example, Prince George's County in Maryland has the highest per capita income for African-Americans in the nation, according to the Census Bureau.

ROGER LEWIS, CONSUMER: A lot of people should realize that there is a lot of buying power in Prince George's County, and we're glad to have it come here.

CALLEBS: Magic Johnson is among those tapping into the $723 billion in buying power blacks wheeled, according to the study, opening one of his signature movie complexes here.

ERVIN "MAGIC" JOHNSON, ENTREPRENEUR: We always have been the biggest consumers. We've always spent money. We just never had enough of us owning businesses in our own community.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: And do you have one of our membership cards?

CALLEBS: From 1990 to the year 2009, the multicultural economy study by the University of Georgia shows African-American buying power is expected to grow 203 percent, from $318 billion to $965 billion.

JACK JOHNSON, PRINCE GEORGE'S COUNTY EXECUTIVE: There is this perception that if it's in the minority community, it's not going to produce, it's not going to be -- that people are not going to come and spend the kind of money, and they're not going to get the returns.

E. JOHNSON: I'm telling you, all corporations out there, the growth of your business is in minorities.

CALLEBS (on camera): By the end of this decade, the report indicates the spending power of blacks could rival the gross domestic product of Canada.

But for all the positive news, there is one sobering footnote, African-Americans still don't make as much as whites.

Sean Callebs, CNN, Washington.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

ARENA: Well, to reach the American dream, you have to start somewhere. After the break, how Latinos in search of a better life are changing the face of the U.S.

And still to come, how modern day conveniences are making it easier for criminals to con you out of your money, and what you can do about it.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

ARENA: News across America now. In Washington, D.C., thousands of people are gathering on the Lincoln Memorial grounds for the Million Worker March. Organizers are speaking out on jobs, universal health care and an end to the war in Iraq. Police say they're expecting about 100,000 demonstrators.

Los Angeles is stepping up to support the 20th annual AIDS Walk in West Hollywood. Organizers are expecting more than 25,000 walkers to benefit projects that help fight the deadly epidemic. Today's event also welcomes the return of special celebrity guests who helped open the world's first AIDS Walk in 1995.

And in Arizona, a deadly crash involving a stolen truck and a police chase. Police say the truck was carrying at least 20 people, some believed to be illegal immigrants. Authorities said they used tire deflation devices to slow down the truck, but the driver lost control, rolled over at high speed and caused an 11-car crash that killed six people. Four of the victims were in the truck, and two others were in another vehicle. The U.S. Census estimates the Latino community is the largest minority population in the country. The state of Georgia is experiencing that growth. While immigrants, both legal and illegal, fight to make better lives for their families, some Americans are ready to roll up the welcome mat. Maria Hinojosa reports.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

MARIA HINOJOSA, CNN CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): July 4th in northern Georgia, in the cradle of the Blue Ridge Mountains. The people of Clayton, Georgia, are taking in the good life and feeling patriotic. But the ones who make this party possible are people like Gabe.

"GABE": No plate? OK.

HINOJOSA: Who asked us not to use his last name.

"GABE": It's hard work today. It's no Independence Day for us, it's for the American peoples.

HINOJOSA: Gabe got here four years ago.

"GABE": Only I know Georgia for Atlanta, the Olympics Games. Maybe this city's meant more rich. This people is rich.

HINOJOSA: Gabe, his wife and son came here with a legal visa to visit Disneyland. They just never left. They were just getting by in Mexico, but they risked losing everything for a chance at something better.

"GABE" (through translator): In Mexico, we had less time to be together as a family. Here we have more time to share together. Our economic situation is much better.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Lots of people have balloons today.

HINOJOSA: Just one hour south, in Gwinnett County, Georgia, Jimmy Hercheck (ph), another proud southerner, is also feeling patriotic, passing down his traditions to his daughters, Alice and Beatrice.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Thank you. Have some food, Beatrice.

HINOJOSA: Some Latinos watch the celebrations from a distance. Jimmy Hercheck thinks they're still too close.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: I see what's happening here in our county reminds me of what they called "the Barrios," you know, the poor neighborhoods in Southern California.

HINOJOSA (on camera): What's happening now?

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Somebody's come to pick up workers.

HINOJOSA (voice-over): Hercheck is living in a Georgia transformed. Some 100,000 Latinos have settled in his county, more than in any other county in Georgia.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Several dozen men out here looking for jobs, and there's just two or three jobs that they can get at one time.

HINOJOSA: About half of those Latinos are illegal.

Hercheck says they're destroying his neighborhood. A year ago, he sold his house and moved.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Brings back a lot of memories. It was pretty much your middle-class family neighborhood, and now you look around, it's maybe half small families and the other half have become pretty much boarding houses. I'm afraid that America could become a third- world country. We're importing poverty by millions every year.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

HINOJOSA: Kelli, that's just a little bit of the report that you'll see tonight at 8:00 p.m. Eastern time. It's called "Immigrant Nation: Divided Country," and we decided to focus on what I see is the new wave of immigration, both legal and undocumented, into America's South, that's Georgia.

ARENA: Maria, this issue, as you well know, a very complicated, very divisive. I notice you didn't use the term illegal immigrant. There's even some controversy over that term itself, isn't there?

HINOJOSA: Absolutely. Well, the people who are fighting against these immigrants, and they wouldn't even say that they're immigrants, they called them illegal aliens and that's the only term they will use. That's a very controversial term.

If you listen to the teachings of Eli Weisel, who won a Nobel Peace Prize, he was a survivor of the Holocaust. He always said that there is no such thing as an illegal human being. There can be an illegal action, what they have done is criminal. But to call them illegal is -- once you label somebody illegal, it sets up perhaps what he says the potential of declaring these people illegal, and therefore the result was, in his case, the Holocaust.

ARENA: Maria, you yourself were a legal immigrant from Mexico. What struck you most about what has changed or not changed since you came to the country?

HINOJOSA: I think, well, certainly, what's changed most definitively is that you're seeing illegal or legal or undocumented immigrants everywhere across the United States. I never thought that I would be seeing them in America's South, never in my wildest dreams. And right now the South is one of the drawing points for new immigrants coming here.

I think the other thing that we're seeing now in the year 2004 in a post-9/11 reality, is a lot of resistance. A lot of people have a lot of questions, why is this happening so massively? If it is illegal, how come the government isn't doing something about it? A lot of people are feeling very frustrated and taking that frustration to the streets, oftentimes against the immigrants themselves.

ARENA: All right, Maria, thanks for joining us, and we will be watching. You can see Maria's entire documentary, "Immigrant Nation: Divided Country," tonight at 8:00 p.m. Eastern, 5:00 Pacific. The "CNN PRESENTS" special explores the lives of four families and the issue of illegal immigration in America.

Well, the flu vaccine shortage gets political. Find out which candidate wants to turn the long lines at clinics into more votes on election day.

Plus, one woman's anguish following the Beslan school massacre, how a cruel twist in this mother's story is compounding her pain.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

ARENA: Here's what's happening in the news now. U.S. military officials are investigating the 18 reservists in Iraq who allegedly refused to transport fuel supplies. The refueling mission was part of their normal duties. The soldiers said the vehicles in their convoy were in poor shape and the route was too dangerous to drive.

Targeting militants in Fallujah. U.S. forces and insurgents are trading bombs and bullets again today. Warplanes and tanks are trying to destroy rebel strongholds in an effort to stabilize the city. At least two insurgents have been wounded in the fighting today. Three people were killed in air strikes last night.

And the clocks are ticking for the campaigns of President George Bush and John Kerry as Election Day draws closer. Bush is taking a break from the road, attending church in Washington today. Kerry is going after voters in two crucial battleground states, Ohio and Florida. And he's bashing the president over his plans to privatize Social Security.

It's time for a little political calculus. Add two weeks to two days until two candidates are divided by voters to equal one president. As if that equation isn't enough to make your head hurt, there is a new batch of numbers out today in the latest CNN/"USA Today" Gallup Poll. CNN senior political analyst Bill Schneider joins us to break it all down. Let's start with the difference between likely and registered voters in this new poll that we have today. What is the significance there?

WILLIAM SCHNEIDER, CNN SENIOR POLITICAL ANALYST: Well, the new poll shows among likely voters Bush has opened up a lead of 8 points over John Kerry. Bush 52, Kerry 44. Among registered voters, you can see there on the right, the race is a lot closer, Bush 49, Kerry 46. What does that mean? It means if the Democrats can pump up turn out and get most or all registered voters to vote, the election is going to be a lot closer.

ARENA: There's also another question regardless of which candidate you happen to support, who did a better job in Wednesday's debate? Talk to us about the poll results there. SCHNEIDER: Well, the poll results show that the voters, the same voters as in that first poll, think Kerry won the last debate 46 to 32.

ARENA: But Kerry's not in the lead.

SCHNEIDER: But yet he is not in the lead. Now, how does that happen? Well, it happens because there are some 22 percent of likely voters who don't have an opinion who won the debate. They say they don't know, they did about equally well. How are they voting? They're voting better than 2-1 for George Bush. That's where Bush gets his lead.

ARENA: Another issue front and center this week, just among average Americans now, front and center in the political discussion, the flu vaccine shortage. We heard from John Kerry on this issue. Let's hear what he had to say and we'll let you respond to this afterwards.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

KERRY: Now, because of this administration's failure of leadership, failure of judgment and because of their failure to act, we have a shortfall of some 48 million flu vaccines in our country.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

ARENA: All right, blaming the president.

SCHNEIDER: Right.

ARENA: For the shortage. Where do we go?

SCHNEIDER: It's a great irony because what President Bush has warned could happen under the Kerry health care plan -- shortages, rationing -- that's exactly what's happening right now with the flu vaccine. And Kerry is using it, including it in an ad, to say it symbolizes everything that's wrong, not with his plan, but with the current health care system.

ARENA: Bill, I'm going to cut you off, as we're talking about him, he's talking in Florida. Let's turn to John Kerry right now who's giving a speech.

OK, you know what we don't have the audio on that right now. I'm sorry I cut you off for nothing. But of course the Republicans are saying this whole flu shortage thing, all about lawsuits.

SCHNEIDER: That is right, they say it's a symbol of what's wrong with the Democratic plan. They say, it doesn't do enough about lawsuits. They say the problem isn't the health care system, it is the fact that flu vaccine manufacturers are worried too much about getting sued and that's why no one wants to make the vaccine.

Kerry says, well, he and John Edwards intend to do something about that, but he insists the problem is much bigger it is the whole health care system.

ARENA: How much will this resonate since it is so close to Election Day?

SCHNEIDER: I think it is very likely to resonate because it is very immediate, palpable issue. One person has already died standing in line. It is a woman who fell. It's a big inconvenience and when things like this happen, they say, how did this happen? Why did the government not do something about it? Why didn't they plan for this and it gives Kerry an opportunity to say, this is what's wrong.

ARENA: All right, Bill, always nice to see you. Thank you.

SCHNEIDER: Same here.

ARENA: Well, overseas, the city of lights is being transform into a city of debates, politics and campaigning. And it is not even to elect a French leader. CNN's Jim Bittermann has more from Paris.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

JIM BITTERMANN, CNN CORRESPONDENT (voice over): Three a.m. in Paris. Boulevards are nearly deserted, the Eiffel Tower is dark, the (UNINTELLIGIBLE) turned off.

Yet, in apartments around the city, die-hard debate watchers have been awake and glued to their screens the past two weeks for live broadcasts of both the presidential and vice presidential face-offs. And it's not just Americans who are losing sleep over this election. Around the world, not Americans, as never before, wished they were part of the process.

ANDRE KASPI, "THE AMERICAN CIVILIZATION:" We are just spectators and I think this is a source of a very deep frustration.

BITTERMANN: There have been debates and studies by international experts and researchers. Documentary films dealing with American politics played prominently at cinemas around the world. Newspapers are taking the running a full-translated text of the presidential debates, something they don't always do, even for their own leaders.

(on camera): And then there is this. TellAnAmericanToVote.com, a Web site set up for non-Americans frustrated that they could not vote nor even give financial contributions to American political campaigns. And while some claim the organization is nonpartisan, it's pretty clear whom they think Americans should vote for.

(voice-over): In fact, one recent survey among citizens of 30 major countries on four continents indicates non-Americans favor John Kerry by 2-1.

CONNIE BORDE, DEMOCRATS ABROAD: The Americans feel that they have been abused by the Bush administration. And they know there is something wrong. This is not the America that most Europeans learned to love.

BITTERMANN: A public sentiment that for some overseas Republicans translates into discomfort and even threats.

ROBERT PINGEON, REPUBLICANS ABROAD: The more aggressive ones are in writing, so, occasionally, however, somebody will be unfriendly in person.

BITTERMANN: At a restaurant, where Americans hang out, a voter registration drive is under way and the non-Americans looking on know they have a stake in what's happening.

SELMA BELKHAYAT, MOROCCAN STUDENT: The States have such an influence on the rest of the world that everyone in the world is more or less concerned by American foreign policy.

BITTERMANN: For most Americans overseas, that interest is apparent every day as this actor playing in the Berlin cast of "Les Miserables" hears from his German friends all the time.

CHRISTOPHER BURRAT, AMERICAN ACTOR IN BERLIN: I have to discuss with them and say, hey, you can't see it like this. They say, you have to vote this or you have to vote that.

BITTERMANN: The actor who takes part in the French revolution on stage wishes he could take a bigger part in the elections back in the U.S. Sentiment no doubt shared by his non-American neighbors. Some overseas never considered the election of President Bush truly reflective of American public opinion. If he's reelected, there will be no doubt.

Jim Bittermann, CNN, Paris.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

ARENA: News around the world now. In Afghanistan, they're still counting votes. Interim President Hamid Karzai is maintaining a huge lead in the presidential elections that were held a week ago, but most of the ballots have not been counted.

U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan said the U.S.-led war in Iraq has not made the world safer. In an interview with a British television station, Annan says it's hard to argue the opposite when considering the terrorist attacks around the world and what's going on in Iraq.

And a Russian official says some of the Beslan school terrorists may have been hard-core and long-time drug addicts. The deputy prosecutor general says forensic tests from some of the gunman's bodies show drugs in their blood streams exceeding normally lethal levels. He said some were in a bad state of withdrawal when the school siege ended in explosions and gunfire.

More than a month after the deadly siege in Beslan, a mother is still unable to live with a heartbreaking choice she was forced to make. Capturers told Anetta she could leave the school with her baby, but they would not let her take her older daughter. CNN's Ryan Chilcote with more of Anetta's painful struggle to accept that she could only save one of her children. (BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

RYAN CHILCOTE, CNN CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): Anetta returns to the gym showers where she and her two daughters were kept by the terrorists. Leaning against the door where she said her last good-bye to her 9-year-old. She cries. Alana, forgive me for leaving.

ANETTA: Every day, every day I think about it. I think, think...

CHILCOTE: And losing her English continues. "Before, I thought I didn't have a choice, but now my sense of guilt is overwhelming me more and more, even though everyone is always telling me that I did the right thing."

A thin, pale, weak Anetta marks the 40th day after Alana's death. The end of the mourning period for Orthodox Christians. A day when they believe the souls of the dead rise to heaven.

The more time passes; Anetta's pain only grows. "Then it was so fresh and the pain wasn't so sharp, now, everything just repeats. She doesn't come home, she doesn't appear in my dreams and I can't change anything."

Little Malena has changed. The daughter Anetta saved has learned to wave good-bye in the last month.

ANETTA: Yes, she changed, I think. She becomes more aggressive. In the night, she all the time cry.

CHILCOTE: With the mourning period now over, it is traditional here for the men, in this case, Anetta's husband, to seek revenge. Eye for an eye.

ANETTA: I don't want to kill the children, but I want that their mothers, these terrorist mothers...

CHILCOTE: She continues in Russian, "to suffer as we suffer."

Anetta's suffering only grows when she goes back to Alana's school, where she, again, asks for her forgiveness.

Ryan Chilcote, CNN, Beslan, Russia.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

ARENA: A controversial new medical gadget gets a thumbs-up from the government. The FDA has OK'd marketing for an implantable device that holds your entire medical record. Proponents say that Veri- chips, which are implanted just beneath the person's skin, will cut down on medical accidents. A quick scan would reveal your blood type, drug allergies or conditions like diabetes.

But opponents say that the tiny chips give a boost to Big Brother. Although Veri-chips aren't equipped to transmit radio frequency long-range distances, some fear that they are one step closer to a human version of systems already being used to track stolen vehicles.

Well, from carrying personal information in a microchip to the electronic trail that you leave buying things with your credit card online. The more information you divulge, the more vulnerable you are to identity theft. "Prying Eyes" is a new book that may help you minimize your risk. Author Eric Gertler is in New York to tell us more. Eric, thank you for joining us.

ERIC GERTLER, AUTHOR, "PRYING EYES:" Thank you for having me.

ARENA: You know we have heard a lot about identity theft and you have some very good things to do to avoid that, but let's just start with some things that people do every day without even realizing that they're being watched, like shopping, for example.

GERTLER: Well, as you say, today we live in the information age, we live in the electronic age, so much of what we do is tracked and monitored, even very simple habits that we take, you know, we talk about shopping, you use credit cards. You go into stores. The clerk may ask you for certain information, which you reveal. There are cameras in stores. So, any number of ways you can be tracked and monitored today when you go shopping.

ARENA: And you also talk in your book about things that you may not even realize are out there about you. Credit reports, for example, you say reveal much more than you think they do.

GERTLER: Absolutely. You know, again, we live in this age, the information age where our government, marketers, insurance companies, your doctors all have various pieces of information about you, and all of this information is important.

With respect to credit reports, very many activities in which you participate, if you want a credit card, if you want a mortgage, even applying for a job, in each of those actions your credit report may come in and you will be evaluated based on that information.

So you need to take all of your information very seriously and, of course, your credit report is one of the most important pieces of personal information about you.

ARENA: A lot of people, of course, think that it's just basic information, but your book reveals that there's all types of information about people, height, weight, eye color, buying preference and even interestingly we could be getting into some health information as well.

GERTLER: Well, everything about you is available in some way, shape or form when you think about all the public records that are about you. When you're married, when you're divorced, all the health information that's available electronically. Your credit report, when you use a credit report, I'm sorry, when you use a credit card, all of that information is now available. I think today what consumers need to do is, first of all, become knowledgeable about the fact that all of that information can be tracked and monitored and to think very seriously about the ways in which they're going about their day-to-day activities.

ARENA: So what do you do? I mean do you stop buying online; do you stop using credit cards? How do you protect yourself?

GERTLER: You need to continue to exist. You need obviously to shop for things, you need to buy things. What I recommend in the book is that it's all about balance. It's about knowing how your information is being used and at least being a smart consumer and making very sensible, making very sensible choices.

ARENA: Like what?

GERTLER: You know, for example, you should be very careful about the personal information that you disclose, in particular, your Social Security number. That is the key to so many different ways in which people can access information about you and commit identity theft against you. You should be reviewing your monthly statements, you know, whether it's financial or otherwise, all of your information on a regular basis.

Your mail. You should shred your mail. There's a lot of very sensitive information that you get. And, of course, we talked about credit reports. You should be reviewing your credit reports, at least from all three bureaus, once per year.

ARENA: There is one part of your book, Eric, where you talk about fixes for lazy people who don't have the time to shred and make these inquiries. What should they do? What can they do?

GERTLER: Well, you know, we all get lazy, unfortunately. In this age, you do need to manage your personal information. There are various services that you can subscribe to that will, for example, will manage your credit report and send you alerts if there has been changes to your credit report. There are companies in which you can notify one company to cancel many credit cards that you may have. But, unfortunately, today, you can be lazy; you'll pay the penalty. You have to stay on top of your personal information today.

ARENA: All right, Eric Gertler, author of "Prying Eyes." Thanks so much for joining us.

GERTLER: Thank you so much.

ARENA: Moving on the shortage of flu vaccine has many Americans scrambling to get a shot. These are people who are supposed to receive the shots -- the elderly and people with chronic illnesses, and some are beginning to question why the system is so chaotic. CNN's Sara Dorsey has the story.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

DORSEY (voice over): This year's flu shot season, hurry up and wait. Sometimes that means five or six hours in line for a vaccine that many are used to getting easily.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: Some said they were here at like 6:30, 7:00.

DORSEY: Complaints for the most part are minimal, though. Many of these people just feel lucky to finally have found a dose.

JOANNE MEYER, REGISTERED NURSE: We were at Public and they didn't have any more shots available, so we came over here and got a number and hopefully we'll make it.

DORSEY: Some did make it, and others were turned away.

Only 130 vaccines were made available to this Eckerd (ph) Drug Store in Georgia. And the scene is similar in other states. In the nation's capital, more lines. In Michigan people wait in cars. As the shot becomes more scarce, frustrations begin to rise.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: It's not organized properly. You know, you should have a time scheduled or get something pre-done early instead of lining cars up.

DORSEY: Peggy Minny's (ph) daughter-in-law works for the CDC, proving even knowing someone won't get you help this year.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: It seems like no sooner do you find out there is one, and they're all filled up. I wish there was a better way, a more accurate way.

DORSEY (on camera): Unless the CDC can find a way to stretch the 54 million doses of the vaccine on hand, a better way is probably at least a year away.

Sara Dorsey, CNN, Atlanta.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

ARENA: Health and Human Services Secretary Tommy Thompson joins us tonight at 10:00 Eastern. We'll talk to him in depth about the flu vaccine shortage.

When we return, a trip to Fenway Park.

MARK MCKAY, CNN CORRESPONDENT: I'm Mark McKay in Boston where the Red Sox hope they recovered and can reload against New York. If not, the Yankees are going back to the World Series. Live report coming up on CNN LIVE SUNDAY.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

ARENA: Carol Lin joins us from Atlanta with a look at what's ahead on CNN LIVE SUNDAY. Carol, what is on tap for your show?

CAROL LIN, CNN CORRESPONDENT: Hi there, Kelli. Well, tonight at 6:00, I'm going to be talking to a couple, a reporter and a news photographer who were kidnapped at gunpoint. There were shots fired and their adventure tells a very important lesson.

Also in our prime time show at 10:00, I have an interview with health and human services secretary Tommy Thompson about the flu epidemic and what is going to happen and what the government is going to do. Kelli.

ARENA: All right we'll be watching Carol Lin at 6:00 pm Eastern. Be there.

Well, the Houston Astros turn to the Rocket, ace pitcher Roger Clemens has sputtered back to life yesterday in the National League Championship Series. The Astros defeated the St. Louis Cardinals 5-2 in game three of the NLCS. The Cards now lead the series two games to one. Game four just got under way and the Cards are already leading 3-0.

Well, it's quite a different story in Boston, where the New York Yankees could sweep the American League Championship Series with a win tonight. The Yankees beating the Red Sox 19-8 last night and now lead the series 3-0. CNN's Mark McKay is live at Fenway Park, where the fat lady could be warming up, Mark?

MCKAY: She could be. She could be right out there, Kelli, just outside the doors. Red Sox faithful are coming back. Players and fans alike are coming back to Fenway Park. As much as they would like to forget about last night, reality is striking them right in the face.

After losing by 11 runs in American League Championship Series record-setting game three on Saturday. Boston is on the verge of being swept by their hated rivals from New York. Orlando Hernandez, "El Duke", will be called on to help pitch the visitors to victory, while the Red Sox counter with Derek Lowe, all the while trying not to give up on the season.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

JOHNNY DAMON, BOSTON RED SOX: People in the clubhouse don't feel that way, I mean, they need to pack it up now, but I think everyone knows that we have to win tonight and we didn't do it. But we're not out yet. We're not packing our bags yet. So, we need to come out and play our very best baseball these next four games. We have to play our best baseball of the year.

DEREK JETER, NEW YORK YANKEES: Regardless of how he feels, he's going to go out there and give you a chance. He likes to be in these situations. Hopefully, (UNINTELLIGIBLE).

(END VIDEO CLIP)

MCKAY: Now, as the Yankees sit on the brink of clinching their 40th American league pennant, history will once again not be on the side of the Red Sox, and the Red Sox nation basically says, what's new? No team has ever climbed out of a 3-0 deficit to win a best of seven games series. In fact, Kelli, if you figure in the NBA and the NHL only two teams out of 236 have ever climbed out of such a cavernous hole.

ARENA: Little small chance, a very small chance.

MCKAY: About that much.

ARENA: Well, that is it for us. "NEXT@CNN" is straight ahead. Thanks for joining us.

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